Stock Expert AI
KKR & Co. Inc.
KKR - NYSE - $102.52 ▲ +%2.17
-
Earnings Thu 30 Jul
Note: this preview was published before the 2026-07-30 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

KKR opens the
books on Thursday evening.

6 analysts' median target is $137[FMP target], stock is $103, +33.6% upside potential. After Q1 +10.3% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved -1.2%.

summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
D+
BUY Council 4/6 - Moonshot 57

D+ = MoonshotScore 57[multi-pillar formula] + Council 4/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Q4 consensus: revenue $2.8B[FMP est], EPS $1.40[FMP est]. 1 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$1.40 EPS Estimate Last year $1.12 - +19% YoY YoY
1 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 1 quarters

Q1 EPS +10.3% beat[FMP] but the stock -1.2% D+1[FMP D+1]. Robert Lewin promised $27.4M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q4 during the Q1 earnings call[Robert Lewin capex transcript].

Watchlist

5 metrics stand out this quarter.

$28 billion Investor Focus

Capital Raising Success

capital_raising_success

KKR raised $28 billion of new capital in Q1, with a notable $15 billion raised in credit.

"We raised $28 billion of new capital in the quarter with demand really widespread across asset classes and geographies. A real bright spot for us this quarter was in credit where we raised $15 billion across our platform."

- Robert Lewin, Chief Financial Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 5, 2026
$317 million Investor Focus

Share Repurchases

share_repurchases

KKR leaned into share repurchases, repurchasing $317 million of stock this year through May 1 at an average price of approximately $91, and increased its share repurchase program by an additional $500 million.

"We repurchased or retired $317 million of stock this year through May 1 at an average price of approximately $91. And our Board recently authorized an increase to our share repurchase program by an additional $500 million."

- Robert Lewin, Chief Financial Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 5, 2026
$23 billion Investor Focus

North America 14 Fund

north_america_14_fund

KKR's North America 14 fund had its final closing at $23 billion, eclipsing the prior $19 billion fund.

"Another milestone for us this quarter was the final closing of our North America 14 fund at $23 billion, eclipsing the prior $19 billion fund."

- Robert Lewin, Chief Financial Officer - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 5, 2026
$1.2 billion Management Quote

Management Fee Growth

management_fee_growth

KKR's management fees were $1.2 billion in Q1, up 30% year-over-year.

"Management fees in the quarter were $1.2 billion. That's up 30% on a year-over-year basis."

- Craig Larson, Partner and Head of Investor Relations - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 5, 2026
$1.13 Investor Focus

Fee Related Earnings Growth

fee_related_earnings_growth

KKR reported fee-related earnings per share of $1.13 in Q1, up 23% year-over-year.

"Fee-related earnings per share came in at $1.13. That's up 23% year-over-year."

- Craig Larson, Partner and Head of Investor Relations - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 5, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 4 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Ken Griffin, Klarman, Munger), 0 bearish (none), 2 neutral (Jim Simons, Buffett).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +33.6%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA above
Jim Simons quant - RSI 56
Klarman value - target upside +33.6%
Buffett quality - ROE score 1/5
Munger valuation - target upside +33.6%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthWeak
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCTight
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
56.0 RSI 56.0 positive momentum, 50d above
MACD
+7.90 price above 50d - support positive
50d MA
$95 stock 7.9% above - short-term support
200d MA
$120 stock 14.2% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
+26% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$137
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$103
Pre-earnings position
Support
$102
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$102-$137 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

KKR's last 8 quarters: 1 consecutive beats.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$1.18 vs $1.14 est - -2.7%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$1.41 vs $1.30 est - -1.0%
MISS
Q4 FY25
$1.12 vs $1.14 est - +4.1%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.39 vs $1.26 est - -1.2%

Q1 (May 5, 2026): EPS $1.39 vs $1.26 est[FMP], +10.3% beat. D+1 movement: -1.2%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $1.36 (no guidance)

Q1: EPS $1.39 vs $1.26 beat[FMP], stock -1.2% D+1[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $27.4M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 5.1%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q4 EPS > $1.40 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $1.40[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $137[FMP target]; high target $187[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $1.40 + CapEx < $27.4M
Threshold: EPS approx $1.40[FMP est], Q4 CapEx < $27.4M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $103[FMP] and median $137[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $1.36 or CapEx >= $27.4M
Threshold: EPS < $1.36[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $103 below SMA200 $120[FMP], if rejection continues, $102[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.

Market Outlook

What do 6 analysts say?

Wall Street Consensus
$137
12-month median target price (+33.6% upside potential)
18
BUY
3
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$102
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$95 - 50-day MA (above, +7.9%)
$120 - 200-day MA (below, -14.2%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - KKR Q4 FY26
D+

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Thursday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Thursday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q4 EPS threshold $1.40[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $27.4M"[Robert Lewin]. Two anchors, three scenarios.

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Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing

Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Jul 30, 2026EARNINGSQ4 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Jul 31, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Sep 13, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Oct 30, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the KKR earnings preview cover?

This KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in KKR earnings?

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR): No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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