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NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Stock Analysis

$40.21 -$0.84 (-2.05%) |Fair · 56
NIKE, Inc. (NKE) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (57/100) and AI Score (56/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Ken Griffin bullish · Biggest watch-out: Momentum weak.
MCap: $59.5B| P/E Ratio: 20.1| Vol: 16.62M| Target: $79.80 (+98.5%)| 52-wk range: $40.00 – $80.17
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) trades at $40.21 with AI Score 56/100 (Grade B). NIKE, Inc. is a global leader in athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories. Market cap: $59.5B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Aug 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026
NIKE, Inc. is a global leader in athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company operates through various channels, including owned retail stores, digital platforms, and wholesale accounts.

NKE stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $79.80 for NIKE, Inc., suggesting 98.5% upside from the current price of $40.21. The AI MoonshotScore is 56/100, indicating a neutral outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the NKE film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 57/100 · B

NKE: 1/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 56/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Negative Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Jim Simons
Neutral
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Neutral
Moon AI
Neutral
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Fairly Valued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) Consumer Business Overview

CEOElliott J. Hill
Employees79,400
HeadquartersBeaverton, OR, US
IPO Year1980

NIKE, Inc. designs, develops, and markets athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories globally. With a diverse portfolio of brands, including NIKE, Jumpman, and Converse, the company leverages its brand strength and innovation to maintain a leading position in the competitive athletic apparel market.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 9, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for NKE?

As of May 9, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

NIKE, Inc. presents a compelling investment case based on its strong brand equity, consistent innovation, and expanding digital presence. With a market capitalization of $59.5B and a P/E ratio of 20.1, NIKE demonstrates financial stability. A key value driver is the company's ability to command premium pricing, reflected in its gross margin of 40.8%. Growth catalysts include continued expansion in emerging markets and sustained growth in digital sales channels. Potential risks include fluctuations in raw material costs and increased competition from both established players and emerging brands. Investors should monitor NIKE's ability to maintain its brand image and adapt to evolving consumer preferences.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NKE Key Highlights

Market capitalization of $59.5B, reflecting its dominant position in the athletic apparel market.

  • P/E ratio of 20.1, indicating investor confidence in future earnings growth.
  • Gross margin of 40.8%, showcasing its pricing power and efficient supply chain management.
  • Dividend yield of 3.67%, providing a steady income stream for investors.
  • Beta of 1.32, suggesting higher volatility compared to the overall market.

Who Are NKE's Competitors?

NKE is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
AS Amer Sports, Inc. $32.53 -4.38% $18.8B 57
LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. $119.45 +0.37% $13.6B 55
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation $88.86 -2.96% $12.1B 98
ONON On Holding AG $31.26 +0.74% $10.4B 62
VFC V.F. Corporation $13.90 -3.24% $5.47B 59
ADDYY adidas AG $88.21 -3.23% $30.9B 47
ADDDF adidas AG $173.23 -4.78% $30.3B 45
ASCCY ASICS Corporation $30.68 -0.23% $21.8B 60

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are NKE's Key Strengths?

Strong brand recognition and loyalty.

  • Extensive global distribution network.
  • Innovative product design and technology.
  • Effective marketing and endorsement strategies.

What Are NKE's Weaknesses?

Reliance on footwear sales.

  • Exposure to fluctuations in raw material costs.
  • Dependence on key suppliers and manufacturers.
  • Vulnerability to changing consumer preferences.

What Could Drive NKE Stock Higher?

Launch of new innovative footwear and apparel lines targeting specific sports and fitness activities.

  • Expansion of digital sales channels and personalized customer experiences.
  • Strategic partnerships with athletes and sports organizations to enhance brand visibility.
  • Investments in sustainable materials and manufacturing processes to reduce environmental impact.

What Are the Key Risks for NKE?

Fluctuations in raw material costs, such as cotton and rubber, impacting profit margins.

  • Increased competition from established and emerging brands in the athletic apparel market.
  • Changes in consumer preferences and fashion trends affecting demand for NIKE products.
  • Geopolitical risks and trade tensions impacting global supply chains and distribution networks.
  • Negative publicity or brand reputation damage from ethical or environmental concerns.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for NKE?

