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Jack Henry & Associates, Inc.
JKHY - NASDAQ - $145.84 (as of ) ▼ -0.13%
-
Earnings Tue 18 Aug
Note: this preview was published before the 2026-08-18 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Q4 FY26 earnings preview — archived, published May 9, 2026

The median of 4 price targets is $201[FMP target], stock is $146, +37.5% vs the analyst consensus median. Q3 FY26 EPS $1.71 vs $1.43 estimate: beat (+19.6%)[FMP earnings]. Stock move on D+1: -4.3%.

↓ summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds ·
A
Council 4/6 - Historical V1 score 50

A — FMP rating [FMP ratings]. Form 4: unavailable[FMP Form 4].

Quick Answer

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Q4 consensus: revenue $629.7M[FMP est], EPS $1.45[FMP est]. 5 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$1.45 EPS Estimate Last year $1.75 - -17% YoY
5 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 5 quarters

Q3 FY26 EPS $1.71 vs $1.43 estimate: beat (+19.6%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -4.3%[FMP D+1].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

8 Investor Focus

Market Share Growth

market_share_growth

Over the past 8 years, our core market share among banks has increased by 17%, while our credit union market share has expanded by 40%.

"Over the past 8 years, our core market share among banks has increased by 17%, while our credit union market share has expanded by 40%."

- Gregory Adelson, President and CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 4, 2026
5.6% Expectation / Guide

Fy26 Revenue Guidance

fy26_revenue_guidance

Jack Henry increased full year GAAP revenue growth guidance to a range of 5.6% to 6.3% for fiscal '26.

"Full year GAAP revenue growth guidance increased to a range of 5.6% to 6.3%."

- Mimi Carsley, CFO and Treasurer - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 4, 2026
$611 million Investor Focus

Revenue Growth

revenue_growth

Jack Henry produced record second quarter results with non-GAAP revenue of $611 million, up 6.7% over last year's second quarter.

"We produced record second quarter results with non-GAAP revenue of $611 million, up 6.7% over last year's second quarter."

- Gregory Adelson, President and CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 4, 2026
25.1% Risk Indicator

Margin Expansion

margin_expansion

Jack Henry's non-GAAP operating margin was 25.1%, representing a robust 355 basis points of margin expansion over last year's Q2.

"Our non-GAAP operating margin was 25.1%, representing a robust 355 basis points of margin expansion over last year's Q2."

- Gregory Adelson, President and CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 4, 2026
22 Investor Focus

Core Sales Wins

core_sales_wins

Jack Henry's core sales team delivered an outstanding quarter with 22 competitive core wins. Of the 22 wins, 4 were financial institutions with over $1 billion in assets.

"Our core sales team delivered an outstanding quarter with 22 competitive core wins. Of the 22 wins, 4 were financial institutions with over $1 billion in assets"

- Gregory Adelson, President and CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 4, 2026
68% Investor Focus

Trifecta Wins

trifecta_wins

68% of new core wins this quarter included digital and card processing as compared to 45% in Q2 fiscal year '25.

"68% of new core wins this quarter included digital and card processing as compared to 45% in Q2 fiscal year '25."

- Gregory Adelson, President and CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - February 4, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 6 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 4 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +37.5%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 36
Klarman value - target upside +37.5%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside +37.5%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthStrong
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
35.9 RSI 35.9 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-7.70 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$158 stock 7.7% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$165 stock 11.6% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
+12% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$201
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$146
Pre-earnings position
Support
$140
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$140-$201 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

4 quarters shown.

BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.75 vs $1.58 est · Next-day price move: +2.0%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.97 vs $1.71 est · Next-day price move: +4.9%
BEAT
Q2 FY26
$1.72 vs $1.43 est · Next-day price move: +4.6%
BEAT
Q3 FY26
$1.71 vs $1.43 est · Next-day price move: -4.3%

Q3 FY26 (February 4, 2026) EPS $1.71 vs $1.43 estimate: beat (+19.6%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -4.3%[FMP D+1].

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $1.41 (no guidance)

Q3 FY26 EPS $1.71 vs $1.43 estimate: beat (+19.6%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -4.3%[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q2 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q2 CapEx $16.5M[FMP cashflow]. Q2 op margin 24.4%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q4 EPS > $1.45 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $1.45[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $201[FMP target]; high target $220[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $1.45 + CapEx < $16.5M
Threshold: EPS approx $1.45[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $16.5M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $146[FMP] and median $201[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $1.41 or CapEx >= $16.5M
Threshold: EPS < $1.41[FMP estx0.97].
Current price $146 — below SMA200 $165 [FMP].

Market Outlook

What do analysts say? 4 price targets · 16 ratings

Wall Street Consensus
$201
12-month median target price (+37.5% gap to the analyst consensus median)
12
BUY
4
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$140
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$158 - 50-day MA (below, -7.7%)
$165 - 200-day MA (below, -11.6%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - JKHY Q4 FY26
A

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Tuesday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Tuesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q4 EPS threshold $1.45[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $16.5M". Two anchors, three scenarios.

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Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Aug 18, 2026EARNINGSQ4 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Aug 19, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Aug 29, 2026 – Sep 28, 2026FILING10-K due within 60–90 days of fiscal year end (by Aug 29, 2026 – Sep 28, 2026); the exact deadline depends on filer status
~Nov 18, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the JKHY Q4 FY26 earnings preview cover?

This Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY) Q4 FY26 earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in JKHY Q4 FY26 earnings?

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. (JKHY): No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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