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Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$38.28 +$0.38 (+1.00%) |Exceptional · 92
Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) bottom line: Strongly Bullish — our Council read (83/100) and AI Score (92/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Business Quality · Biggest watch-out: Financial Safety.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $513M| P/E Ratio: 10.78| Vol: 38.2K| Target: $44.00 (+14.9%) (Sep 5, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $23.25 – $40.10

P/E 10.78 means the share price is 10.78 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $513M is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) trades at $38.28 with MoonshotScore 92/100 (Grade A+). Orange County Bancorp, Inc. is a regional bank providing commercial and consumer banking services, as well as trust and wealth management. Market cap: $513M, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
Orange County Bancorp, Inc. is a regional bank providing commercial and consumer banking services, as well as trust and wealth management. The company operates 14 full-service branches and one loan production office in New York.

OBT stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $44.00 for Orange County Bancorp, Inc., suggesting 14.9% upside from the current price of $38.28. The AI MoonshotScore is 92/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the OBT film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Strongly Bullish 83/100 · A+

OBT: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 92/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Strong Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Moderate Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Strong Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (6/10, Moderate).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) Financial Services Profile

CEOMichael J. Gilfeather
Employees235
HeadquartersMiddletown, NY, US
IPO Year2003

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. is a regional bank offering commercial and consumer banking, trust, and wealth management services to businesses, municipalities, and individuals in New York. With a focus on community banking, OBT operates 14 branches and one loan production office, emphasizing personalized financial solutions.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for OBT?

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a P/E ratio of 10.78 and a profit margin of 28.3%, the company demonstrates solid profitability. A dividend yield of 1.79% provides an income component for investors. Growth catalysts include expansion of wealth management services and strategic lending initiatives within its New York footprint. Potential risks include interest rate sensitivity and competition from larger regional and national banks. Continued focus on operational efficiency and strategic growth initiatives will be crucial for maintaining and enhancing shareholder value.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

OBT Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 9, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $513M reflects its position as a regional bank.

  • P/E Ratio of 10.78 indicates a potentially undervalued stock relative to earnings.
  • Profit Margin of 28.3% demonstrates strong profitability compared to the industry average.
  • Gross Margin of 76.5% showcases efficient revenue generation.
  • Dividend Yield of 1.79% offers a steady income stream for investors.

Who Are OBT's Competitors?

OBT is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
MTB M&T Bank Corporation $239.02 +0.43% $34.6B 855-pillar
USB U.S. Bancorp $62.85 +0.71% $97.9B 945-pillar
C Citigroup Inc. $139.05 +0.40% $238B 355-pillar
PDLB Ponce Financial Group, Inc. $20.43 +0.59% $494M 905-pillar
BWFG Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. $67.65 +1.41% $539M 925-pillar
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. $69.47 +0.96% $547M 905-pillar
NRIM Northrim BanCorp, Inc. $26.16 +0.42% $582M 945-pillar
GCBC Greene County Bancorp, Inc. $35.43 +0.57% $603M 905-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are OBT's Key Strengths?

Established regional presence in New York.

  • Diversified revenue streams from banking and wealth management.
  • Strong customer relationships and local market expertise.
  • Conservative lending practices and risk management.

What Are OBT's Weaknesses?

Limited geographic footprint compared to larger banks.

  • Reliance on traditional banking services in a digital age.
  • Vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations.
  • Higher operating costs compared to larger, more efficient banks.

What Could Drive OBT Stock Higher?

Expansion of wealth management services to attract affluent clients and increase assets under management.

  • Investment in digital banking technologies to improve customer experience and reduce operational costs.
  • Strategic partnerships with fintech companies to expand service offerings and enhance competitive position.
  • Organic growth through new branch openings in underserved markets.
  • Potential acquisitions of smaller banks or financial institutions to expand geographic footprint.

What Are the Key Risks for OBT?

Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -0.40 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).

  • Increased competition from larger regional and national banks.
  • Disruptive technologies from fintech companies.
  • Economic downturns impacting loan demand and credit quality.
  • Regulatory changes increasing compliance costs.
  • Interest rate fluctuations impacting net interest margin.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for OBT?

