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Federal Realty Investment Trust
FRT - NYSE - $115.68 (as of ) ▲ +0.01%
-
Earnings Wed 5 Aug
Note: this preview was published before the 2026-08-05 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Q2 FY26 earnings preview — archived, published May 9, 2026

The median of 4 price targets is $111[FMP target], stock is $116, -4.5% vs the analyst consensus median. Q1 FY26 EPS $1.88 vs $0.73 estimate: beat (+157.5%)[FMP earnings]. Stock move on D+1: -0.7%.

↓ summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds ·
B+
Council 2/6 - Historical V1 score 59

B+ — FMP rating [FMP ratings]. Form 4: unavailable[FMP Form 4].

Quick Answer

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Q2 consensus: revenue $332.4M[FMP est], EPS $0.73[FMP est]. 5 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$0.73 EPS Estimate Last year $1.91 - -62% YoY
5 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 5 quarters

Q1 FY26 EPS $1.88 vs $0.73 estimate: beat (+157.5%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -0.7%[FMP D+1].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

$7.46 Expectation / Guide

Guidance Increase

guidance_increase

Federal Realty raised its guidance for both NAREIT and core FFO to $7.46 to $7.55 per share, driven by a strong first quarter and encouraging outlook.

"As a result of a robust first quarter and more encouraging outlook, given the continued resiliency in our portfolio, we are raising guidance for both NAREIT and core FFO to $7.46 to $7.55 per share."

- Daniel Guglielmone, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 1, 2026
$1.88 Investor Focus

Ffo Per Share Growth

ffo_per_share_growth

Federal Realty reported a 10.6% growth in FFO per share, driven by strong operational performance.

"FFO per share of $1.88, besting a year ago's quarter by 10.6%, setting the stage for this quarter's earnings peak and enabling us to raise guidance for the balance of the year."

- Donald Wood, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 1, 2026
$159 million Investor Focus

Capital Recycling

capital_recycling

Federal Realty generated $159 million from the sale of Misora apartments and Courthouse Shopping Center and acquired Congressional North Shopping Center.

"Capital recycling this quarter saw us close on the sales of Misora apartments at Santana Row and Courthouse Shopping Center in Rockville, Maryland for combined proceeds of $159 million at a combined cap rate well inside 5%. Subsequently, we closed on the acquisition of Congressional North Shopping Center directly adjacent to our long-held A-rated Congressional Plaza in Rockville, for $72 million at a 7% stabilized yield."

- Donald Wood, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 1, 2026
100 Investor Focus

Leasing Activity

leasing_activity

Federal Realty completed over 100 leases for 649,000 square feet in the quarter, achieving a 13% cash rollover and 23% on a straight-line basis.

"With over 100 leases and 649,000 feet of comparable deals done in the quarter at 13% cash rollover, 23% on a straight-line basis."

- Donald Wood, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 1, 2026
800 Investor Focus

Residential Development

residential_development

Federal Realty plans to add nearly 800 residential units and $27 million of new operating income by intensifying its shopping centers.

"Together, this densification of our shopping center assets will add nearly 800 units and $27 million of new operating income to the portfolio once stabilized in the next few years."

- Donald Wood, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 1, 2026
99% Investor Focus

Office Portfolio Occupancy

office_portfolio_occupancy

Federal Realty's office portfolio is 99% leased overall and is in high demand in mixed-use communities.

"Whole office portfolio, 99% overall leased. Now our office income stream and our nationally recognized mixed-use communities is in extremely high demand and is stable, is solid and is growing."

- Donald Wood, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 1, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 6 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 2 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 2 bullish (Ken Griffin, Buffett), 2 bearish (Klarman, Munger), 2 neutral (Ray Dalio, Jim Simons).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside -4.5%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA above
Jim Simons quant - RSI 66
Klarman value - target upside -4.5%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside -4.5%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Overvalued

Quality business, but price is high.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyWeak
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
65.7 RSI 65.7 positive momentum, 50d above
MACD
+6.30 price above 50d - support positive
50d MA
$109 stock 6.3% above - short-term support
200d MA
$102 stock 13.7% above - long-term support
Volume (10d)
-4% decrease - low participation
Resistance
$111
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$116
Pre-earnings position
Support
$86
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$86-$111 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

4 quarters shown.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$1.91 vs $1.73 est · Next-day price move: -0.9%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$1.77 vs $1.76 est · Next-day price move: -0.5%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.84 vs $0.74 est · Next-day price move: +0.0%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.88 vs $0.73 est · Next-day price move: -0.7%

Q1 FY26 (May 1, 2026) EPS $1.88 vs $0.73 estimate: beat (+157.5%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -0.7%[FMP D+1].

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $0.71 (no guidance)

Q1 FY26 EPS $1.88 vs $0.73 estimate: beat (+157.5%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -0.7%[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $65.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 34.1%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q2 EPS > $0.73 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $0.73[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $111[FMP target]; high target $127[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $0.73 + CapEx < $65.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $0.73[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $65.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $116[FMP] and median $111[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $0.71 or CapEx >= $65.0M
Threshold: EPS < $0.71[FMP estx0.97].
Current price $116 — above SMA200 $102 [FMP].

Market Outlook

What do analysts say? 4 price targets · 19 ratings

Wall Street Consensus
$111
12-month median target price (-4.5% gap to the analyst consensus median)
11
BUY
8
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$86
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$109 - 50-day MA (above, +6.3%)
$102 - 200-day MA (above, +13.7%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - FRT Q2 FY26
B+

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Wednesday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Wednesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q2 EPS threshold $0.73[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $65.0M". Two anchors, three scenarios.

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Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Aug 5, 2026EARNINGSQ2 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Aug 6, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Aug 9, 2026 – Aug 14, 2026FILING10-Q due within 40–45 days of quarter end (by Aug 9, 2026 – Aug 14, 2026); the exact deadline depends on filer status
~Nov 5, 2026EARNINGSQ3 FY26 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the FRT Q2 FY26 earnings preview cover?

This Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT) Q2 FY26 earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in FRT Q2 FY26 earnings?

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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