  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: NIKE has significant growth potential in emerging markets such as China, India, and Southeast Asia. These regions are experiencing rapid economic growth and increasing demand for athletic apparel and footwear. NIKE can leverage its brand recognition and distribution network to capture a larger share of these markets. The global sportswear market is projected to reach $548.94 billion by 2028, offering a substantial opportunity for NIKE to expand its presence in emerging economies.
  • Digital Sales Growth: NIKE's digital sales channels, including Nike.com and the SNKRS app, are experiencing rapid growth. The company can further enhance its digital capabilities by investing in personalized shopping experiences, data analytics, and supply chain optimization. The global e-commerce market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, presenting a significant opportunity for NIKE to drive revenue growth through its digital platforms. NIKE's focus on digital innovation is expected to drive growth over the next 3-5 years.
  • Product Innovation: NIKE's commitment to product innovation is a key driver of its success. The company invests heavily in research and development to create new and innovative products that meet the evolving needs of athletes and consumers. By continuously introducing new technologies and designs, NIKE can maintain its competitive edge and attract new customers. The company's innovation pipeline includes sustainable materials and advanced manufacturing techniques, which are expected to drive growth in the coming years.
  • Brand Expansion: NIKE can expand its brand reach by entering new product categories and markets. The company has the opportunity to leverage its brand equity to launch new products in areas such as athleisure, outdoor apparel, and performance equipment. By diversifying its product portfolio, NIKE can reduce its reliance on core categories and tap into new sources of revenue. This expansion strategy is expected to unfold over the next 2-3 years.
  • Strategic Partnerships: NIKE can pursue strategic partnerships with other companies to expand its reach and capabilities. The company can collaborate with retailers, technology providers, and sports organizations to create new products, services, and experiences for consumers. These partnerships can help NIKE to access new markets, technologies, and distribution channels. NIKE's ongoing collaborations with athletes and influencers are expected to continue driving brand awareness and sales growth.

What Threats Does NKE Face?

  • Intense competition from established and emerging brands.
  • Counterfeit products and brand dilution.
  • Economic downturns and reduced consumer spending.
  • Changes in trade regulations and tariffs.

What Are NKE's Competitive Advantages?

  • Strong brand recognition and reputation.
  • Innovative product design and technology.
  • Extensive global distribution network.
  • Strategic partnerships with athletes and sports organizations.

What Does NKE Do?

NIKE, Inc., founded in 1964 as Blue Ribbon Sports by Phil Knight and Bill Bowerman, initially operated as a distributor for Japanese shoemaker Onitsuka Tiger (now ASICS). The company transitioned to designing and manufacturing its own athletic footwear, officially becoming NIKE, Inc. in 1971. Headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon, NIKE has grown into a global powerhouse, renowned for its innovative designs, marketing prowess, and endorsements from top athletes. The company's product line encompasses athletic and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories for men, women, and children. Key brands include NIKE, Jumpman (featuring the Air Jordan line), and Converse. NIKE distributes its products through a multi-channel approach, including NIKE-owned retail stores, digital platforms (such as Nike.com and the SNKRS app), independent distributors, licensees, and wholesale accounts, reaching customers in virtually every country. NIKE's success is driven by its focus on innovation, performance, and brand building, solidifying its position as a leader in the global athletic apparel market. The company employs approximately 79,400 people worldwide.

What Products and Services Does NKE Offer?

  • Designs and develops athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories.
  • Markets and sells products for men, women, and kids.
  • Operates under the NIKE, Jumpman, and Converse brands.
  • Sells through NIKE-owned retail stores and digital platforms.
  • Distributes products through independent distributors and licensees.
  • Licenses trademarks to unaffiliated parties for apparel and equipment.

How Does NKE Make Money?

  • Designs and manufactures athletic footwear, apparel, and equipment.
  • Sells products through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels.
  • Generates revenue through product sales and licensing agreements.

What Industry Does NKE Operate In?

NIKE operates in the global athletic apparel and footwear market, a dynamic and competitive industry driven by factors such as health and fitness trends, fashion influences, and technological advancements. The industry is characterized by intense competition among established players like NIKE, Adidas, and Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU), as well as emerging brands such as On Holding AG (ONON). The market is experiencing growth in e-commerce and direct-to-consumer channels, with companies investing heavily in digital platforms and personalized customer experiences. NIKE's strong brand reputation, innovative product offerings, and global distribution network position it favorably within this landscape.

Who Are NKE's Key Customers?

  • Athletes of all levels, from amateur to professional.
  • Consumers seeking athletic and casual footwear and apparel.
  • Retail partners, including footwear stores and sporting goods stores.
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: May 9, 2026

Company Profile

NIKE, Inc. operates in the Apparel - Footwear & Accessories industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Beaverton, US. The company is led by CEO Elliott J. Hill. NKE has traded publicly since 1980.

NIKE, Inc. Financial Trajectory

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) reported $10.97B in revenue for Q2 2026, a decline of 2.7% compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $1.07B, with diluted EPS of $0.72. Revenue has contracted over three consecutive quarters, which investors in this large-cap Consumer Cyclical stock should monitor closely. Across the four most recent quarters, NKE averaged $0.52 in diluted EPS.

How NIKE, Inc. Is Valued

NIKE, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $59.5B, placing it in the large-cap category. Relative to its peer group, NKE's quantitative score of 56/100 is below the peer average of 66/100.

