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Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$70.67 +$0.24 (+0.34%) |CouncilBullish Lean · 57 · B
Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) bottom line: signals are mixed — the Council read leans Bullish Lean (57/100) while the AI fundamental score is 49/100 (grade C); the two lenses disagree, so weigh the breakdown below. Strongest single signal: Ken Griffin bullish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
P/E Ratio: 13.07| Vol: 7.7K| Target: $76.41 (+8.1%) (Sep 2, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $47.02 – $73.10

P/E 13.07 means the share price is 13.07 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Beta 0.85: the stock has moved about 15% less than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated Mar 16, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) trades at $70.67 with MoonshotScore 49/100 (Grade C). Erste Group Bank AG, headquartered in Vienna, Austria, provides a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services across Central and Eastern Europe. Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: Mar 16, 2026
Erste Group Bank AG, headquartered in Vienna, Austria, provides a comprehensive suite of banking and financial services across Central and Eastern Europe. With a history dating back to 1819, the company serves retail, corporate, and public sector clients through various segments, including Retail, Corporates, and Group Markets.

EBKDY stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $76.41 for Erste Group Bank AG, suggesting 8.1% upside from the current price of $70.67. The AI MoonshotScore is 49/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the EBKDY film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 57/100 · B

EBKDY: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Favorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Neutral read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A 9-signal quantitative MoonshotScore built from filings, insider activity, and market data — computed from the numbers, not from opinion.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) Financial Services Profile

Employees49,024
HeadquartersVienna, Austria

Erste Group Bank AG, a leading financial services provider in Central and Eastern Europe, offers diverse banking solutions, including retail, corporate, and investment services. Operating across Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and other key markets, Erste Group leverages its established network and comprehensive product suite to maintain a strong regional presence and serve a wide range of customer needs.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: Mar 16, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for EBKDY?

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a market capitalization of $40.32 billion and a healthy profit margin of 31.4%, Erste Group demonstrates financial stability and profitability. The company's return on equity (ROE) of 13.1% indicates efficient capital utilization. Key growth catalysts include the expansion of digital banking services and strategic investments in high-growth markets within Central and Eastern Europe. Potential risks include regulatory changes and economic fluctuations in the region. The company's beta of 0.85 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

EBKDY Key Highlights

AI-written as of Mar 16, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $40.32B demonstrates substantial size and investor confidence.

  • Profit Margin of 31.4% indicates strong operational efficiency and profitability.
  • Return on Equity (ROE) of 13.1% signifies effective utilization of shareholder equity.
  • Beta of 0.85 suggests lower volatility compared to the overall market, potentially offering a more stable investment.
  • Operates in Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania, Hungary, Croatia, and Serbia, providing diversification across multiple economies.

Who Are EBKDY's Competitors?

EBKDY is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
ING ING Groep N.V. $37.16 +1.35% $106B 555-pillar
USB U.S. Bancorp $62.85 +0.71% $97.9B 945-pillar
SHG Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. $83.86 +3.24% $39.6B 985-pillar
BBD Banco Bradesco S.A. $3.58 +4.37% $37.9B 945-pillar
CIB Grupo Cibest S.A. $103.12 +3.08% $24.5B 985-pillar
WF Woori Financial Group Inc. $74.56 +0.35% $18.1B 975-pillar
BPOP Popular, Inc. $163.96 -0.54% $10.5B 925-pillar
ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association $68.29 +0.26% $9.97B 975-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are EBKDY's Key Strengths?

Strong brand recognition in Central and Eastern Europe.

  • Diversified product and service offerings.
  • Extensive branch network and digital banking platforms.
  • Solid financial performance with healthy profit margins.

What Are EBKDY's Weaknesses?

Exposure to economic fluctuations in the CEE region.

  • Dependence on traditional banking models.
  • Limited presence in Western European markets.
  • Regulatory complexities in operating across multiple countries.

What Could Drive EBKDY Stock Higher?

Expansion of digital banking services to attract new customers and enhance customer engagement.

  • Strategic acquisitions to expand market presence and diversify revenue streams.
  • Cross-selling initiatives to increase customer loyalty and generate additional revenue.
  • Sustainable banking initiatives to attract environmentally conscious customers.
  • Expansion in emerging markets within Central and Eastern Europe to tap into high-growth potential.

What Are the Key Risks for EBKDY?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.43 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Economic downturns in the CEE region could negatively impact loan performance and profitability.
  • Increasing competition from fintech companies could erode market share.
  • Regulatory changes and compliance costs could increase operating expenses.
  • Cybersecurity risks and data breaches could damage reputation and result in financial losses.
  • Limited liquidity on the OTC market can lead to difficulties in buying or selling shares at desired prices.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for EBKDY?

