Teledyne Technologies Incorporated
TDY - NYSE - $621.38 ▼ -%1.49
-
Earnings Mon 19 Oct

Teledyne opens the
books on Monday evening.

4 analysts' median target is $750[FMP target], stock is $621, +20.7% upside potential. After Q1 +5.8% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved -0.8%.

summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
B+
BUY Council 1/6 - Moonshot 50

B+ = MoonshotScore 50[9-pillar formula] + Council 1/6[6-lens rule]. Form 4: 0 transactions[FMP Form 4].

Q1 consensus: revenue $1.6B[FMP est], EPS $6.00[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$6.00 EPS Estimate Last year $5.80 - +15% YoY YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q1 EPS +5.8% beat[FMP] but the stock -0.8% D+1[FMP D+1]. Steve Blackwood promised $29.7M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q1 during the Q1 earnings call[Steve Blackwood capex transcript].

Watchlist

6 metrics stand out this quarter.

5.3% Investor Focus

Instrumentation Segment Growth

instrumentation_segment_growth

In the Instrumentation segment, first quarter sales increased 5.3% with marine instruments up 8.3%, though a decline in test and measurement impacted profitability.

"In the Instrumentation segment, which consists of our marine, environmental and test and measurement businesses, first quarter sales increased 5.3% versus last year. Overall sales of marine instruments increased 8.3%..."

- George Bobb - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
14.4% Investor Focus

Aerospace Defense Electronics Growth

aerospace_defense_electronics_growth

In the Aerospace and Defense Electronics segment, first quarter sales increased 14.4% due to the Qioptiq acquisition and organic growth of 8.4%.

"In the Aerospace and Defense Electronics segment, first quarter sales increased 14.4% due to 1 additional month of results from the Qioptiq acquisition and with organic growth of 8.4% across defense electronics..."

- George Bobb - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
$24 Expectation / Guide

Fy26 Eps Guidance Increase

fy26_eps_guidance_increase

Teledyne raised its full year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) outlook at both the bottom and top of its prior range, to about $24 at midpoint.

"We're also raising our earnings outlook at both the bottom and top of our prior range. to about $24 at midpoint or $0.35 overall in increase."

- Robert Mehrabian - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
$6.415 billion Expectation / Guide

Fy26 Sales Guidance Increase

fy26_sales_guidance_increase

Teledyne raised its 2026 sales outlook by 70 basis points to $6.415 billion due to a strong first quarter and record orders.

"We believe now sales will be in the range of $6.415 billion or 70 basis points higher than we communicated in January."

- Robert Mehrabian - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
5 Risk Indicator

Acquisition Strategy And Capex

acquisition_strategy_and_capex

With leverage at a 5-year low, Teledyne is actively pursuing a number of acquisitions, while investing more in R&D and capital expenditures to accelerate organic growth.

"Finally, with a leverage at a 5-year low, we are actively pursuing a number of acquisitions, but at the same time, we're investing more in R&D and capital expenditures to accelerate our own organic growth."

- Robert Mehrabian - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
7.9% Investor Focus

Digital Imaging Growth

digital_imaging_growth

In the Digital Imaging segment, first quarter sales increased 7.9% due to well balanced growth throughout the segment, including Teledyne imaging sensors, Delta e2v and Teledyne FLIR.

"In the Digital Imaging segment, first quarter sales increased 7.9% due to well balanced growth throughout the segment, including Teledyne imaging sensors, Delta e2v and Teledyne FLIR."

- George Bobb - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our 9 pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 1 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 1 bullish (Ray Dalio), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 4 neutral (Jim Simons, Klarman, Buffett, Munger).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +20.7%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 43
Klarman value - target upside +20.7%
Buffett quality - ROE score 3/5
Munger valuation - target upside +20.7%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Fairly Valued

Quality business, trading at fair value.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyModerate
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCTight
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
42.5 RSI 42.5 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-3.00 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$641 stock 3.0% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$578 stock 7.5% above - long-term support
Volume (10d)
-30% decrease - low participation
Resistance
$750
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$621
Pre-earnings position
Support
$491
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$491-$750 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

Teledyne beat expectations in the last 8 quarters.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$5.20 vs $5.05 est - +0.6%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$5.57 vs $5.47 est - -1.3%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$6.30 vs $5.83 est - -0.0%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$5.80 vs $5.48 est - -0.8%

Q1 (April 22, 2026): EPS $5.80 vs $5.48 est[FMP], +5.8% beat. D+1 movement: -0.8%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $5.82 (no guidance)

Q1: EPS $5.80 vs $5.48 beat[FMP], stock -0.8% D+1[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $29.7M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 18.9%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q1 EPS > $6.00 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $6.00[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $750[FMP target]; high target $775[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $6.00 + CapEx < $29.7M
Threshold: EPS approx $6.00[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $29.7M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $621[FMP] and median $750[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $5.82 or CapEx >= $29.7M
Threshold: EPS < $5.82[FMP estx0.97].
Target: Current $621 below SMA200 $578[FMP], if rejection continues, $491[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.

Market Outlook

What do 4 analysts say?

Wall Street Consensus
$750
12-month median target price (+20.7% upside potential)
10
BUY
3
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$491
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$641 - 50-day MA (below, -3.0%)
$578 - 200-day MA (above, +7.5%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - TDY Q1 FY27
B+

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Monday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Monday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q1 EPS threshold $6.00[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $29.7M"[Steve Blackwood]. Two anchors, three scenarios.

Comparison Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).

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Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing

Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore 9-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.

Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Oct 19, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 results (after market close) + earnings call
Oct 20, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Dec 3, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Jan 19, 2027EARNINGSQ2 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the TDY earnings preview cover?

This TDY (TDY) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in TDY earnings?

Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.