BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) trades at $3.08 with AI Score 19/100 (Grade F). BigBear. ai Holdings, Inc. specializes in providing artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions for enhanced decision-making. Market cap: $1.48B, Sector: Technology.
Price as of Aug 21, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 8, 2026BBAI stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $6.00 for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc., suggesting 94.5% upside from the current price of $3.08. The AI MoonshotScore is 19/100, indicating a strong bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
BBAI: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Technology Profile & Competitive Position
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. delivers AI and machine learning solutions, operating through Cyber & Engineering and Analytics segments. The company focuses on providing decision support through high-end technology and consulting services, including cybersecurity and predictive analytics, serving clients needing real-time data synthesis and interpretation.
What Is the Investment Thesis for BBAI?
BigBear.ai presents an investment opportunity centered on its AI and ML capabilities within the growing market for decision support systems. The company's dual-segment approach, covering both Cyber & Engineering and Analytics, allows it to offer comprehensive solutions to clients. With a market capitalization of $1.48B, BigBear.ai operates in a sector experiencing increasing demand for AI-driven insights. Key growth catalysts include expanding its service offerings and securing new contracts. However, the company's negative profit margin of -226.7% and a high beta of 3.24 indicate significant risk. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to improve profitability and manage its financial performance.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BBAI Key Highlights
Market Cap of $1.48B indicates a substantial valuation in the competitive AI and machine learning market.
- Operates through two segments: Cyber & Engineering and Analytics, providing diversified revenue streams.
- Gross Margin of 25.8% reflects the profitability of services before operating expenses.
- Provides AI and ML solutions for decision support, positioning it in a high-growth technology area.
- Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, allowing strategic access to key government and commercial clients.
Who Are BBAI's Competitors?
BBAI is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONDS Ondas Holdings Inc. | $8.38 | -5.84% | $4.78B | 34 |
| CLVT Clarivate Plc | $2.07 | +1.47% | $1.32B | 53 |
| DXC DXC Technology Company | $10.70 | -1.38% | $1.73B | 70 |
| NYAX Nayax Ltd. | $47.38 | -1.56% | $1.73B | 62 |
| DTSOF DTS Corporation | $7.99 | +0.00% | $1.25B | 52 |
| CRAYF Crayon Group Holding ASA | $13.85 | -4.94% | $1.24B | 52 |
| INOD Innodata Inc. | $64.97 | +3.47% | $2.12B | 79 |
| NTCYF Netcompany Group A/S | $48.40 | +0.00% | $2.16B | 58 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are BBAI's Key Strengths?
Expertise in AI and machine learning.
- Dual-segment approach (Cyber & Engineering and Analytics).
- Strong relationships with government clients.
- Customized solutions tailored to specific client needs.
What Are BBAI's Weaknesses?
Negative profit margin (-226.7%).
- High beta (3.24) indicating high volatility.
- Reliance on government contracts.
- Intense competition in the AI and ML market.
What Could Drive BBAI Stock Higher?
Securing new government contracts for AI and cybersecurity solutions.
- Launch of new AI-driven products and services in the commercial sector.
- Expansion of strategic partnerships with technology companies.
- Publication of research and development advancements in AI and ML.
What Are the Key Risks for BBAI?
Negative return on equity (-50.7%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Economic downturn affecting government spending on technology.
- Increasing competition in the AI and ML market.
- Rapid technological advancements rendering existing solutions obsolete.
- Cybersecurity threats targeting AI systems.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for BBAI?
- Expansion of AI-driven cybersecurity solutions: The increasing sophistication of cyber threats necessitates advanced AI-driven cybersecurity measures. BigBear.ai can capitalize on this demand by developing and deploying AI-powered solutions that detect and respond to cyber threats in real-time. The global cybersecurity market is projected to reach $345.4 billion by 2026, offering a substantial opportunity for BigBear.ai to grow its market share by enhancing its cybersecurity offerings.
- Leveraging predictive analytics for government contracts: Government agencies are increasingly relying on predictive analytics to improve decision-making in areas such as defense, intelligence, and public safety. BigBear.ai can secure additional government contracts by demonstrating its ability to provide accurate and actionable insights through its predictive analytics solutions. The market for AI in the public sector is expected to grow significantly, presenting a major growth avenue for BigBear.ai.
- Development of prescriptive analytics solutions for commercial clients: Prescriptive analytics, which recommends specific actions based on data insights, is gaining traction among commercial clients seeking to optimize their operations and improve business outcomes. BigBear.ai can develop and market prescriptive analytics solutions tailored to specific industries, such as healthcare, finance, and retail. The prescriptive analytics market is projected to grow rapidly, offering a significant opportunity for BigBear.ai to expand its commercial client base.
