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Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$21.39 +$0.12 (+0.56%) |Strong · 69
Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (63/100) and AI Score (69/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ray Dalio bullish · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $596M| P/E Ratio: 9.48| Vol: 74K| Target: $24.50 (+14.5%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $16.06 – $22.62

P/E 9.48 means the share price is 9.48 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $596M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 0.62: the stock has moved about 38% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) trades at $21.39 with MoonshotScore 69/100 (Grade B+). Market cap: $596M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company operating through Bridgewater Bank, providing financial services to commercial real estate investors, small business entrepreneurs, and high net worth individuals. The company offers a range of deposit and loan products, operating primarily in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area.

BWB stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $24.50 for Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc., suggesting 14.5% upside from the current price of $21.39. The AI MoonshotScore is 69/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the BWB film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 63/100 · B+

BWB: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 69/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (9/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (3/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Unfavorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) Financial Services Profile

CEOGerald John Baack
Employees355
HeadquartersSaint Louis Park, MN, US
IPO Year2018

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc., through Bridgewater Bank, serves the commercial real estate and small business sectors in the Minneapolis-St. Paul region. With a focus on relationship banking and a profit margin of 17.7%, BWB offers a suite of deposit and loan products, competing with larger regional and national banks while maintaining a community-focused approach.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for BWB?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Paul commercial real estate and small business sectors. With a P/E ratio of 9.48, the company demonstrates reasonable valuation relative to its earnings. Key value drivers include continued loan growth within its target markets, efficient management of its net interest margin, and effective cost control. Ongoing catalysts include expansion within the Twin Cities metropolitan area and potential for increased market share. Potential risks include sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and competition from larger regional and national banks. The company's beta of 0.62 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BWB Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $596M, reflecting its position as a regional bank.

  • P/E ratio of 9.48, indicating a potentially undervalued stock compared to its earnings.
  • Profit margin of 17.7%, showcasing efficient operations and profitability.
  • Gross margin of 50.1%, demonstrating the bank's ability to generate revenue from its services.
  • Operates seven full-service offices within the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area, providing a localized banking experience.

Who Are BWB's Competitors?

BWB is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
USB U.S. Bancorp $62.09 -0.05% $96.7B 945-pillar
KEY KeyCorp $21.73 0.00% $23.5B 745-pillar
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Incorporated $16.61 -0.15% $33.5B 715-pillar
GCBC Greene County Bancorp, Inc. $35.02 -0.11% $596M 905-pillar
NRIM Northrim BanCorp, Inc. $26.05 +0.06% $579M 945-pillar
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. $69.47 +0.96% $547M 905-pillar
BWFG Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. $67.65 +1.41% $539M 925-pillar
ACNB ACNB Corporation $65.05 +1.17% $664M 925-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are BWB's Key Strengths?

Strong focus on commercial real estate and small business lending.

  • Established presence in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Solid profitability and efficiency metrics.

What Are BWB's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic diversification.

  • Smaller size compared to larger regional and national banks.
  • Reliance on traditional banking model.
  • Lack of dividend may deter some investors.

What Could Drive BWB Stock Higher?

Potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve could increase net interest margin.

  • Continued economic growth in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area.
  • Expansion of digital banking services to attract new customers.
  • Strategic partnerships with fintech companies to enhance service offerings.

What Are the Key Risks for BWB?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.55 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $8.5M recently.
  • Increased competition from larger regional and national banks.
  • Economic downturn in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area.
  • Interest rate fluctuations impacting net interest margin.
  • Regulatory changes affecting the banking industry.
  • Credit risk associated with commercial lending portfolio.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for BWB?