  • Digital Banking Expansion: Erste Group has a significant opportunity to expand its digital banking services across its operating regions. With increasing adoption of online and mobile banking, Erste Group can leverage its existing digital platforms to attract new customers and enhance customer engagement. The market for digital banking in Central and Eastern Europe is projected to grow substantially, driven by increasing internet penetration and smartphone usage. By investing in user-friendly interfaces and innovative digital products, Erste Group can capture a larger share of this growing market. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Erste Group can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its market presence and diversify its revenue streams. Identifying and acquiring smaller banks or fintech companies in key markets can provide access to new customer segments and innovative technologies. This strategy can accelerate growth and enhance Erste Group's competitive position. Due diligence and integration are critical to ensure the success of these acquisitions. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Cross-Selling Opportunities: Erste Group can leverage its existing customer base to cross-sell a wider range of financial products and services. By offering bundled products and personalized financial solutions, Erste Group can increase customer loyalty and generate additional revenue. This strategy requires effective data analytics and targeted marketing campaigns to identify customer needs and preferences. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Sustainable Banking Initiatives: Erste Group can capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable banking products and services. By offering green loans, impact investments, and socially responsible financial solutions, Erste Group can attract environmentally conscious customers and enhance its brand reputation. This strategy aligns with global trends towards sustainable development and responsible investing. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Erste Group can explore opportunities to expand its operations in emerging markets within Central and Eastern Europe. These markets offer significant growth potential due to increasing urbanization, rising incomes, and a growing demand for financial services. Careful market analysis and risk management are essential to ensure the success of this expansion strategy. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are EBKDY's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong regional presence in Central and Eastern Europe.
  • Diversified revenue streams across retail, corporate, and investment banking.
  • Established brand reputation and customer loyalty.
  • Extensive branch network and digital banking platforms.

What Does EBKDY Do?

Founded in 1819 in Vienna, Austria, Erste Group Bank AG has evolved from a savings bank into a major financial services provider in Central and Eastern Europe. Initially established to serve the local community, Erste Group expanded its operations throughout the 20th and 21st centuries, driven by strategic acquisitions and organic growth. Today, the bank operates in Austria, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania, Hungary, Croatia, and Serbia, offering a wide array of financial products and services. Erste Group's services encompass retail banking, corporate banking, and investment banking, catering to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), large corporations, and public sector entities. The company's retail offerings include mortgage and consumer loans, investment products, current and savings accounts, and credit cards. For corporate clients, Erste Group provides factoring, supply chain finance solutions, investment and acquisition finance, and commercial real estate finance. The bank also offers financial advice, interest rate and currency hedging, and trade finance services. Erste Group's commitment to innovation is reflected in its digital banking platforms and cash management solutions, designed to enhance customer experience and streamline financial operations. With a workforce of approximately 45,700 employees, Erste Group maintains a strong focus on sustainable banking practices and community engagement, solidifying its position as a leading financial institution in the region.

What Products and Services Does EBKDY Offer?

  • Provides mortgage and consumer loans to individuals.
  • Offers investment products, current accounts, and savings products.
  • Issues credit cards and provides cross-selling products like leasing and insurance.
  • Offers factoring and accounts receivable purchasing services.
  • Provides investment, acquisition, and commercial real estate finance.
  • Offers interest rate and currency hedging solutions.
  • Provides cash management, trade finance, and custody services.
  • Engages in securities and derivatives trading.

How Does EBKDY Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through interest income from loans and mortgages.
  • Earns fees from providing financial advice, investment products, and banking services.
  • Profits from trading securities, derivatives, and foreign exchange.
  • Offers digital banking and cash management solutions for businesses.

What Industry Does EBKDY Operate In?

Erste Group Bank AG operates within the regional banking sector, which is characterized by increasing competition, regulatory scrutiny, and technological disruption. The market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, economic growth, and regulatory policies. Erste Group's competitive landscape includes both local and international banks, as well as fintech companies offering innovative financial solutions. The company's focus on digital transformation and customer-centric services positions it favorably within this evolving environment. The regional banking sector is expected to grow moderately, driven by increasing demand for financial services and the expansion of digital banking platforms.

Who Are EBKDY's Key Customers?

  • Retail customers seeking personal banking services.
  • Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) requiring business loans and financial solutions.
  • Large corporations needing investment banking and trade finance services.
  • Public sector entities requiring financial management and banking services.
Model self-rating on this text: 81% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: Mar 16, 2026

Research confidence

Medium 60/100

Enough evidence to be useful, with gaps worth knowing about.

  • Scoring coverage unknown
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 73 days ago
  • Covered by analysts
  • Reported in EUR, converted to USD

Why 49?

This rating comes from our nine-signal model, which produces a score but not a per-factor breakdown. The sector-relative five-pillar model, which explains its own contributions, does not cover this listing yet. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 49
2026-08-26 49
2026-08-29 49
2026-09-01 49
2026-09-04 49
2026-09-07 49
2026-09-10 49

What changed?

The score has stayed at 49.

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -1.7%.

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) Valuation Context

Relative to its peer group, EBKDY's quantitative score of 49/100 is below the peer average of 91/100.

