American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) — MoonshotScore 27/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $12.94 (-1.45%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $8.57B. Expected results Oct 22, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 1.10× (market value Oct 2, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Oct 22, 2026
American Airlines Group Inc. · AAL · NASDAQ · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Research dated 2026-09-13: American Airlines Group is a network carrier selling scheduled passenger travel and freight through a hub-and-partner system, with passenger activity supplying most revenue. Its case depends on whether renewed revenue momentum can produce durable cash after operating costs, aircraft spending and a heavy debt load.
Price as of Oct 2, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · American Airlines Group (AAL)
WeakWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
A fragile balance sheet and weak growth, though quality is only middling. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Full; Growth Durability: Fading; Momentum: Quiet.
- quarterly revenue $16.73B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
- EPS beat 7 of 8
- Altman Z 0.67 · Piotroski F 3
Holding back: balance-sheet strain, soft growth
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Weak | |
| 27 | Weak | |
| 27 | Weak | |
| 27 | Weak | |
| 27 | Weak | |
| 27 | Weak |
The score was 27 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot and remains 27 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Valuation +1 and Growth Durability +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $12.94 |
| Change on the day | -1.45% |
| 52-week range | $10.09–$18.79 |
| Market capitalisation | $8.57B |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 47.92 |
| Shares traded on the day | 73.23M |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 1.33 |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file or a dated event that is not a results report. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings call · management outlook
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
Management outlook
As Nat discussed, demand and pricing trends remain strong across the network and support our expectation for third quarter revenue growth of 16% to 19% year-over-year.
Devon May · Statement from
Even against an expected nearly $6 billion year-over-year fuel headwind, we anticipate full year adjusted earnings to be break-even at the midpoint of our guidance range. We believe our strong revenue momentum on top of an efficient cost base will continue to drive progress over time.
Robert Isom · Statement from
Statement dates identify the earnings call, not a deadline. Management expectations and provider estimates can change.
Read management statementsOther perspectives
Council score for American Airlines Group (AAL): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
5 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Oct 2, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 4, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the AAL film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is American Airlines Group (AAL), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
American sells transportation rather than airport infrastructure: customers buy seats across its network, while shippers buy cargo capacity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
American sells transportation rather than airport infrastructure: customers buy seats across its network, while shippers buy cargo capacity. Major domestic hubs connect with partner gateways abroad, allowing the airline to assemble itineraries beyond routes flown solely under its own network.
Reported revenue is dominated by passenger categories, with cargo and other products contributing much smaller amounts. The financial statements therefore measure a high-volume travel network whose profit can move sharply even when annual sales change only modestly.
What do the latest results show for American Airlines Group (AAL)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $16.73B.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
The latest reported period delivered the strongest revenue in the recent series and returned both operating income and net income to positive territory after losses in the preceding period. Reported revenue and earnings also cleared expectations, although profit remained well below the stronger result from the comparable earlier period.
Management attributed the outlook to firm demand and pricing across the network. That claim now sits beside a substantial expected fuel headwind: revenue momentum is improving, but management still frames full-year adjusted earnings around break-even at the guidance midpoint.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $16.73B Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $603.00M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $446.00M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $16.73B | Not available | $603.00M | $446.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $13.91B | Not available | $507.00M | −$41.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $14.00B | Not available | $530.00M | $452.00M |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $13.69B | Not available | $483.00M | $151.00M |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $16.73B Jul 23, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $16.70B Jul 23, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Above estimate Jul 23, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Above estimate Jul 23, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | $16.73B | $16.70B | $0.1500 | $0.0300 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $13.91B | $13.79B | −$0.4000 | −$0.4634 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $14.00B | $14.03B | $0.1600 | $0.3800 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $13.69B | $13.63B | −$0.1700 | −$0.2784 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $16.73B | $71M | $0.11 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $13.91B | -$382M | -$0.58 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $14.00B | $99M | $0.15 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $13.69B | -$114M | -$0.17 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for American Airlines Group (AAL)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $7.77B at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $471.00M for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Liquidity has risen from the recent low, but debt remains far larger than cash and investments, leaving American deeply in a net-debt position. Short-term coverage ratios are weak, trailing profitability is thin, and the distress and quality screens reinforce the balance-sheet risk.