  • Expansion within the Minneapolis-St. Paul Metropolitan Area: Bridgewater has the opportunity to further penetrate its existing market by opening new branches and expanding its lending activities. The Twin Cities region boasts a robust economy and a growing population, providing a fertile ground for Bridgewater to increase its market share. This expansion can be achieved through strategic branch placement and targeted marketing campaigns, focusing on the specific needs of local businesses and real estate investors. The timeline for this expansion is ongoing, with potential for significant growth within the next 3-5 years.
  • Increased Focus on Digital Banking Services: Enhancing its digital banking platform can attract and retain customers, particularly tech-savvy small business owners and high-net-worth individuals. By offering a seamless online and mobile banking experience, Bridgewater can compete more effectively with larger banks and fintech companies. This includes investing in user-friendly interfaces, mobile payment solutions, and robust cybersecurity measures. The market for digital banking is rapidly expanding, and Bridgewater can capitalize on this trend by offering innovative and convenient digital solutions. The timeline for significant improvements in digital banking is within the next 1-2 years.
  • Strategic Partnerships with Fintech Companies: Collaborating with fintech companies can provide Bridgewater with access to cutting-edge technologies and expand its service offerings. By partnering with fintech firms specializing in areas such as online lending, payment processing, and wealth management, Bridgewater can enhance its competitiveness and attract new customers. This approach allows Bridgewater to leverage the expertise of fintech companies without having to invest heavily in internal development. The market for fintech partnerships is growing rapidly, and Bridgewater can benefit from these collaborations in the next 2-3 years.
  • Expansion of Commercial Real Estate Lending Portfolio: Given its expertise in commercial real estate lending, Bridgewater can further expand its portfolio by targeting specific segments within this market, such as multifamily housing and mixed-use developments. The demand for commercial real estate financing remains strong in the Twin Cities region, and Bridgewater can capitalize on this trend by offering competitive loan products and personalized service. This expansion can be achieved through targeted marketing and outreach to real estate developers and investors. The timeline for significant growth in the commercial real estate lending portfolio is within the next 3-5 years.
  • Development of Specialized Lending Products for Small Businesses: Creating specialized lending products tailored to the specific needs of small businesses can attract new customers and increase loan volume. This includes offering lines of credit, equipment financing, and SBA loans. By understanding the unique challenges and opportunities faced by small businesses, Bridgewater can develop customized lending solutions that meet their needs. The market for small business lending is large and diverse, and Bridgewater can differentiate itself by offering personalized service and flexible loan terms. The timeline for developing and launching specialized lending products is within the next 1-2 years.

What Are BWB's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong local market presence in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area.
  • Focus on relationship banking and personalized service.
  • Expertise in commercial real estate lending.
  • Established reputation within its target markets.
  • Efficient operations and disciplined credit underwriting.

What Does BWB Do?

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc., established in 2005, functions as the holding company for Bridgewater Bank, a regional bank providing a comprehensive suite of financial products and services. The bank targets commercial real estate investors, small business entrepreneurs, and high-net-worth individuals, primarily within the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area. Bridgewater Bank offers a variety of deposit accounts, including savings, money market, demand deposits, and certificates of deposit. Its lending portfolio encompasses commercial loans, construction and land development loans, 1-4 family mortgage loans, multifamily lending products, and consumer loans. The bank distinguishes itself through its focus on relationship banking, personalized service, and local market expertise. Bridgewater operates seven full-service offices located in Bloomington, Greenwood, Minneapolis, St. Louis Park, Orono, and St. Paul, Minnesota. The bank also provides online, mobile, and direct banking services, enhancing accessibility for its customers. Bridgewater's strategy emphasizes organic growth, disciplined credit underwriting, and efficient operations to deliver sustainable profitability.

What Products and Services Does BWB Offer?

  • Provides banking products and services to commercial real estate investors.
  • Offers financial solutions to small business entrepreneurs.
  • Serves high net worth individuals with tailored banking services.
  • Provides savings and money market accounts.
  • Offers demand deposits and certificates of deposit.
  • Provides commercial loans for various business purposes.
  • Offers construction and land development loans.
  • Provides online, mobile, and direct banking services.

How Does BWB Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through interest income from loans.
  • Earns fees from various banking services.
  • Attracts deposits to fund lending activities.
  • Manages credit risk through underwriting and monitoring.
  • Focuses on relationship banking within its target markets.

What Industry Does BWB Operate In?

Bridgewater Bancshares operates within the regional banking sector, a segment characterized by intense competition and evolving customer expectations. The industry is undergoing digital transformation, with fintech companies challenging traditional banking models. Regional banks like Bridgewater are adapting by investing in technology and focusing on personalized service. The market is influenced by interest rate trends, regulatory changes, and economic conditions. Bridgewater differentiates itself by focusing on commercial real estate and small business lending within its local market, allowing it to build strong relationships and expertise.

