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The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) — MoonshotScore 57/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 26, 2026. Price $58.83 (-0.78%), as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session; market cap $3.43B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$58.83 −$0.46 (-0.78%) Market Cap $3.43B

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company · SMG · NYSE

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a leading manufacturer and marketer of lawn and garden care products. They also operate in the hydroponics market through their Hawthorne segment.

Price as of Oct 26, 2026

Key Statistics

57 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

Fair
Business Quality Solid (64)
Financial Safety Strained (22)
Valuation Fair (66)
Growth Durability Fading (33)
Momentum Quiet (57)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

A fragile balance sheet and weak growth. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Strained; Valuation: Fair; Growth Durability: Fading; Momentum: Quiet.

  • quarterly revenue $1.17B (Q3 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 27, 2026)
  • EPS beat 6 of 8
  • Altman Z 2.32 · Piotroski F 5

Holding back: balance-sheet strain, soft growth

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for SMG (42 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
55Fair
55Fair
55Fair
56Fair
57Fair
57Fair

The score was 57 in the stored Oct 24, 2026 snapshot and remains 57 in the current publication computed Oct 26, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

As of
MeasureValue
Latest provided price$58.83
Change on the day-0.78%
52-week range$47.90 – $75.34
Market capitalisation$3.43B
Price / earnings (trailing)46.19
Shares traded on the day802K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

9-Factor Breakdown

Revenue Growth Neutral
Gross Margin Neutral
Operating Leverage Neutral
Cash Runway Neutral
R&D Intensity Neutral
Insider Activity Moderate
Trading Liquidity Neutral
Price Momentum Negative
News Sentiment Neutral

Legends Council

3 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Weak
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Negative
Debt/Equity Strong
ROE Negative
Gross Margin Neutral

Read on: Apr 30, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Apr 30, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 27, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the SMG film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) is listed on NYSE. It employs 5,200 people and is led by Nathan E. Baxter. In Q3 FY2026 it reported revenue of $1.17B and net income of $112M. The market values it at $3.43B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q3 FY2026, carried revenue of $1.17B. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 6 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q3 FY2026$1.17B$112M$1.90 (diluted)
Q2 FY2026$1.46B$239M$4.04 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$354M-$125M-$2.16 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$387M-$152M-$2.63 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)?

Short answer

What is holding it back is balance-sheet strain, soft growth. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 2.32 · Piotroski F 5. Trailing ratios: ROE -21.9% · ROA 2.3% · current ratio 1.21 · earnings yield 2.2% · free-cash-flow yield 9.6%.

4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $75.00 · high $79.00 · consensus $77.25 · median $77.50 against a quoted price of $58.83 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company compare with its peers?

Short answer

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company's score ranks 9th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Same industry, near in market value$120.84 Oct 26, 2026$18.3B99 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
CVR Partners, LP (UAN) Same industry, near in market value$124.31 Oct 26, 2026$1.31B92 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) Same industry, near in market value$31.37 Oct 26, 2026$427M85 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Corteva, Inc. (CTVA) Same industry, near in market value$11.95 Oct 26, 2026$7.96B78 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) Same industry, near in market value$68.22 Oct 26, 2026$32.6B75 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Century Aluminum Company (CENX) Named competitor$31.80 Oct 26, 2026$3.18B70 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
ICL Group Ltd (ICL) Same industry, near in market value$4.79 Oct 26, 2026$6.18B62 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Avient Corporation (AVNT) Named competitor$41.28 Oct 26, 2026$3.79B59 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) — this page$58.83$3.43B57
Phosphate Holdings, Inc. (PHOS) Same industry, near in market value$11.22 Oct 26, 2026$2.02B43 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Hyperliquid Strategies, Inc. (PURR) Same industry, near in market value$9.07 Oct 26, 2026$1.22B40 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
FMC Corporation (FMC) Same industry, near in market value$4.61 Oct 26, 2026$612M37 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
The Mosaic Company (MOS) Same industry, near in market value$17.71 Oct 26, 2026$5.67B36 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$75.00 – $79.00
Consensus target
$77.25
Median target
$77.50

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $58.83 (as of Oct 26, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Oct 2, 2026

Transactions
65
Identified insiders
16
Purchases
0
Sales
4
Other transactions
61

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)?

Read these with our analysis →

What Investors Ask About The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the SMG research dossier (written May 9, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for SMG?

SMG carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Fair band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a leading manufacturer and marketer of lawn and garden care products.

Is SMG a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate SMG buy, sell or hold. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company carries a MoonshotScore, in the Fair band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the SMG stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) is $58.83, as of the Oct 26, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the SMG price target?

The analyst consensus price target for The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) is $77.25 (range $75.00 to $79.00, median $77.50), per FMP data captured Oct 26, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What does The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company do?

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells a wide range of products for lawn, garden, and hydroponic care. Its U.S. Consumer segment provides lawn fertilizers, grass seed, and pest control solutions under brands like Scotts and Miracle-Gro.

What are the key factors to evaluate for SMG?

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) holds a MoonshotScore in the moderate range. P/E: 46.19x. Analysts target $77.25 (+31%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does SMG data refresh on this page?

SMG's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 26, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven SMG's recent stock price performance?

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider SMG overvalued or undervalued right now?

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) trades at 46.19x earnings. Analysts target $77.25 (+31%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (22 figures)

The 22 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$58.83FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-26T20:00:02.000Z.
px.changeChange on the day-0.78%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$3.43BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-26. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-26T20:00:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-26T23:45:48.075Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.46FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q3 FY2026$1.17BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)46.19FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day802KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q3 FY2026$112MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q3 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $75.00 · high $79.00 · consensus $77.25 · median $77.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$75.00 – $79.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$77.25FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$77.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP65 transactions · 0 purchases, 4 sales, 61 other transactions · 16 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Oct 2, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 6 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-12 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 2.32 · Piotroski F 5UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-25 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$47.90 – $75.34UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-26
id.employeesEmployees5,200UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-26
id.ceoChief executiveNathan E. BaxterUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-26
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE -21.9% · ROA 2.3% · current ratio 1.21 · earnings yield 2.2% · free-cash-flow yield 9.6%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v257 of 100 · Fair · pillars 64 / 22 / 66 / 33 / 57OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement57 (stored snapshot Oct 24, 2026) → 57 (current publication computed Oct 26, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
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Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.