Stock Expert AI
Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER - NYSE - $74.43 ▲ +%2.44
-
Earnings Wed 5 Aug

Uber opens the
books on Wednesday evening.

9 analysts' median target is $105[FMP target], stock is $74, +41.1% upside potential. After Q1 +3.9% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved -3.1%.

summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
A-
BUY Council 5/6 - Moonshot 56

A- = MoonshotScore 56[multi-pillar formula] + Council 5/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].

Q1 consensus: revenue $14.2B[FMP est], EPS $0.83[FMP est]. 1 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$0.83 EPS Estimate Last year $0.72 - +32% YoY YoY
1 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 1 quarters

Q1 EPS +3.9% beat[FMP] but the stock -3.1% D+1[FMP D+1]. Balaji Krishnamurthy promised $65.0M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q1 during the Q1 earnings call[Balaji Krishnamurthy capex transcript].

Watchlist

5 metrics stand out this quarter.

1.5x Investor Focus

Ai Cross Platform Strategy

ai_cross_platform_strategy

Uber is significantly investing in AI and agents to deliver personalized experiences, allowing users to interact with services as they wish and driving increased cross-platform usage.

"AI solves all that because essentially, the way that any user wants to interact with your services is up to that user. They can talk and they can ask for whatever they want... That creates unique opportunities for us to build out new services on our platform, and we think also affords us the ability to drive cross-platform usage... The growth of cross-platform consumers is growing 1.5x faster than the overall growth of consumers."

- Dara Khosrowshahi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026
700,000 Investor Focus

Travel Hotels Expansion

travel_hotels_expansion

Uber is expanding into the travel category by integrating 700,000 hotels onto its platform through a partnership with Expedia and offering attractive discounts to Uber One members.

"hotels was, of course, a very, very natural expansion for us. We're very happy to have a relationship with Expedia. Their inventory is second to none. So now we've got 700,000 hotels available on Uber as we speak. And we've taken most of the economics of that deal, and we are giving it back to our Uber One members. Uber One members get 10% Uber credits. There's a rolling list of 10,000 hotels where you get another 20% off as well."

- Dara Khosrowshahi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026
21% Investor Focus

Q1 Performance Profitability

q1_performance_profitability

Uber had an exceptional start to 2026, driven by strong operating leverage and cost management, achieving 21% gross bookings growth and a 44% increase in non-GAAP EPS.

"Despite a complex backdrop marked by war and weather, we delivered top line and profitability at or above the high end of our guidance. Gross bookings were up 21% year-on-year... Non-GAAP EPS increased 44% year-over-year, more than twice as fast as our bookings growth, driven by disciplined cost management and operating leverage."

- Dara Khosrowshahi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026
hundreds of millions Investor Focus

Us Mobility Insurance Savings

us_mobility_insurance_savings

Uber anticipates accelerating U.S. Mobility business growth in 2026, driven by hundreds of millions of dollars in insurance cost savings and improving market conditions.

"we expect to see hundreds of millions of dollars of savings in our insurance line this year... And as a result of that, we are seeing really good elasticity. And as we would have expected, we've seen that price reduction translate to acceleration in trip growth... And we expect to see this translating to accelerating U.S. business growth in 2026, as we've previously said, and we feel even more confident today than we did in December or January."

- Balaji Krishnamurthy, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026
10x Investor Focus

Av Expansion Strategy

av_expansion_strategy

Uber is accelerating autonomous vehicle deployments, targeting to be live in up to 15 cities by the end of 2026, and sees no adverse effect on its business despite the presence of competitors like Waymo.

"AV Mobility trips grew more than 10x year-on-year, and we remain on track to be live in up to 15 cities by the end of the year, including new deployments in the U.S... At this point, we don't see any effect of the Waymo launches on our overall business."

- Dara Khosrowshahi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 5 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 5 bullish (Ray Dalio, Ken Griffin, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 0 bearish (none), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +41.1%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA above
Jim Simons quant - RSI 54
Klarman value - target upside +41.1%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside +41.1%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthStrong
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
54.3 RSI 54.3 balanced, 50d above
MACD
+1.70 price above 50d - support positive
50d MA
$73 stock 1.7% above - short-term support
200d MA
$81 stock 8.2% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
-47% decrease - low participation
Resistance
$105
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$74
Pre-earnings position
Support
$69
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$69-$105 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

Uber's last 8 quarters: 1 consecutive beats.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$0.63 vs $0.63 est - +3.9%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$3.11 vs $0.69 est - -2.0%
MISS
Q4 FY25
$0.14 vs $0.79 est - +1.7%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$0.72 vs $0.69 est - -3.1%

Q1 (May 6, 2026): EPS $0.72 vs $0.69 est[FMP], +3.9% beat. D+1 movement: -3.1%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $0.81 (no guidance)

Q1: EPS $0.72 vs $0.69 beat[FMP], stock -3.1% D+1[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $65.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 14.6%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q1 EPS > $0.83 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $0.83[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $105[FMP target]; high target $125[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $0.83 + CapEx < $65.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $0.83[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $65.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $74[FMP] and median $105[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $0.81 or CapEx >= $65.0M
Threshold: EPS < $0.81[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $74 below SMA200 $81[FMP], if rejection continues, $69[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.

Market Outlook

What do 9 analysts say?

Wall Street Consensus
$105
12-month median target price (+41.1% upside potential)
46
BUY
5
HOLD
1
SELL
Risk Management
$69
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$73 - 50-day MA (above, +1.7%)
$81 - 200-day MA (below, -8.2%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - UBER Q1 FY27
A-

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Wednesday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Wednesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q1 EPS threshold $0.83[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $65.0M"[Balaji Krishnamurthy]. Two anchors, three scenarios.

Comparison Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).

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Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing

Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Aug 5, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 results (after market close) + earnings call
Aug 6, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Sep 19, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Nov 5, 2026EARNINGSQ2 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the UBER earnings preview cover?

This Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in UBER earnings?

Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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