Stock Expert AI
Cadence Design Systems, Inc.
CDNS - NASDAQ - $332.76 ▼ -%3.47
-
Earnings Mon 26 Oct

Cadence opens the
books on Monday evening.

8 analysts' median target is $425[FMP target], stock is $333, +27.7% upside potential. After Q2 +2.9% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved +1.8%.

summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
B
BUY Council 4/6 - Moonshot 66

B = MoonshotScore 66[multi-pillar formula] + Council 4/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].

Q1 consensus: revenue $1.6B[FMP est], EPS $2.04[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$2.04 EPS Estimate Last year $1.96 - +6% YoY YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q2 EPS +2.9% beat[FMP] but the stock +1.8% D+1[FMP D+1]. John Wall promised $52.6M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q1 during the Q2 earnings call[John Wall capex transcript].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

37% Investor Focus

Sda Growth

sda_growth

System design and analysis revenue grew 37% year-over-year, with Allegro X AI and 3D IC technology seeing significant customer adoption, while the integration of Hexagon's D&E business is progressing well.

"System design and analysis revenue grew 37% year-over-year. Al system complexity increases, customers are increasingly turning to our advanced packaging and PCB solutions. Allegro X Al was adopted by several customers, driven by significant layout design time reduction."

- Anirudh Devgan, President and Chief Executive Officer - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - July 27, 2026
40% Investor Focus

Ip Business Growth

ip_business_growth

Cadence's IP business had an outstanding quarter, growing over 40% year-over-year, driven by strong demand in AI and HPC applications and strategic focus.

"Our IP business had an outstanding quarter, growing over 40% year-over-year. Al performance is increasingly constrained by data movement, memory bandwidth, and advanced packaging, and our differentiated IP portfolio continued to see strong adoption."

- Anirudh Devgan, President and Chief Executive Officer - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - July 27, 2026
19% Expectation / Guide

Fy26 Guidance Raise

fy26_guidance_raise

Cadence is raising its 2026 revenue growth guidance to 19% with higher profitability, driven by growing business momentum and accelerating demand.

"Given the growing business momentum and accelerating demand, we are raising our guidance for the year to 19% revenue growth and with higher profitability as we become more central to our customers as a strategic and trusted partner."

- Anirudh Devgan, President and Chief Executive Officer - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - July 27, 2026
24% Investor Focus

Q2 Revenue Growth

q2_revenue_growth

Cadence delivered excellent Q2 results with 24% year-over-year revenue growth, achieving double-digit growth across all product groups.

"Robust design activity and customer demand drove 24% year-over-year revenue growth for Q2, with double-digit growth across all our product groups."

- John Wall, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - July 27, 2026
14A Investor Focus

Strategic Partnerships

strategic_partnerships

Cadence deepened its strategic partnerships with multi-year engagements with Intel on its 14A process and with Samsung Foundry on two nanometer and 3D IC technologies.

"We expanded our collaboration with Intel through a multi-year engagement focused on enabling its 14A process, leveraging our design IP and agentic Al-based EDA to co-optimize tool flows and methodologies for next-generation HPC and mobile design. We also deepened our collaboration with Samsung Foundry on two nanometer and 3D IC technologies, combining our Al-driven flows and design IP to enable next-generation AI, HPC, and mobile systems."

- Anirudh Devgan, President and Chief Executive Officer - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - July 27, 2026
$8.1 billion Investor Focus

Record Backlog

record_backlog

Cadence achieved a record backlog of $8.1 billion in the second quarter, which was above expectations.

"Second-quarter bookings resulted in a record backlog of $8.1 billion."

- John Wall, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - July 27, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 4 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +27.7%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 39
Klarman value - target upside +27.7%
Buffett quality - ROE score 4/5
Munger valuation - target upside +27.7%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
38.6 RSI 38.6 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-10.40 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$372 stock 10.4% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$328 stock 1.6% above - long-term support
Volume (10d)
+11% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$425
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$333
Pre-earnings position
Support
$278
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$278-$425 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

Cadence beat expectations in the last 8 quarters.

BEAT
Q3 FY25
$1.93 vs $1.79 est - -2.9%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.99 vs $1.91 est - +7.6%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.96 vs $1.91 est - -3.3%
BEAT
Q2 FY26
$2.11 vs $2.05 est - +1.8%

Q2 (July 27, 2026): EPS $2.11 vs $2.05 est[FMP], +2.9% beat. D+1 movement: +1.8%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $1.98 (no guidance)

Q2: EPS $2.11 vs $2.05 beat[FMP], stock +1.8% D+1[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q2 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q2 CapEx $52.6M[FMP cashflow]. Q2 op margin 28.4%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q1 EPS > $2.04 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $2.04[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $425[FMP target]; high target $450[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $2.04 + CapEx < $52.6M
Threshold: EPS approx $2.04[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $52.6M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $333[FMP] and median $425[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $1.98 or CapEx >= $52.6M
Threshold: EPS < $1.98[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $333 below SMA200 $328[FMP], if rejection continues, $278[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.

Market Outlook

What do 8 analysts say?

Wall Street Consensus
$425
12-month median target price (+27.7% upside potential)
22
BUY
3
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$278
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$372 - 50-day MA (below, -10.4%)
$328 - 200-day MA (above, +1.6%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - CDNS Q1 FY27
B

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Monday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Monday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q1 EPS threshold $2.04[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $52.6M"[John Wall]. Two anchors, three scenarios.

Comparison Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).

3 subscriptions. 1 platform.

Seeking Alpha $299/yr - analyst opinions + earnings coverage TipRanks $360/yr - Smart Score (1-10) + analyst consensus + insider trades Trendspider $400/yr - AI pattern detection + automated TA + multi-timeframe alerts

Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing

Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Oct 26, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 results (after market close) + earnings call
Oct 27, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Dec 10, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Jan 26, 2027EARNINGSQ2 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the CDNS earnings preview cover?

This Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in CDNS earnings?

Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

More earnings, decoded