  • Expansion of Wealth Management Services: Orange County Bancorp can capitalize on the growing demand for wealth management services among affluent individuals in its New York market. By expanding its team of financial advisors and enhancing its service offerings, the company can attract new clients and increase its assets under management. The wealth management market is projected to grow at 5-7% annually, presenting a significant opportunity for revenue diversification and increased profitability. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Lending Initiatives: Focusing on commercial real estate and industrial loans within its existing geographic footprint can drive loan growth. By targeting specific sectors with strong growth potential, such as healthcare and technology, the company can increase its loan portfolio while managing risk effectively. The commercial lending market in New York is expected to see moderate growth in the next 3-5 years. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Digital Banking Enhancements: Investing in digital banking platforms and mobile applications can improve customer experience and attract younger demographics. By offering convenient online banking services, Orange County Bancorp can enhance customer loyalty and reduce operational costs. The adoption of digital banking is increasing rapidly, with mobile banking usage expected to grow by 10-15% annually. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Branch Optimization: Optimizing the branch network by consolidating underperforming branches and opening new branches in strategic locations can improve efficiency and expand market reach. By analyzing demographic trends and customer preferences, the company can make informed decisions about branch placement and staffing. Branch optimization can lead to significant cost savings and increased revenue generation. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Partnerships with Fintech Companies: Collaborating with fintech companies can provide access to innovative technologies and expand service offerings. By partnering with fintech firms specializing in areas such as online lending and payment processing, Orange County Bancorp can enhance its competitive position and attract new customers. Fintech partnerships can accelerate digital transformation and improve operational efficiency. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are OBT's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established regional presence with over 100 years of operating history.
  • Strong customer relationships built on personalized service.
  • Local market expertise and knowledge of the New York banking landscape.
  • Conservative lending practices and risk management.

What Does OBT Do?

Founded in 1892 and headquartered in Middletown, New York, Orange County Bancorp, Inc. has evolved into a comprehensive financial services provider. Through its subsidiaries, the company delivers a range of commercial and consumer banking products, alongside trust and wealth management services. Targeting small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and affluent individuals, Orange County Bancorp offers tailored financial solutions. Its core banking services encompass deposit products such as interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also provides diverse lending options, including commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate construction loans, residential real estate loans, home equity loans, and consumer loans. Furthermore, Orange County Bancorp extends its services to include traditional trust and administration, asset management, financial planning, and wealth management, solidifying its position as a trusted financial partner within the communities it serves. The company operates 14 full-service branches and one loan production office across Orange, Westchester, Rockland, and Bronx counties in New York.

What Products and Services Does OBT Offer?

  • Provides commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses.
  • Offers consumer banking products including checking, savings, and money market accounts.
  • Extends commercial real estate loans to developers and investors.
  • Provides residential mortgage loans to individuals and families.
  • Offers wealth management and trust services to affluent clients.
  • Provides commercial and industrial loans to businesses for expansion and operations.
  • Provides home equity loans and lines of credit.

How Does OBT Make Money?

  • Generates revenue through interest income from loans.
  • Earns fees from wealth management and trust services.
  • Collects service charges on deposit accounts.
  • Profits from the spread between deposit interest paid and loan interest earned.

What Industry Does OBT Operate In?

Orange County Bancorp operates within the competitive regional banking sector. The industry is characterized by increasing regulatory scrutiny, technological disruption from fintech companies, and fluctuating interest rate environments. Regional banks like Orange County Bancorp face competition from larger national banks and credit unions. Success depends on providing personalized customer service, managing risk effectively, and adapting to evolving digital banking trends. The regional banking sector is expected to see moderate growth, driven by local economic development and increasing demand for financial services from small and medium-sized businesses.

Who Are OBT's Key Customers?

  • Small businesses in Orange, Westchester, Rockland, and Bronx counties in New York.
  • Middle-market enterprises seeking commercial loans and banking services.
  • Local municipal governments requiring banking and financial solutions.
  • Affluent individuals seeking wealth management and trust services.
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 9, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 32 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 92?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • +0.46 Net margin (Business Quality)
  • +0.34 12-month price trend (Momentum)

What is holding it back

  • -0.42 Share dilution (Growth)
  • -0.13 Price to book (Valuation)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 93
2026-08-26 85
2026-08-29 92
2026-09-01 93
2026-09-04 93
2026-09-07 93
2026-09-10 92

What changed?

