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Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) Stock Price & Analysis

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) — MoonshotScore 18/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $1.03 (+8.22%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $4.91M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$1.03 +$0.0782 (+8.22%) Market Cap $4.91M

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. · HYFM

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. manufactures and distributes controlled environment agriculture (CEA) equipment and supplies in the United States and Canada. The company's products cater to the cultivation of cannabis, flowers, fruits, plants, vegetables, grains, and herbs in controlled environments.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

18 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM)

Weak
Business Quality Poor (9)
Financial Safety Fragile (3)
Valuation Bubble (3)
Growth Durability Shrinking (5)
Momentum Slipping (39)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Bottom-tier quality, a fragile balance sheet and stalling growth, and it’s expensive on top — broad distress, a capital-preservation call, not a value entry. Business Quality: Poor; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Bubble; Growth Durability: Shrinking; Momentum: Slipping.

  • quarterly revenue $23M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
  • EPS beat 1 of 8
  • Altman Z -20.98 · Piotroski F 4

Holding back: weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, soft growth

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for HYFM (30 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
18Weak
18Weak
18Weak
18Weak
18Weak
18Weak

The score was 18 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 18 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

As of
MeasureValue
Latest provided price$1.03
Change on the day+8.22%
52-week range$0.50 – $3.48
Market capitalisation$4.91M
Price / earnings (trailing)-0.12
Shares traded on the day64.8K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

9-Factor Breakdown

Revenue Growth Neutral
Gross Margin Neutral
Operating Leverage Neutral
Cash Runway Neutral
R&D Intensity Neutral
Insider Activity Moderate
Trading Liquidity Neutral
Price Momentum Negative
News Sentiment Neutral

Legends Council

3 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Unfavorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Unfavorable read

Read on: Sep 8, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Negative
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Negative
Debt/Equity Strong
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Weak

Read on: Apr 29, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Apr 29, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 6, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the HYFM film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) is the company analyzed here. It employs 251 people and is led by William Douglas Toler. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $23M and net income of -$11M. The market values it at $4.91M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $23M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 1 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$23M-$11M-$2.23 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$29M-$15M-$3.07 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$25M-$242M-$51.89 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$29M-$16M-$3.51 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM)?

Short answer

What is holding it back is weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, soft growth. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z -20.98 · Piotroski F 4. Trailing ratios: current ratio 0.33 · free-cash-flow yield -69.9%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -20.98 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 7 of the last 8 reported quarters.
5 · Peer comparison

How does Hydrofarm Holdings Group compare with its peers?

Short answer

Hydrofarm Holdings Group's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Gencor Industries, Inc. (GENC) Same industry, near in market value$17.59 Oct 2, 2026$258M84 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) Same industry, near in market value$23.43 Oct 5, 2026$841M78 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Lindsay Corporation (LNN) Same industry, near in market value$114.35 Oct 2, 2026$1.16B73 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) Same industry, near in market value$161.01 Oct 2, 2026$1.96B72 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Same industry, near in market value$114.61 Oct 2, 2026$8.03B68 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE) Same industry, near in market value$42.00 Oct 2, 2026$966M61 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Terex Corporation (TEX) Same industry, near in market value$56.71 Oct 2, 2026$6.48B58 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Named competitor$49.02 Oct 2, 2026$2.85B54 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Hyster-Yale Materials Handling, Inc. (HY) Same industry, near in market value$31.23 Oct 2, 2026$556M43 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Art's-Way Manufacturing Co., Inc. (ARTW) Same industry, near in market value$3.13 Oct 2, 2026$16.3M41 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Same industry, near in market value$14.04 Oct 2, 2026$572M37 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Titan International Inc. (TWI) Same industry, near in market value$6.99 Oct 2, 2026$451M36 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM) — this page$1.03$4.91M18

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Available records within the last 180 days, newest dated Aug 8, 2026 (coverage not recorded)

Transactions
6
Identified insiders
6
Purchases
0
Sales
0
Other transactions
6

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about Hydrofarm Holdings Group (HYFM)?

Read these with our analysis →

Common Questions About HYFM

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the HYFM research dossier (written May 31, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for HYFM?

HYFM carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is HYFM a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate HYFM buy, sell or hold. Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the HYFM stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) is $1.03, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What do analysts say about HYFM stock?

Analyst coverage of Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. reflects a cautious outlook, given the company's financial performance and the challenges in the cannabis industry.

What are the key factors to evaluate for HYFM?

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. Hydrofarm can capitalize on this trend by positioning itself as a leader in sustainable CEA solutions. Not financial advice.

How frequently does HYFM data refresh on this page?

HYFM's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven HYFM's recent stock price performance?

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Wide range of CEA products and solutions. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider HYFM overvalued or undervalued right now?

Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-0.12x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

How do I research HYFM before investing?

Before investing in Hydrofarm Holdings Group, Inc. (HYFM), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 31, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (18 figures)

The 18 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 10 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$1.03FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-05T06:34:27.234Z.
px.changeChange on the day+8.22%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$4.91MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-05T06:34:26.198Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars+$0.0782FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$23MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)-0.12FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day64.8KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026-$11MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP6 transactions · 0 purchases, 0 sales, 6 other transactions · 6 identified insiders · available records within the last 180 days, newest dated Aug 8, 2026 (coverage not recorded)FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 1 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-08-30 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z -20.98 · Piotroski F 4UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$0.50 – $3.48UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
id.employeesEmployees251UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
id.ceoChief executiveWilliam Douglas TolerUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-02
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)current ratio 0.33 · free-cash-flow yield -69.9%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v218 of 100 · Weak · pillars 9 / 3 / 3 / 5 / 39OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement18 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 18 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.