Cash generation is uneven. Operating cash flow has swung widely, and the latest period did not generate enough operating cash to cover capital expenditure. Fuel pressure and planned aircraft spending could make debt reduction difficult even if revenue continues to grow.
Data-derived red flags
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 0.67 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Negative return on equity (-5.2%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $471.00M Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $4.22B Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $471.00M | −$822.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $4.22B | −$811.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | −$274.00M | −$1.63B |
| Sep 30, 2025 | −$46.00M | −$826.00M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at American Airlines Group (AAL)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Oct 22, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
Upcoming results need to show that network revenue growth is reaching operating profit rather than being absorbed by fuel and other costs. The prevailing estimate pairs lower revenue than the latest reported period with a loss, so profit conversion matters more than another revenue headline.
Cash flow is the harder confirmation. Management expects positive free cash flow and lower net debt for the full year while accepting new aircraft and funding substantial capital expenditure; operating cash should therefore cover aircraft spending, cash should remain resilient, and net debt should begin moving down.
What management is planning
Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Selected verbatim excerpts; dates follow the transcript provider.
As Nat discussed, demand and pricing trends remain strong across the network and support our expectation for third quarter revenue growth of 16% to 19% year-over-year.
Devon May ·
Even against an expected nearly $6 billion year-over-year fuel headwind, we anticipate full year adjusted earnings to be break-even at the midpoint of our guidance range. We believe our strong revenue momentum on top of an efficient cost base will continue to drive progress over time.
Robert Isom ·
We expect to take 48 new aircraft this year, and we continue to expect approximately $4 billion of capital expenditures.
Devon May ·
At the midpoint of our current 2026 guide, we expect to produce positive free cash flow for the year and to finish the year with lower net debt than at the start of the year.
Devon May ·
How does American Airlines Group compare with its peers?
Short answer
American Airlines Group's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-13.
American belongs with network airlines, not with the airport operators and service companies included in its broader industry label. Its operating identity comes from a named collection of domestic hubs linked to partner gateways in major overseas markets.
Passenger travel overwhelmingly determines the revenue outcome, while cargo and other services remain supplementary. That concentration gives American a different economic profile from a diversified transport business: network demand and pricing can lift sales quickly, but aircraft spending and leverage leave less room when those gains fail to reach cash flow.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $94.19 Oct 2, 2026 | $4.55B | 88 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $96.43 Oct 2, 2026 | $3.82B | 85 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $132.48 Oct 2, 2026 | $5.46B | 82 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $24.30 Oct 2, 2026 | $3.97B | 82 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $55.05 Oct 2, 2026 | $28.6B | 77 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $42.47 Oct 2, 2026 | $20.8B | 75 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $234.41 Oct 2, 2026 | $7.03B | 74 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $47.92 Oct 2, 2026 | $13.8B | 74 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $112.51 Oct 2, 2026 | $36.5B | 71 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $200.90 Oct 2, 2026 | $10.4B | 70 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $39.53 Oct 2, 2026 | $4.40B | 36 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| $77.61 Oct 2, 2026 | $2.09B | 34 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026 | |
| American Airlines Group (AAL) — this page | $12.94 | $8.57B | 27 |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $11.00 – $25.00
- Consensus target
- $18.27
- Median target
- $17.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $12.94 (as of Oct 2, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 20, 2026
- Transactions
- 30
- Identified insiders
- 18
- Purchases
- 0
- Sales
- 9
- Other transactions
- 21
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 79.1% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 67.1% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 663 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 651 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Primecap Management Co/Ca/ | 70,732,954 |
| Blackrock, INC. | 63,350,228 |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 29,895,581 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 29,421,025 |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 27,240,983 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about American Airlines Group (AAL)?
AAL Industrials Stock FAQ
Research dated 2026-09-13; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 2 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
How do American Airlines passenger travel and cargo fit together?