- Strategic partnerships to expand market reach: Forming strategic partnerships with other technology companies and consulting firms can enable BigBear.ai to expand its market reach and access new clients. By collaborating with established players in complementary fields, BigBear.ai can leverage their existing networks and expertise to accelerate its growth. These partnerships can also facilitate the integration of BigBear.ai's solutions with other platforms, enhancing their value proposition.
- Investment in research and development to maintain competitive edge: Continuous investment in research and development is crucial for BigBear.ai to maintain its competitive edge in the rapidly evolving AI and ML landscape. By allocating resources to develop new algorithms, improve existing solutions, and explore emerging technologies, BigBear.ai can stay ahead of the curve and attract clients seeking the most advanced AI capabilities. This ongoing innovation will drive long-term growth and solidify BigBear.ai's position as a leader in the AI and ML market.
What Are BBAI's Competitive Advantages?
- Proprietary AI and ML algorithms.
- Expertise in both cyber engineering and analytics.
- Strong relationships with government clients.
- Customized solutions tailored to specific client needs.
What Does BBAI Do?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. is dedicated to providing artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) solutions that enhance decision-making processes for its clients. Founded with the vision of transforming data into actionable intelligence, the company operates through two primary segments: Cyber & Engineering and Analytics. The Cyber & Engineering segment offers high-end technology and management consulting services, focusing on areas such as cloud engineering, enterprise IT, cybersecurity, computer network operations, wireless communications, systems engineering, and strategic program planning. This segment supports clients in establishing robust and secure IT infrastructures. The Analytics segment specializes in providing high-end technology and consulting services centered around big data computing and analytical solutions. This includes predictive and prescriptive analytics, which assist customers in aggregating, interpreting, and synthesizing data to enable real-time decision-making capabilities. BigBear.ai's solutions are designed to help organizations leverage the power of data to gain insights, improve operational efficiency, and make informed strategic decisions. Headquartered in Columbia, Maryland, BigBear.ai serves a diverse range of clients across various sectors, providing tailored AI and ML solutions to meet their specific needs.
What Products and Services Does BBAI Offer?
- Provides artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) solutions.
- Offers decision support systems for enhanced decision-making.
- Operates through two segments: Cyber & Engineering and Analytics.
- Delivers high-end technology and management consulting services.
- Focuses on cloud engineering, enterprise IT, and cybersecurity.
- Provides predictive and prescriptive analytics solutions.
- Assists customers in aggregating, interpreting, and synthesizing data.
How Does BBAI Make Money?
- Provides technology and consulting services to clients.
- Generates revenue through contracts for AI and ML solutions.
- Offers subscription-based access to its analytics platforms.
- Provides customized AI solutions tailored to client needs.
What Industry Does BBAI Operate In?
BigBear.ai operates within the rapidly expanding information technology services industry, driven by increasing demand for AI and machine learning solutions. The market is characterized by intense competition and continuous innovation. Companies like BigBear.ai are positioned to capitalize on the growing need for data-driven decision-making across various sectors. The industry is seeing growth due to the increasing volume and complexity of data, requiring sophisticated analytical tools and expertise. BigBear.ai's focus on both cyber engineering and analytics allows it to address a broad spectrum of client needs in this dynamic environment.
Who Are BBAI's Key Customers?
- Government agencies seeking advanced AI capabilities.
- Commercial clients in healthcare, finance, and retail.
- Organizations requiring cybersecurity solutions.
- Businesses needing data-driven decision-making tools.
Company Profile
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. operates in the Information Technology Services industry within the Technology sector. It is headquartered in Columbia, US. The company is led by CEO Kevin McAleenan. BBAI has traded publicly since 2021.
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Financial Trajectory
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) reported $36.7M in revenue for Q2 2026, reflecting 6.7% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $25.7M, with diluted EPS of $-0.05. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this small-cap Technology company. Across the four most recent quarters, BBAI averaged $-0.05 in diluted EPS.
How BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. Is Valued
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $1.48B, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, BBAI's quantitative score of 19/100 is below the peer average of 54/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. stands at -50.7%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -33.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -3.6%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 6.08 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -14.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 11.56 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Forward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. revenue of about $145.3M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.27.
BBAI Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Recent insider buying suggests those in the know see long-term value, aligning their interests with shareholders.
