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Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$0.97 -$0.01 (-1.02%) |Weak · 18
Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) bottom line: Bearish Lean — our Council read (19/100) and AI Score (18/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Momentum · Biggest watch-out: Valuation.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $4.62M| Vol: 33.6K| 52-wk range: $0.50 – $3.69

Market cap $4.62M is the value of all shares combined. Beta 2.32: the stock has moved about 132% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 31, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) trades at $0.97 with MoonshotScore 18/100 (Grade F). Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. manufactures and distributes controlled environment agriculture (CEA) equipment and supplies in the United States and Canada. Market cap: $4.62M, Sector: Industrials.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 31, 2026
Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. manufactures and distributes controlled environment agriculture (CEA) equipment and supplies in the United States and Canada. The company's products cater to the cultivation of cannabis, flowers, fruits, plants, vegetables, grains, and herbs in controlled environments.

Analyst Coverage for HYFM: HYFM does not currently have published analyst price targets in our coverage universe. This is common for smaller-cap names with limited Wall Street coverage. In the absence of analyst consensus, our AI model evaluates HYFM against Industrials peers across nine fundamental dimensions and assigns an underweight signal based on the underlying data.

Watch the HYFM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bearish Lean 19/100 · F

HYFM: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 18/100
Business Quality
Negative Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Negative Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Negative Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Negative Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Momentum (3/10, Weak). Weakest side: Valuation (0/10, Negative).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Unfavorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Negative
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOWilliam Douglas Toler
Employees251
HeadquartersShoemakersville, US
IPO Year2020

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. provides controlled environment agriculture (CEA) equipment and supplies across the US and Canada. The company offers a range of products, including lighting, climate control, hydroponics, and nutrients, targeting the growing market for controlled environment cultivation of various crops, including cannabis.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis Analysis: May 31, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for HYFM?

AI-written as of May 31, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group operates in the evolving CEA market, which is influenced by the increasing adoption of controlled environment agriculture for cannabis and other crops. While the company offers a comprehensive range of products, its negative profit margin of -237.2% and a low gross margin of 1.6% raise concerns about its financial health. The company's high beta of 2.32 indicates high volatility relative to the market. Growth catalysts include potential expansion in the CEA market and product innovation. However, risks include intense competition, fluctuating commodity prices, and potential regulatory changes affecting the cannabis industry. Investors should closely monitor Hydrofarm's ability to improve its profitability and manage its operational costs.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

HYFM Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 31, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Hydrofarm operates in the Controlled Environment Agriculture (CEA) market, providing equipment and supplies for indoor and greenhouse cultivation.

  • The company's product range includes agricultural lighting, climate control systems, hydroponics, nutrients, and plant additives.
  • Hydrofarm's gross margin stands at 1.6%, indicating challenges in profitability.
  • The company's profit margin is -237.2%, reflecting significant losses.
  • Hydrofarm's beta is 2.32, suggesting higher volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are HYFM's Competitors?

HYFM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
SMG The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company $56.16 -1.30% $3.27B 545-pillar
CEAD CEA Industries Inc. $10.00 +29.87% $8.02M
XOS Xos, Inc. $2.75 -1.25% $28.2M
RYM RYTHM, Inc. $23.16 -2.03% $49.8M
LEV The Lion Electric Company $0.25 -25.02% $56.6M
GENC Gencor Industries, Inc. $18.17 +0.55% $266M 845-pillar
TWI Titan International Inc. $7.36 -3.41% $475M 365-pillar
WNC Wabash National Corporation $12.69 +0.55% $517M 365-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are HYFM's Key Strengths?

Wide range of CEA products and solutions.

  • Established brand reputation in the industry.
  • Extensive distribution network across North America.
  • Long-standing relationships with key retailers and distributors.

What Are HYFM's Weaknesses?

Low gross margin and negative profit margin.

  • High debt levels.
  • Dependence on the cannabis industry, which is subject to regulatory changes.
  • High beta, indicating significant volatility.

What Could Drive HYFM Stock Higher?

HYFM catalyst: Potential for increased legalization of cannabis in additional states and countries, driving demand for CEA equipment.

  • Continued innovation in CEA technology, including energy-efficient lighting and automated systems.
  • Potential for strategic acquisitions or partnerships to expand product offerings and market reach.
  • Expansion of distribution networks to reach new markets and customers.

What Are the Key Risks for HYFM?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -20.98 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 reported quarters.
  • Intense competition from other CEA equipment suppliers.
  • Fluctuations in commodity prices affecting input costs.
  • Regulatory changes impacting the cannabis industry.
  • Economic downturns reducing consumer spending on agricultural products.
  • The company's high debt levels could constrain its ability to invest in growth initiatives.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for HYFM?

