L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
LHX - NYSE - $302.65 ▼ -%1.93
-
Earnings Thu 23 Jul

L3Harris opens the
books on Thursday evening.

0 analysts' median target is $360[FMP target], stock is $303, +18.8% upside potential. After Q1 +7.5% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved -2.2%.

summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
B+
BUY Council 2/6 - Moonshot 33

B+ = MoonshotScore 33[9-pillar formula] + Council 2/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].

Q4 consensus: revenue $5.8B[FMP est], EPS $2.76[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$2.76 EPS Estimate Last year $2.86 - -1% YoY YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q1 EPS +7.5% beat[FMP] but the stock -2.2% D+1[FMP D+1]. Ken Sharp promised $99.0M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q4 during the Q1 earnings call[Ken Sharp capex transcript].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

$3 billion Investor Focus

Space Mission Systems Growth

space_mission_systems_growth

L3Harris' Space & Mission Systems delivered revenue of $3 billion, up 24% year-over-year, driven by strength in a number of our sectors. Space & Mission Systems revenue benefited from a milestone associated with procurement of material on a new classified program.

"Space & Mission Systems delivered revenue of $3 billion, up 24% year-over-year, driven by strength in a number of our sectors. Space & Mission Systems revenue benefited from a milestone associated with procurement of material on a new classified program."

- Kenneth Sharp, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
$23 billion Expectation / Guide

2026 Revenue Guidance

2026_revenue_guidance

L3Harris is reaffirming the full year revenue guidance of $23 billion to $23.5 billion, representing 7% organic growth at the midpoint.

"We are reaffirming the full year revenue guidance of $23 billion to $23.5 billion, representing 7% organic growth at the midpoint."

- Kenneth Sharp, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
$0.10 Expectation / Guide

2026 Eps Guidance

2026_eps_guidance

L3Harris is increasing both the bottom end and top end of our GAAP EPS range by $0.10 to $11.40 to $11.60.

"We are increasing both the bottom end and top end of our GAAP EPS range by $0.10 to $11.40 to $11.60."

- Kenneth Sharp, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
20% Investor Focus

International Growth

international_growth

L3Harris is experiencing strong international demand with growth accelerating over 20% as our allies modernize their technologies and invest more heavily in their national defense.

"We also continue to experience strong international demand with growth accelerating over 20% as our allies modernize their technologies and invest more heavily in their national defense."

- Kenneth Sharp, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
$40 billion Investor Focus

Record Backlog

record_backlog

L3Harris' record backlog of over $40 billion does not yet include the $25 billion of orders for the Munitions Acceleration Council programs, which are currently in negotiations.

"Our backlog has almost doubled to over $40 billion, and that does not yet include the $25 billion of orders for the Munitions Acceleration Council programs, which are currently in negotiations."

- Christopher Kubasik, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026
$1 billion Investor Focus

Missile Solutions Ipo

missile_solutions_ipo

L3Harris' Missile Solutions strategy, including the $1 billion Department of War investment, which we received in April and our planned IPO represents a thoughtful and creative evolution in how we are positioning the business. We designed this model intentionally to move faster, unlock incremental shareholder value and align more closely with customer priorities in a rapidly evolving environment.

"Our Missile Solutions strategy, including the $1 billion Department of War investment, which we received in April and our planned IPO represents a thoughtful and creative evolution in how we are positioning the business. We designed this model intentionally to move faster, unlock incremental shareholder value and align more closely with customer priorities in a rapidly evolving environment."

- Christopher Kubasik, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 30, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our 9 pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 2 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 2 bullish (Ray Dalio, Jim Simons), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 3 neutral (Klarman, Buffett, Munger).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +18.8%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 24
Klarman value - target upside +18.8%
Buffett quality - ROE score 3/5
Munger valuation - target upside +18.8%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Fairly Valued

Quality business, trading at fair value.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyModerate
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCTight
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
24.4 RSI 24.4 oversold, 50d below
MACD
-13.40 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$349 stock 13.4% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$310 stock 2.5% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
+11% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$360
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$303
Pre-earnings position
Support
$264
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$264-$360 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

L3Harris beat expectations in the last 8 quarters.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$2.78 vs $2.48 est - -1.4%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$2.70 vs $2.58 est - -2.3%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$2.86 vs $2.76 est - -3.7%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$2.72 vs $2.53 est - -2.2%

Q1 (April 30, 2026): EPS $2.72 vs $2.53 est[FMP], +7.5% beat. D+1 movement: -2.2%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $2.68 (no guidance)

Q1: EPS $2.72 vs $2.53 beat[FMP], stock -2.2% D+1[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $99.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 11.4%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q4 EPS > $2.76 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $2.76[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $360[FMP target]; high target $367[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $2.76 + CapEx < $99.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $2.76[FMP est], Q4 CapEx < $99.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $303[FMP] and median $360[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $2.68 or CapEx >= $99.0M
Threshold: EPS < $2.68[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $303 below SMA200 $310[FMP], if rejection continues, $264[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.

Market Outlook

What do 0 analysts say?

Wall Street Consensus
$360
12-month median target price (+18.8% upside potential)
15
BUY
6
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$264
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$349 - 50-day MA (below, -13.4%)
$310 - 200-day MA (below, -2.5%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - LHX Q4 FY26
B+

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Thursday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Thursday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q4 EPS threshold $2.76[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $99.0M"[Ken Sharp]. Two anchors, three scenarios.

Comparison Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).

3 subscriptions. 1 platform.

Seeking Alpha $299/yr - analyst opinions + earnings coverage TipRanks $360/yr - Smart Score (1-10) + analyst consensus + insider trades Trendspider $400/yr - AI pattern detection + automated TA + multi-timeframe alerts

Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing

Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore 9-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Jul 23, 2026EARNINGSQ4 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Jul 24, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Sep 6, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Oct 23, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the LHX earnings preview cover?

This LHX (LHX) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in LHX earnings?

Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.