- The company's focus on AI solutions positions it well in a market increasingly reliant on data-driven insights.
- Positive community sentiment indicates growing confidence in the company's vision and execution.
- BigBear.ai's partnerships and contract wins signal increasing market adoption of their platform.
Bear Case
- Increased short interest could indicate skepticism about the company's ability to deliver on its promises.
- Negative community sentiment highlights concerns about execution and competition within the AI space.
- The company's reliance on government contracts introduces risk related to funding and political changes.
- Market perception of the AI sector as potentially overvalued could negatively impact BigBear.ai's stock performance.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $37M | -$26M | -$0.05 |
| Q1 2026 | $34M | -$57M | -$0.12 |
| Q4 2025 | $27M | -$6M | -$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | $33M | $3M | -$0.03 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
BBAI Latest News
-
C3.ai Remains Turbulent: Why One Of Wall Street’s Most Outspoken Pros Expects 50% Returns From Here
24/7 Wall St. · Aug 14, 2026
-
Cognizant (CTSH) Lags Q2 Earnings Estimates
Zacks · Jul 29, 2026
-
BigBear.ai Introduces New Capabilities To Offer Flexibility To U.S. Department Of War Mission Team For Generative AI
benzinga · Jul 15, 2026
-
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
zacks.com · Jun 25, 2026
BBAI Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for BBAI.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $6.00
BBAI MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates BBAI 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Latest News
C3.ai Remains Turbulent: Why One Of Wall Street’s Most Outspoken Pros Expects 50% Returns From Here
Cognizant (CTSH) Lags Q2 Earnings Estimates
BigBear.ai Introduces New Capabilities To Offer Flexibility To U.S. Department Of War Mission Team For Generative AI
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know
Leadership: Kevin McAleenan
CEO
Kevin McAleenan brings extensive leadership experience to BigBear.ai. His career spans various roles in both the public and private sectors, focusing on security and technology. Prior to joining BigBear.ai, he held significant positions in government, including serving as the Acting Secretary of Homeland Security. His background includes expertise in law enforcement, border security, and crisis management. McAleenan's experience positions him to lead BigBear.ai in navigating complex challenges and capitalizing on opportunities in the AI and cybersecurity sectors.
Track Record: Since joining BigBear.ai, Kevin McAleenan has focused on driving growth and expanding the company's market presence. Key initiatives include strengthening relationships with government clients and enhancing the company's cybersecurity offerings. Under his leadership, BigBear.ai has continued to innovate and deliver advanced AI and ML solutions to meet the evolving needs of its clients. His strategic decisions aim to improve profitability and solidify BigBear.ai's position as a leader in the AI and ML market.
BBAI Technology Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for BBAI?
BBAI holds an AI Score of 19/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. specializes in providing artificial intelligence and machine learning solutions for enhanced decision-making. The company operates through its Cyber & Engineering …
What does BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. do?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. specializes in providing artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) solutions to enhance decision-making capabilities for its clients. Operating through two segments, Cyber & Engineering and Analytics, the company offers a range of services including cybersecurity, cloud engineering, and predictive analytics. Its solutions are designed to assist organizations in aggregating, interpreting, and synthesizing data to enable real-time decision-making, serving both government and commercial clients across various sectors.
What do analysts say about BBAI stock?
Analyst coverage of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. reflects a focus on its growth potential within the AI and ML market. Key valuation metrics and growth considerations include its market capitalization of $1.48B and its position in the rapidly expanding information technology services industry.
What are the main risks for BBAI?
BigBear.ai faces several key risks, including intense competition in the AI and ML market, which could pressure pricing and market share. The company's reliance on government contracts exposes it to fluctuations in government spending and policy changes. Rapid technological advancements could render existing solutions obsolete, requiring continuous investment in research and development. Additionally, cybersecurity threats targeting AI systems pose a significant risk to the integrity and reliability of its solutions.
What are the key factors to evaluate for BBAI?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) holds an AI score of 19/100 (low). Analysts target $6.00 (+94%). BigBear.ai presents an investment opportunity centered on its AI and ML capabilities within the growing market for decision support systems. Not financial advice.
How frequently does BBAI data refresh on this page?
BBAI's price was last updated on Aug 21, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven BBAI's recent stock price performance?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Expertise in AI and machine learning. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider BBAI overvalued or undervalued right now?
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $6.00 (+94%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
How do I research BBAI before investing?
Before investing in BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) analyst consensus ratings and price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Financial data is based on the most recent available information.
- Market conditions and industry trends are subject to change.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.