Who Are BWB's Key Customers?

  • Commercial real estate investors
  • Small business entrepreneurs
  • High net worth individuals
  • Sole proprietorships, partnerships, and corporations
  • Individuals seeking mortgage loans
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 43 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 69?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.31 Revenue growth (Growth)
  • +0.27 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.23 6-month price trend (Momentum)

What is holding it back

  • -0.15 Free cash flow growth (Growth)
  • -0.12 Dividend yield (Valuation)

Risk penalties applied

  • -0.03 Reported profit not backed by cash flow

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 66
2026-08-26 65
2026-08-29 65
2026-09-01 71
2026-09-04 70
2026-09-07 72
2026-09-10 69

What changed?

The grade moved from 66 to 69 (+3).

What moved it up or down:

  • +19 Financial Strength
  • +1 Valuation

Held back by:

  • -4 Momentum
  • -3 Business Quality

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -1.8%.

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) reported $24.1M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, a decline of 69.6% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $14.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.49. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, BWB averaged $0.50 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Saint Louis Park, US. The company is led by CEO Jerry J. Baack. BWB has traded publicly since 2018.

How Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. Is Valued

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $596M, placing it in the small-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $24.00 to $25.00, with a consensus of $24.50. At the current price of $21.39, that implies approximately 15% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, BWB's quantitative score of 69/100 is below the peer average of 87/100.

ROE 11%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. stands at 10.8%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.0%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. BWB trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 9.48, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.55 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

5/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 5.5% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. insiders filed 62 SEC Form 4 transactions — 34 sales and 28 purchases. On net that is roughly 394K shares disposed (about $8.5M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

BWB Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+16.0%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+40.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+45.7%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-48.1%
P/E (TTM)
9.48
Return on Equity (TTM)
+10.8%

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong focus on commercial real estate and small business lending.
  • Established presence in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area.
  • Experienced management team.
  • Solid profitability and efficiency metrics.

Bear Case

  • Limited geographic diversification.
  • Smaller size compared to larger regional and national banks.
  • Reliance on traditional banking model.
  • Lack of dividend may deter some investors.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $24M $14M $0.49
Q1 FY2026 $79M $17M $0.61
Q4 FY2025 $76M $13M $0.47
Q3 FY2025 $75M $12M $0.41

Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

BWB Latest News

BWB Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for BWB.

Price Targets

Low
$24.00
Consensus
$24.50
High
$25.00

Median: $24.50 (+14.5% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

BWB MoonshotScore

69/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. BWB scores 69/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Gerald John Baack

CEO

Gerald John Baack serves as the CEO of Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc., bringing extensive experience in the banking and financial services industry. His career includes leadership roles in various financial institutions, focusing on commercial lending, strategic planning, and risk management. Baack's background equips him with a deep understanding of the regional banking landscape and the needs of Bridgewater's target customers. He is responsible for overseeing the company's overall strategy and operations, ensuring sustainable growth and profitability.

Track Record: Under Gerald John Baack's leadership, Bridgewater Bancshares has focused on expanding its presence in the Minneapolis-St. Paul metropolitan area and enhancing its commercial lending capabilities. He has overseen the implementation of strategic initiatives aimed at improving operational efficiency and enhancing customer service. During his tenure, the bank has maintained a strong focus on credit quality and risk management, contributing to its consistent profitability.

What Investors Ask About Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) — Financial Services

What does the AI Score mean for BWB?

BWB holds an AI Score of 69/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is BWB a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate BWB buy, sell or hold. Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 69/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about BWB stock?

Analyst coverage of Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) typically focuses on its growth prospects within the Minneapolis-St. Paul market, its asset quality, and its net interest margin. Key valuation metrics include its P/E ratio, which is currently 8.51, and its price-to-book ratio.

What are the key factors to evaluate for BWB?

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) holds an AI score of 69/100 (moderate). P/E: 9.48x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $24.50 (+15%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does BWB data refresh on this page?

BWB's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven BWB's recent stock price performance?

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong focus on commercial real estate and small business lending. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider BWB overvalued or undervalued right now?

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) trades at 9.48x earnings. Analysts target $24.50 (+15%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of BWB?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track BWB's earnings and financial reports?

Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for BWB earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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