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NetApp, Inc.
NTAP - NASDAQ - $118.00 (as of ) ▲ +4.42%
-
Earnings Thu 28 May
Note: this preview was published before the 2026-05-28 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) Q4 FY26 earnings preview — archived, published May 9, 2026

The median of 0 price targets is $124[FMP target], stock is $118, +5.1% vs the analyst consensus median. Q3 FY26 EPS $2.12 vs $2.06 estimate: beat (+2.9%)[FMP earnings]. Stock move on D+1: -0.1%.

↓ summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds ·
B+
Council 3/6 - Historical V1 score 47

B+ — FMP rating [FMP ratings]. Form 4: unavailable[FMP Form 4].

Quick Answer

NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) Q4 consensus: revenue $1.9B[FMP est], EPS $2.26[FMP est]. 4 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$2.26 EPS Estimate Last year $1.93 - +17% YoY
4 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 4 quarters

Q3 FY26 EPS $2.12 vs $2.06 estimate: beat (+2.9%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -0.1%[FMP D+1].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

9% Investor Focus

All Flash Array Revenue

all_flash_array_revenue

Continued strong customer engagement and interest in our unified and block-optimized all-flash storage portfolio delivered 9% year-over-year growth in all-flash array revenue to $1 billion in Q2, or an annualized run rate of $4.1 billion.

"Continued strong customer engagement and interest in our unified and block-optimized all-flash storage portfolio delivered 9% year-over-year growth in all-flash array revenue to $1 billion in Q2, or an annualized run rate of $4.1 billion."

- George Kurian, CEO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - November 25, 2025
$23 million Investor Focus

Q2 Revenue Growth

q2_revenue_growth

NetApp achieved a 4% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2, excluding the divested Spot business.

"Excluding the divested spot business, which generated $23 million of revenue in the year-ago quarter, total revenue was up 4% year over year."

- Wissam Jabre, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - November 25, 2025
$456 million Investor Focus

Unbilled Rpo Growth

unbilled_rpo_growth

NetApp's unbilled RPO, a key indicator of future key revenue, was $456 million, up 39% year over year.

"Unbilled RPO, a key indicator of future key revenue, was $456 million, up 39% year over year."

- Wissam Jabre, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - November 25, 2025
$4.9 billion Investor Focus

Rpo Growth

rpo_growth

NetApp's remaining performance obligations were $4.9 billion, growing 11% year over year.

"Remaining performance obligations were $4.9 billion, growing 11% year over year."

- Wissam Jabre, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - November 25, 2025
18% Investor Focus

Public Cloud Growth

public_cloud_growth

NetApp's public cloud revenue increased by 18% year over year, excluding Spot, driven by strong demand in first-party and marketplace storage services.

"Excluding spot, public cloud revenue was up 18% year over year, driven by strong demand in first-party and marketplace storage services."

- Wissam Jabre, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - November 25, 2025
76% Investor Focus

Keystone Growth

keystone_growth

NetApp's Keystone product continues to show great progress with growth of 76% year over year.

"Keystone continues to show great progress with growth of 76% year over year."

- Wissam Jabre, CFO - Q2 FY26 Earnings Call - November 25, 2025

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 6 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 3 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 3 bullish (Ray Dalio, Ken Griffin, Buffett), 1 bearish (Jim Simons), 2 neutral (Klarman, Munger).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +5.1%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA above
Jim Simons quant - RSI 70
Klarman value - target upside +5.1%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside +5.1%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Fairly Valued

Quality business, trading at fair value.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyWeak
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCHealthy
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
70.2 RSI 70.2 overbought, 50d above
MACD
+13.80 price above 50d - support positive
50d MA
$104 stock 13.8% above - short-term support
200d MA
$109 stock 8.2% above - long-term support
Volume (10d)
+53% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$124
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$118
Pre-earnings position
Support
$93
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$93-$124 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

4 quarters shown.

BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.93 vs $1.90 est · Next-day price move: -0.1%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.55 vs $1.54 est · Next-day price move: +4.5%
BEAT
Q2 FY26
$2.05 vs $1.88 est · Next-day price move: -2.0%
BEAT
Q3 FY26
$2.12 vs $2.06 est · Next-day price move: -0.1%

Q3 FY26 (November 25, 2025) EPS $2.12 vs $2.06 estimate: beat (+2.9%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -0.1%[FMP D+1].

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $2.19 (no guidance)

Q3 FY26 EPS $2.12 vs $2.06 estimate: beat (+2.9%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -0.1%[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q2 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q2 CapEx $46.0M[FMP cashflow]. Q2 op margin 25.2%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q4 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q4 EPS > $2.26 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $2.26[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $124[FMP target]; high target $137[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $2.26 + CapEx < $46.0M
Threshold: EPS approx $2.26[FMP est], Q4 CapEx < $46.0M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $118[FMP] and median $124[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $2.19 or CapEx >= $46.0M
Threshold: EPS < $2.19[FMP estx0.97].
Current price $118 — above SMA200 $109 [FMP].

Market Outlook

What do analysts say? 0 price targets · 20 ratings

Wall Street Consensus
$124
12-month median target price (+5.1% gap to the analyst consensus median)
8
BUY
11
HOLD
1
SELL
Risk Management
$93
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$104 - 50-day MA (above, +13.8%)
$109 - 200-day MA (above, +8.2%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - NTAP Q4 FY26
B+

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Thursday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Thursday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q4 EPS threshold $2.26[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $46.0M". Two anchors, three scenarios.

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Stock Expert AI is free today — no credit card. Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

May 28, 2026EARNINGSQ4 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
May 29, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Jun 22, 2026 – Jul 22, 2026FILING10-K due within 60–90 days of fiscal year end (by Jun 22, 2026 – Jul 22, 2026); the exact deadline depends on filer status
~Aug 28, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the NTAP Q4 FY26 earnings preview cover?

This NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) Q4 FY26 earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in NTAP Q4 FY26 earnings?

NetApp, Inc. (NTAP): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

NetApp, Inc. (NTAP): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

NetApp, Inc. (NTAP): No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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