  • Expansion in the Cannabis Market: The increasing legalization and acceptance of cannabis cultivation presents a significant growth opportunity for Hydrofarm. As more states and countries legalize cannabis, the demand for CEA equipment and supplies is expected to rise. Hydrofarm can capitalize on this trend by expanding its product offerings and distribution networks to serve cannabis growers. The global legal cannabis market is projected to reach $57 billion by 2027, offering a substantial market for Hydrofarm's products.
  • Product Innovation and Technological Advancements: Investing in research and development to create innovative and technologically advanced CEA equipment can drive growth. Developing energy-efficient lighting systems, automated climate control solutions, and precision nutrient delivery systems can attract growers seeking to optimize their operations. The market for agricultural technology is rapidly expanding, with investments in AgTech startups reaching $6.8 billion in 2020. Hydrofarm can leverage this trend by introducing cutting-edge products that improve crop yields and reduce operational costs.
  • Geographic Expansion: Expanding its presence in international markets can provide Hydrofarm with new growth opportunities. Entering markets with favorable regulatory environments for CEA and cannabis cultivation can increase the company's revenue streams. Europe and Latin America are emerging markets for CEA, offering potential avenues for Hydrofarm to expand its distribution networks and establish partnerships with local growers. The global CEA market is expected to reach $97 billion by 2028, highlighting the potential for international expansion.
  • Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Acquiring complementary businesses and forming strategic partnerships can enhance Hydrofarm's product offerings and market reach. Partnering with companies specializing in greenhouse construction, vertical farming systems, or agricultural technology can provide access to new markets and technologies. Strategic acquisitions can also consolidate the fragmented CEA market, allowing Hydrofarm to increase its market share and improve its competitive position. The value of mergers and acquisitions in the agricultural sector reached $62.3 billion in 2020, indicating the potential for strategic deals.
  • Focus on Sustainable and Eco-Friendly Solutions: As environmental concerns grow, there is an increasing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly CEA solutions. Hydrofarm can focus on developing products that reduce energy consumption, minimize water usage, and utilize renewable resources. Offering organic nutrients, biodegradable growing media, and energy-efficient lighting systems can attract environmentally conscious growers. The market for sustainable agriculture is expanding, with consumers increasingly demanding products that are produced using environmentally friendly practices. Hydrofarm can capitalize on this trend by positioning itself as a leader in sustainable CEA solutions.

What Are HYFM's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established brand reputation with well-known brands like Phantom, PhotoBio, and Active Aqua.
  • Extensive distribution network across the United States and Canada.
  • Wide range of products catering to various aspects of controlled environment agriculture.
  • Long-standing relationships with key retailers and distributors in the industry.

What Does HYFM Do?

Founded in 1977, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. has evolved into a key player in the controlled environment agriculture (CEA) sector. The company manufactures and distributes a comprehensive range of equipment and supplies essential for indoor and greenhouse cultivation. Its product portfolio includes agricultural lighting, indoor climate control systems, hydroponics and nutrients, and plant additives. These products support the cultivation of a diverse range of crops, including cannabis, flowers, fruits, plants, vegetables, grains, and herbs. Hydrofarm distributes its products across the United States and Canada. The company offers a wide array of CEA equipment and supplies, including grow light systems, HVAC systems, humidity and carbon dioxide monitors, water pumps, heaters, chillers, filters, and nutrient delivery systems. It also provides various growing media such as soil, rock wool, and coconut fiber. Hydrofarm's products are marketed under various brands, including Phantom, PhotoBio, Active Aqua, Active Air, HEAVY 16, House & Garden, Mad Farmer, Roots Organics, Soul, Procision, Grotek, Gaia Green, Innovative Growers Equipment, Quantum, Xtrasun, Digilux, Agrobrite, SunBlaster, Jump Start, Active Eye, Autopilot, Phat, oxyClone, and GROW!T. Based in Shoemakersville, Pennsylvania, Hydrofarm continues to focus on serving the evolving needs of growers in the CEA market. The company's extensive product range and established distribution network position it as a significant supplier in the agricultural machinery industry.

What Products and Services Does HYFM Offer?

  • Manufactures agricultural lighting devices for controlled environment agriculture.
  • Provides indoor climate control equipment, including HVAC systems and controllers.
  • Offers hydroponics systems and nutrients for indoor plant cultivation.
  • Distributes plant additives and growing media such as soil, rock wool, and coconut fiber.
  • Supplies water pumps, heaters, chillers, and filters for CEA systems.
  • Provides atmospheric control equipment, including controllers, monitors, and timers.
  • Offers ventilation and air conditioning equipment for indoor growing environments.
  • Distributes CO2 equipment for optimizing plant growth.

How Does HYFM Make Money?

  • Hydrofarm manufactures and distributes CEA equipment and supplies.
  • The company sells its products through a network of retailers and distributors.
  • Hydrofarm generates revenue from the sale of its branded products.
  • The company focuses on serving the needs of growers in the cannabis, horticulture, and agriculture markets.

What Industry Does HYFM Operate In?