ROE 22%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for NIKE, Inc. stands at 22.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NKE trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 20.10, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~34x. Its free cash flow yield is 1.7%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.96 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.0%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

NIKE, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.43 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

8/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

NIKE, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 104.8% above estimates on average.

FY2026 est

Forward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project NIKE, Inc. revenue of about $46.26B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $1.50. The estimate reflects 28 contributing analysts.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, NIKE, Inc. insiders filed 15 SEC Form 4 transactions — 10 sales and 5 purchases. On net that is roughly 2.3M shares disposed (about $1.9M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

NKE Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+0.2%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-3.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
-3.2%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-33.2%
P/E (TTM)
20.1
Return on Equity (TTM)
+22.0%
Current Ratio
2.0
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
14.6

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Nike's brand power remains unmatched; it's a cultural icon, not just a shoe company. Think Apple, but for sportswear.
  • Insider activity suggests confidence; recent purchases often signal long-term belief in the company's direction.
  • Community sentiment indicates strong brand loyalty, even amidst broader market concerns. People still line up for new releases.
  • Nike's direct-to-consumer strategy is paying off, cutting out the middleman and boosting margins. They're becoming their own retailer.

Bear Case

  • Supply chain disruptions are still a major headache; getting products to market is costing more and taking longer.
  • Increased competition from smaller, nimbler brands is chipping away at Nike's market share. They're not the only game in town anymore.
  • Community sentiment reveals concerns about potential economic slowdown impacting consumer spending on discretionary items like sneakers.
  • Negative market perception surrounding inventory management; overstocking could lead to margin-damaging discounts, like what happened to Gap recently.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $10.97B $1.07B $0.72
Q1 2026 $11.28B $520M $0.35
Q4 2025 $12.43B $792M $0.54
Q3 2025 $11.72B $727M $0.49

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

NKE Latest News

NKE Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for NKE.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $79.80

NKE MoonshotScore

56/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates NKE 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Latest NIKE, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Elliott J. Hill

CEO/LEADERSHIP

Elliott J. Hill is a seasoned executive with extensive experience in the athletic apparel and footwear industry. He has held various leadership positions within NIKE, Inc., demonstrating a deep understanding of the company's operations, strategy, and culture. His expertise spans product development, marketing, and sales, making him well-equipped to lead NIKE in a dynamic and competitive market. He is responsible for managing a global workforce of approximately 79,400 employees.

Track Record: Under Elliott J. Hill's leadership, NIKE has continued to strengthen its brand presence, expand its digital footprint, and drive innovation in product design. He has overseen the launch of several successful product lines and marketing campaigns, contributing to the company's revenue growth and market share gains. His strategic decisions have helped NIKE to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities in the evolving athletic apparel market.

NKE Consumer Cyclical Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for NKE?

NKE holds an AI Score of 56/100 (Grade: B). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. NIKE, Inc. is a global leader in athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company operates through various channels, including owned retail stores, digital platforms, and wholesale accounts.

What does NIKE, Inc. do?

NIKE, Inc. is a global leader in the design, development, and marketing of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories. The company operates through a diverse portfolio of brands, including NIKE, Jumpman, and Converse. NIKE sells its products through a multi-channel approach, including owned retail stores, digital platforms, independent distributors, licensees, and wholesale accounts.

What do analysts say about NKE stock?

Analyst consensus on NKE stock is generally positive, reflecting the company's strong brand equity, consistent innovation, and expanding digital presence. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 20.1, suggest that investors have confidence in NIKE's future earnings growth.

What are the main risks for NKE?

The main risks for NIKE, Inc. include fluctuations in raw material costs, increased competition from established and emerging brands, changes in consumer preferences, and geopolitical risks. The company is also exposed to risks related to counterfeit products, brand dilution, and negative publicity. NIKE's ability to manage these risks effectively will be crucial to its long-term success. Investors should carefully consider these risks when evaluating NKE stock.

How does NIKE, Inc. adapt to changing consumer preferences?

NIKE, Inc. adapts to changing consumer preferences through continuous product innovation, data-driven insights, and strategic marketing initiatives. The company invests heavily in research and development to create new and innovative products that meet the evolving needs of athletes and consumers. NIKE also leverages data analytics to understand consumer trends and personalize its product offerings and marketing messages.

What is NIKE, Inc.'s geographic revenue mix?

NIKE, Inc.'s revenue is diversified across North America, Europe, Greater China, and other emerging markets. While North America and Europe remain significant contributors, Greater China has emerged as a key growth market for the company. NIKE's international growth rates are driven by increasing demand for athletic apparel and footwear in emerging economies.

What are the key factors to evaluate for NKE?

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) holds an AI score of 56/100 (moderate). P/E: 20.1x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $79.80 (+98%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does NKE data refresh on this page?

NKE's price was last updated on Aug 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven NKE's recent stock price performance?

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition and loyalty. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on publicly available data and management commentary.
  • Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.
Data Sources

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