EBKDY Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, EBKDY generated $7.26B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 6.1%. The company recorded net income of $1.27B, with diluted EPS of $0.82. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this unknown Financial Services company. Across the four most recent quarters, EBKDY averaged $0.69 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Erste Group Bank AG operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Vienna, AT. The company is led by CEO Peter Bosek. EBKDY has traded publicly since 2010.

ROE 16%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Erste Group Bank AG stands at 15.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 0.8%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. EBKDY trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13.07, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 35.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.39 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 7.6%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Erste Group Bank AG's Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.43 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

4/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Erste Group Bank AG has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 4 of its last 8 reported quarters — more hits than misses. Reported results have landed about 1.6% above estimates on average.

EBKDY Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-8.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+7.9%
EPS Growth (FY)
+2.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+133.6%
P/E (TTM)
13.07
Return on Equity (TTM)
+15.7%
Current Ratio
1.4
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
19.4

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand recognition in Central and Eastern Europe.
  • Diversified product and service offerings.
  • Extensive branch network and digital banking platforms.
  • Solid financial performance with healthy profit margins.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to economic fluctuations in the CEE region.
  • Dependence on traditional banking models.
  • Limited presence in Western European markets.
  • Regulatory complexities in operating across multiple countries.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $7.26B $1.27B $0.82
Q1 FY2026 $6.84B $1.04B $0.63
Q4 FY2025 $6.08B $1.10B $0.67
Q3 FY2025 $6.09B $1.04B $0.64

Q2 FY2026 · filed 30 Jun 2026 · Financial Modeling Prep

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · Converted to USD from EUR at today's rate

EBKDY Latest News

EBKDY Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for EBKDY.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $76.41

EBKDY MoonshotScore

49/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. EBKDY scores 49/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Erste Group Bank AG ADR Information Unsponsored

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) trades in the U.S. as an American Depositary Receipt (ADR).

  • ADR Level: 1
  • ADR Ratio: 1:1
  • Home Market Ticker: EBKD

EBKDY OTC Market Information

The OTC Other tier represents the lowest tier of the OTC market, indicating that Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) may have limited regulatory oversight and reporting requirements compared to companies listed on major exchanges like the NYSE or NASDAQ. Companies in this tier often have minimal financial disclosure, making it challenging for investors to access comprehensive information. Investing in OTC Other stocks involves higher risks due to the lack of stringent listing standards and regulatory scrutiny. This tier is also known for having the least liquid stocks on the OTC market.

  • OTC Tier: OTC Other
Liquidity: Liquidity for EBKDY on the OTC market is likely limited, potentially resulting in wider bid-ask spreads and difficulties in executing large trades without significantly impacting the price. Lower trading volumes can increase price volatility and make it challenging to enter or exit positions quickly. Investors should be prepared for potential delays and price fluctuations when trading EBKDY on the OTC market.
OTC Risk Factors:
  • Limited financial disclosure increases information asymmetry and the risk of making uninformed investment decisions.
  • Lower liquidity can lead to difficulties in buying or selling shares at desired prices.
  • Higher price volatility can result in significant losses.
  • Potential for fraud or manipulation due to less regulatory oversight.
  • OTC stocks may be subject to delisting or trading suspensions.
Due Diligence Checklist:
  • Verify the company's registration and legal standing.
  • Assess the availability and reliability of financial information.
  • Evaluate the company's business model and competitive landscape.
  • Review the company's management team and track record.
  • Monitor trading volume and price volatility.
  • Understand the risks associated with investing in OTC stocks.
  • Consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Legitimacy Signals:
  • Established operating history in the financial services sector.
  • Presence in multiple countries across Central and Eastern Europe.
  • Significant market capitalization.
  • Publicly available information, even if limited, on reputable financial websites.
  • Active investor relations or corporate communications.

What Investors Ask About Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) — Financial Services

What does the AI Score mean for EBKDY?

EBKDY holds an AI Score of 49/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the legacy nine-factor engine (quantitative signals from revenue growth to news sentiment), written once, not refreshed.

Is EBKDY a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate EBKDY buy, sell or hold. Erste Group Bank AG carries a MoonshotScore of 49/100 on the legacy nine-factor engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

How sensitive is EBKDY to interest rate changes?

Erste Group Bank AG's net interest margin (NIM) is sensitive to interest rate changes, as it impacts the profitability of lending activities. Rising interest rates can increase NIM if loan yields increase faster than deposit costs. Conversely, falling interest rates can compress NIM if deposit costs decline slower than loan yields.

What are the key factors to evaluate for EBKDY?

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) holds a MoonshotScore of 49/100 (low). P/E: 13.07x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $76.41 (+8%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does EBKDY data refresh on this page?

EBKDY's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven EBKDY's recent stock price performance?

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition in Central and Eastern Europe. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider EBKDY overvalued or undervalued right now?

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) trades at 13.07x earnings. Analysts target $76.41 (+8%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of EBKDY?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track EBKDY's earnings and financial reports?

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for EBKDY earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • OTC market data may be less reliable than exchange-listed data.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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