Hydrofarm operates within the agricultural machinery industry, specifically focusing on the controlled environment agriculture (CEA) sector. The CEA market is driven by the increasing demand for locally grown produce, the expansion of the cannabis industry, and advancements in agricultural technology. This market is characterized by intense competition among equipment manufacturers and suppliers. Hydrofarm's position is influenced by its wide product range and established distribution network. The company must navigate fluctuating commodity prices and evolving regulations, particularly those affecting the cannabis industry.

Who Are HYFM's Key Customers?

  • Cannabis growers in the United States and Canada.
  • Horticultural businesses and greenhouse operators.
  • Farmers and agricultural producers using controlled environment agriculture.
  • Retailers and distributors of agricultural equipment and supplies.
Model self-rating on this text: 66% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 31, 2026

Research confidence

High 85/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 85% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 28 days ago
  • No analyst coverage

Why 18?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.61 Return on equity (Business Quality)
  • +0.10 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)
  • +0.07 Operating income growth (Growth)

What is holding it back

  • -0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.78 Net margin (Business Quality)

Risk penalties applied

  • -1.89 Bankruptcy-risk score in the distress zone
  • -2.00 Loss-making with negative retained earnings

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 16
2026-08-26 16
2026-08-29 16
2026-09-01 17
2026-09-04 18
2026-09-07 18
2026-09-10 23

What changed?

The grade moved from 16 to 23 (+7).

What moved it up or down:

  • +2 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • -20 Financial Safety
  • -2 Momentum

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -3.9%.

Company Profile

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. operates in the Agricultural - Machinery industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Shoemakersville, US. The company is led by CEO William Douglas Toler. HYFM has traded publicly since 2020.

Key Financial Metrics

Its free cash flow yield is -69.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.33 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching.

HYFM Valuation & Market Position

With a $4.62M market cap, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. sits in the micro-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, HYFM's quantitative score of 18/100 is below the peer average of 53/100.

Quarterly Financial Performance: Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.

Revenue for Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. came in at $23.2M during Q2 FY2026, a 18.6% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $10.6M, with diluted EPS of $-2.23. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a micro-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, HYFM averaged $-15.17 in diluted EPS.

F-Score 4/9

Financial Health

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -20.98 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

1/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 7 of its last 8 reported quarters — a recurring pattern of falling short of estimates. Reported results have landed about 458.7% below estimates on average.

Net buying

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. insiders filed 6 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 4 purchases. On net that is roughly 119K shares acquired (about $1K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

HYFM Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-29.4%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-334.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
-328.3%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-369.0%
Current Ratio
0.3

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Wide range of CEA products and solutions.
  • Established brand reputation in the industry.
  • Extensive distribution network across North America.
  • Long-standing relationships with key retailers and distributors.

Bear Case

  • Low gross margin and negative profit margin.
  • High debt levels.
  • Dependence on the cannabis industry, which is subject to regulatory changes.
  • High beta, indicating significant volatility.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $23M -$11M -$2.23
Q1 FY2026 $29M -$15M -$3.07
Q4 FY2025 $25M -$242M -$51.89
Q3 FY2025 $29M -$16M -$3.51

Q2 FY2026 · filed 14 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

HYFM Latest News

HYFM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for HYFM.

Price Targets

Wall Street price target analysis for HYFM.

HYFM MoonshotScore

18/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. HYFM scores 18/100 (Grade F): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: William Douglas Toler

CEO

William Douglas Toler serves as the CEO of Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. His background encompasses extensive experience in the agricultural and industrial sectors. Before joining Hydrofarm, Toler held leadership positions at various companies, focusing on strategic growth and operational efficiency. His expertise includes supply chain management, product development, and market expansion. Toler's experience positions him to lead Hydrofarm in navigating the evolving CEA market.

Track Record: Since assuming the role of CEO, William Douglas Toler has focused on streamlining operations and improving financial performance. Key initiatives include optimizing the supply chain, introducing new product lines, and expanding the company's distribution network. Under his leadership, Hydrofarm has navigated challenges in the cannabis industry and sought to diversify its product offerings. Toler's strategic decisions aim to position Hydrofarm for long-term growth and profitability.

Common Questions About HYFM (Industrials)

What does the AI Score mean for HYFM?

HYFM holds an AI Score of 18/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is HYFM a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate HYFM buy, sell or hold. Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 18/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about HYFM stock?

Analyst coverage of Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. reflects a cautious outlook, given the company's financial performance and the challenges in the cannabis industry.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HYFM?

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) holds a MoonshotScore of 18/100 (low). While the company offers a comprehensive range of products, its negative profit margin of -237.2% and a low gross margin of 1.6% raise concerns about its financial health. Not financial advice.

How frequently does HYFM data refresh on this page?

HYFM's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven HYFM's recent stock price performance?

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Wide range of CEA products and solutions. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HYFM overvalued or undervalued right now?

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-0.12x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of HYFM?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track HYFM's earnings and financial reports?

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for HYFM earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are based on the most recent filings.
  • The analysis does not constitute investment advice.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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