Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market cap $1.97B is the value of all shares combined.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerTrading at $11.51, Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) is a industrials company valued at $1.97B. MoonshotScore: 29/100, Grade F — composite signals flag elevated risk. Educational signal, not a recommendation.
Price as ofAADX stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $26.17 for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc., suggesting 127.4% upside from the current price of $11.51. The AI MoonshotScore is 29/100, in the Weak band (below 45) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 13 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
AADX: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Growth Durability (7/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Business Quality (1/10, Negative).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) Industrial Operations Profile
Who Are AADX's Competitors?
AADX is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVX V2X, Inc. | $70.87 | +0.11% | $2.22B | 62 5-pillar |
| DCO Ducommun Incorporated | $171.60 | -2.16% | $2.59B | 37 5-pillar |
| ATRO Astronics Corporation | $69.53 | +1.97% | $2.67B | 76 5-pillar |
| NPK National Presto Industries, Inc. | $151.85 | +0.74% | $1.09B | 83 5-pillar |
| CDRE Cadre Holdings, Inc. | $25.00 | 0.00% | $1.07B | 57 5-pillar |
| AIR AAR Corp. | $102.51 | +2.61% | $4.09B | 68 5-pillar |
| AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. | $18.14 | -1.84% | $4.43B | 62 5-pillar |
| KRMN Karman Holdings Inc. | $34.14 | +7.06% | $4.52B | 42 5-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are the Key Risks for AADX?
Negative return on equity (-58.4%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 82% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 55 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 29?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
- +0.23 Operating income growth (Growth)
- +0.17 3-year revenue per share (Growth)
What is holding it back
- -0.78 Net margin (Business Quality)
- -0.75 Return on equity (Business Quality)
- -0.46 Return on assets (Business Quality)
Risk penalties applied
- -1.04 Loss-making and burning cash
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-09-17 · 17 snapshots
| 2026-09-17 | 29 |
| 2026-09-20 | 29 |
| 2026-09-23 | 29 |
| 2026-09-27 | 29 |
| 2026-10-01 | 29 |
| 2026-10-04 | 29 |
| 2026-10-05 | 29 |
What changed?
The score has stayed at 29.
What moved it up or down:
- +1 Valuation
- -1 Growth Durability
- -1 Momentum
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -1.2%.
Insider Activity
7 transactions · 4 purchases, 0 sales, 3 other transactions · 5 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Jul 15, 2026. Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. stands at -58.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -15.9%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -5.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.51 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -12.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) Valuation Context
Valued at $1.97B, AADX is classified as a small-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $24.00 to $30.00, with a consensus of $26.17. At the current price of $11.51, that implies approximately 127% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, AADX's quantitative score of 29/100 is below the peer average of 61/100.
AADX Revenue & Earnings Trend
In Q2 FY2026, AADX generated $167.3M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 10.1%. The company recorded a net loss of $154.0M, with diluted EPS of $-1.04. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap its sector company. Across the four most recent quarters, AADX averaged $-0.38 in diluted EPS.
Company Profile
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Huntsville, US. The company is led by CEO James William Ferguson. AADX has traded publicly since 2026.
AADX Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $167M | -$154M | -$1.04 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $152M | -$79M | -$0.46 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $152M | -$8M | -$0.05 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $123M | $3M | $0.02 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 12 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
AADX Latest News
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'This SpaceX supplier has a front-row seat to major shifts in warfare and rocket use'- CNBC Pro
benzinga · Oct 2, 2026
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Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) Could Be 49% Below Fair Value On Backlog Narrative
Yahoo! Finance: AADX News · Sep 25, 2026
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Applied Aerospace & Defense: Selloff Puts The Stock In A Buy Range
seekingalpha.com · Sep 24, 2026
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Can Applied Aerospace (AADX) Turn Record Backlog Into Real Profit?
Yahoo! Finance: AADX News · Sep 23, 2026
AADX Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for AADX.
Price Targets
Median: $24.50
Consensus vs current price: +127.4%
Stored FMP targets · · Coverage not supplied · an estimate, not advice
AADX MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. AADX scores 29/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
'This SpaceX supplier has a front-row seat to major shifts in warfare and rocket use'- CNBC Pro
Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) Could Be 49% Below Fair Value On Backlog Narrative
Applied Aerospace & Defense: Selloff Puts The Stock In A Buy Range
Can Applied Aerospace (AADX) Turn Record Backlog Into Real Profit?
AADX Industrials Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for AADX?
AADX holds an AI Score of 29/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Is AADX a good stock to buy?
Stock Expert AI does not rate AADX buy, sell or hold. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 29/100, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.
What is the AADX stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) is $11.51, as of the Oct 5, 2026 trading session. It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the AADX price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) is $26.17 (range $24.00 to $30.00, median $24.50), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
What are the key factors to evaluate for AADX?
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) holds a MoonshotScore of 29/100 (low). Analysts target $26.17 (+127%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does AADX data refresh on this page?
AADX's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 5, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.
What has driven AADX's recent stock price performance?
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider AADX overvalued or undervalued right now?
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $26.17 (+127%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of AADX?
Fractional-share availability for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) depends on your brokerage, account and supported securities. Check the broker's current eligibility, minimums and fees before placing an order.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.