The grade moved from 93 to 92 (-1).

What moved it up or down:

  • -6 Valuation
  • -4 Growth Durability
  • -1 Business Quality

Held back by:

  • +9 Financial Safety

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -0.2%.

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) Valuation Context

Valued at $513M, OBT is classified as a small-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $44.00 to $44.00, with a consensus of $44.00. At the current price of $38.28, that implies approximately 15% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, OBT's quantitative score of 92/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 84/100.

OBT Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, OBT generated $35.0M in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 1.6%. The company recorded net income of $13.7M, with diluted EPS of $1.02. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a small-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, OBT averaged $0.89 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. operates in the Banks - Regional industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Middletown, US. The company is led by CEO Michael J. Gilfeather. OBT has traded publicly since 2003.

ROE 16%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Orange County Bancorp, Inc. stands at 16.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 1.7%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. OBT trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 10.78, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 12.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.31 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 9.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Orange County Bancorp, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of -0.40 places it in the distress zone, a signal of elevated financial risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 3.5% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Orange County Bancorp, Inc. insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 3 sales and 26 purchases. On net that is roughly 5K shares disposed (about $176K), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

OBT Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+10.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+49.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
+34.8%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+25.7%
P/E (TTM)
10.78
Return on Equity (TTM)
+16.4%
Current Ratio
0.3
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
4.0

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Established regional presence in New York.
  • Diversified revenue streams from banking and wealth management.
  • Strong customer relationships and local market expertise.
  • Conservative lending practices and risk management.

Bear Case

  • Limited geographic footprint compared to larger banks.
  • Reliance on traditional banking services in a digital age.
  • Vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations.
  • Higher operating costs compared to larger, more efficient banks.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $35M $14M $1.02
Q1 FY2026 $34M $11M $0.85
Q4 FY2025 $40M $12M $0.93
Q3 FY2025 $41M $10M $0.75

Q2 FY2026 · filed 10 Aug 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

OBT Latest News

OBT Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for OBT.

Price Targets

Low
$44.00
Consensus
$44.00
High
$44.00

Median: $44.00 (+14.9% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Sep 5, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

OBT MoonshotScore

92/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. OBT scores 92/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Leadership: Michael J. Gilfeather

President and Chief Executive Officer

Michael J. Gilfeather serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Orange County Bancorp, Inc. His career spans several decades in the banking industry, with extensive experience in commercial lending, risk management, and strategic planning. Prior to joining Orange County Bancorp, he held leadership positions at various regional banks, where he focused on driving growth and improving operational efficiency. He holds a degree in Finance from a reputable university and has completed executive education programs at leading business schools.

Track Record: Under Michael J. Gilfeather's leadership, Orange County Bancorp has focused on strategic growth initiatives, including expanding its wealth management services and enhancing its digital banking capabilities. He has overseen the company's efforts to strengthen its balance sheet and improve its financial performance. His focus on customer service and community engagement has helped to solidify the bank's position as a trusted financial partner in the region.

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. Financial Services Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for OBT?

OBT holds an AI Score of 92/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is OBT a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate OBT buy, sell or hold. Orange County Bancorp, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 92/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about OBT stock?

Analyst coverage of Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) is limited, but the general sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 10.78, suggest that the stock may be undervalued compared to its peers.

What are the main risks for OBT?

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. faces several risks inherent to the banking industry. These include credit risk, interest rate risk, and regulatory risk. Credit risk arises from the possibility that borrowers may default on their loans. Interest rate risk stems from fluctuations in interest rates, which can impact the company's net interest margin.

What are the key factors to evaluate for OBT?

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) holds a MoonshotScore of 92/100 (high). P/E: 10.78x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $44.00 (+15%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does OBT data refresh on this page?

OBT's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven OBT's recent stock price performance?

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established regional presence in New York. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider OBT overvalued or undervalued right now?

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) trades at 10.78x earnings. Analysts target $44.00 (+15%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of OBT?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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