Passenger travel supplies the overwhelming majority of revenue, while cargo and other services add smaller streams around the same network. The business should therefore be read primarily as a passenger carrier rather than a balanced passenger-and-freight operator.
Can American Airlines revenue momentum overcome its fuel headwind?
Management says demand and pricing remain strong, but it also expects fuel to impose a substantial drag. Confirmation requires revenue growth to produce sustained operating profit and free cash flow, not merely higher sales.
Why can American Airlines sales rise while profit stays weak?
Annual revenue changed only modestly while net income contracted sharply, and recent quarters show large swings in operating results around similar revenue levels. That pattern reflects how a small change in the spread between fares and operating costs can have an outsized effect on profit.
Will American Airlines aircraft spending prevent net debt reduction?
Planned aircraft additions and capital expenditure create a demanding cash hurdle, especially when debt already exceeds liquidity by a wide margin. Management expects positive free cash flow and lower net debt, making those outcomes direct tests of whether the spending program is financially manageable.
What is the AAL stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is $12.94, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the AAL price target?
The analyst consensus price target for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is $18.27 (range $11.00 to $25.00, median $17.00), per FMP data captured Oct 4, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-13. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (79 figures)
The 79 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 2 facts from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
prod.outlook | Management outlook — call excerpts | Devon May (Jul 23, 2026): As Nat discussed, demand and pricing trends remain strong across the network and support our expectation for third quarter revenue growth of 16% to 19% year-over-year. Robert Isom (Jul 23, 2026): Even against an expected nearly $6 billion year-over-year fuel headwind, we anticipate full year adjusted earnings to be break-even at the midpoint of our guidance range. We believe our strong revenue momentum on top of an efficient cost base will continue to drive progress over time. Devon May (Jul 23, 2026): We expect to take 48 new aircraft this year, and we continue to expect approximately $4 billion of capital expenditures. Devon May (Jul 23, 2026): At the midpoint of our current 2026 guide, we expect to produce positive free cash flow for the year and to finish the year with lower net debt than at the start of the year. | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | |
id.hq | SEC filing business address | Fort Worth, TX | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "1 Skyview Drive, Fort Worth, TX, 76155, US". |
FMP — 69 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Oct 22, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar — The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | |
px.last | Latest provided price | $12.94 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T18:24:39.958Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | -1.45% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $8.57B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:01.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T18:24:37.712Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | −$0.19 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $16.73B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $10.09–$18.79 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) quote | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 47.92 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 73.23M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 1.33 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | Robert D. Isom Jr. | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 143,400 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $29.88B, net result −$1.99B; FY2022 revenue $48.97B, net result $127.00M; FY2023 revenue $52.79B, net result $822.00M; FY2024 revenue $54.21B, net result $846.00M; FY2025 revenue $54.63B, net result $111.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | Passenger $49.64B · Passenger Travel $45.61B · Cargo and Freight $839.00M · Product and Service, Other $4.15B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 21.0% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $16.73B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $603.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $446.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $13.91B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $507.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | −$41.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $14.00B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $530.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | $452.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $13.69B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-09-30 | $483.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $151.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-07-23 | $16.73B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-07-23 | $16.70B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-07-23 | $0.1500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-07-23 | $0.0300 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-04-23 | $13.91B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-04-23 | $13.79B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-04-23 | −$0.4000 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-04-23 | −$0.4634 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-01-27 | $14.00B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-01-27 | $14.03B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-01-27 | $0.1600 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-01-27 | $0.3800 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-10-23 | $13.69B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-10-23 | $13.63B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-10-23 | −$0.1700 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-10-23 | −$0.2784 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $7.77B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $471.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $144.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $35.73B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $471.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | $4.22B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$822.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$811.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | −$274.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$1.63B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | −$46.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$826.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $11.00 – $25.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $18.27 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $17.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 4, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 30 transactions · 0 purchases, 9 sales, 21 other transactions · 18 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 20, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 79.1% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 67.1% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 663 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 651 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Primecap Management Co/Ca/ — shares in provider snapshot | 70,732,954 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 63,350,228 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 29,895,581 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 29,421,025 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Two Sigma Investments, LP — shares in provider snapshot | 27,240,983 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 3 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 7 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-02 · Expired observation | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 0.67 · Piotroski F 3 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-03 · Expired observation | |
fin.ratios | Return and yield ratios (trailing twelve months) | ROE -5.2% · ROA 0.3% · current ratio 0.49 · earnings yield 2.1% · free-cash-flow yield 11.4% | — | UNRECORDED | Stored key metrics — Date unknown |
COMPUTED — 3 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 1.10× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $7.77B at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($16.73B) with the recorded estimate ($16.70B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Above estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($0.1500) with the recorded estimate ($0.0300) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 27 of 100 · Weak · pillars 47 / 9 / 56 / 33 / 50 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 27 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 27 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive. |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-07-23. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-07-23.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-04-23.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-01-27.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-10-23.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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Sources used for research written 2026-09-13
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legal name | American Airlines Group Inc. | 2026-02-18 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR — 10-K filed 2026-02-18 |
| Business description | American Airlines Group Inc. functions as a prominent network air carrier, delivering scheduled air transportation for both passengers and freight. Its operations are anchored by key hubs located in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Additionally, it expands its global reach through strategic partner gateways situated in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained a substantial mainline fleet comprising 865 aircraft. This enterprise, established in 1930 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, previously operated under the name AMR Corporation until its rebranding to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | Passenger: $49.64B; Passenger Travel: $45.61B; Cargo and Freight: $839.00M; Product and Service, Other: $4.15B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $35.73B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $68.20B; Cash and short-term investments: $7.77B; Cash and investments: $7.91B; Long-term investments: $144.00M; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Management outlook — dated call excerpts | Captured record · 4 entries
Selected verbatim statements from the latest available call, dated by the transcript provider. Management expectations, not completed milestones or guarantees. Relative dates retain the speaker's wording. | 2026-07-23 | OFFICIAL | Company earnings call, transcript via Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Industrials / Airlines, Airports & Air Services The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 4512 — Air Transportation, Scheduled. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-07-23 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Cash and investment components | Total basis: cash short and long-term investments; Total: $7.91B; Cash and short-term investments: $7.77B; Long-term investments: $144.00M; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Sums the balance sheet's cash and short-term investments with its long-term investments.; The long-term investment field does not establish marketability; the sum is not a measure of available liquidity.; These provider fields do not establish investment access restrictions or explain differences from third-party cash figures. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Cash decline over the reported window | To: 2026-06-30; From: 2024-09-30; Periods: 7; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Closing balance: $7.77B; Decline: $702.00M; Opening balance: $8.47B; Average change per period: $100.30M Change in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments between the 2024-09-30 and 2026-06-30 balance sheets.; This is a balance change, not operating burn: financing and investing move it too.; Averaged over 7 reporting periods of unequal length. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from reported balances |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-06-30; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: -$27.96B; Total debt: $35.73B; Cash and investments: $7.77B Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.42; Current ratio: 0.53; Debt to equity: -9; Net margin: -0.6%; Gross margin: 21%; Operating margin: 1.7%; Return on assets: -0.5%; Return on equity: 8.3% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Distress and quality screens | Altman Z-score: 0.67; Piotroski F-score: 3 Altman Z below 1.8 is the conventional distress zone. The screen is built for manufacturers and industrials; for banks, insurers and property companies it is not a meaningful reading. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) financial scores |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-10-22; EPS estimate: -$0.32 per share; Revenue estimate: $16.14B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Analyst revenue and earnings estimates (average) | Captured record · 4 entries
| 2026-09-13 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst estimates |
| Employees | Count: 143,400 | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing |
Data provided for informational purposes only.
ETFs that hold AAL
Funds in our ETF coverage that list AAL among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.
| ETF | Weight | Holdings as of |
|---|---|---|
| Harbor Long-Short Equity ETF (LSEQ) (LSEQ) | 2.66% |