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Trimble Inc.
TRMB - NASDAQ - $60.80 (as of ) ▼ -1.70%
-
Earnings Wed 5 Aug
Note: this preview was published before the 2026-08-05 earnings report. Results have since been released — verify against the latest filings.

Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Q2 FY26 earnings preview — archived, published May 9, 2026

The median of 2 price targets is $97[FMP target], stock is $61, +58.7% vs the analyst consensus median. Q1 FY26 EPS $0.79 vs $0.72 estimate: beat (+9.7%)[FMP earnings]. Stock move on D+1: -2.5%.

↓ summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds ·
B
Council 3/6 - Historical V1 score 60

B — FMP rating [FMP ratings]. Form 4: unavailable[FMP Form 4].

Quick Answer

Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Q2 consensus: revenue $951.4M[FMP est], EPS $0.80[FMP est]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].

$0.80 EPS Estimate Last year $0.71 - +13% YoY
8 Beat Streak Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters

Q1 FY26 EPS $0.79 vs $0.72 estimate: beat (+9.7%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -2.5%[FMP D+1].

Watchlist

4 metrics stand out this quarter.

7% Investor Focus

Transportation Growth

transportation_growth

The Transportation segment delivered 7% revenue growth and 9% ARR growth despite a constrained freight market.

"The segment delivered revenue growth of 7% and ARR growth of 9% for the quarter."

- Phillip Sawarynski, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026
12% Investor Focus

Field Systems Growth

field_systems_growth

The Field Systems segment reported 12% ARR and revenue growth, supported by strong performance in infrastructure and data centers.

"Both ARR and revenue were up 12%. We continue to innovate and execute with end market strength in infrastructure and data centers supporting our growth."

- Robert Painter, President and CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026
14% Investor Focus

Aeco Growth

aeco_growth

The AECO segment delivered a strong quarter with 14% ARR and revenue growth.

"The team delivered another outstanding quarter. Both ARR and revenue were up 14%."

- Robert Painter, President and CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026
$317 million Investor Focus

Stock Repurchase

stock_repurchase

Trimble repurchased approximately $317 million of common stock during the first quarter, reflecting the strength of its balance sheet and cash flow.

"During the first quarter, we repurchased approximately $317 million of common stock, a direct reflection of our balance sheet and cash flow strength, our confidence in the long-term value of our business and our commitment to delivering shareholder returns."

- Phillip Sawarynski, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - May 6, 2026

Stock Expert AI - Methodology

Do our scoring pillars, 6 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?

Council Score 3 / 6 Bullish

6 investor frameworks. 3 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 2 neutral (Jim Simons, Buffett).

How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +58.7%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 31
Klarman value - target upside +58.7%
Buffett quality - ROE score 3/5
Munger valuation - target upside +58.7%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued

Quality business, discounted price.

How is it calculated? ->
Financial HealthModerate
Margin of SafetyStrong
Interest CoverageAdequate
ROIC vs WACCTight
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning

What levels is the stock being tested at?

RSI(14)
30.7 RSI 30.7 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-8.80 price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$67 stock 8.8% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$75 stock 19.3% below - long-term pressure
Volume (10d)
+34% increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$97
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$61
Pre-earnings position
Support
$64
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$64-$97 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger

Past Performance

4 quarters shown.

BEAT
Q2 FY25
$0.71 vs $0.63 est · Next-day price move: -1.9%
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$0.81 vs $0.72 est · Next-day price move: -2.2%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.00 vs $0.96 est · Next-day price move: -5.4%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$0.79 vs $0.72 est · Next-day price move: -2.5%

Q1 FY26 (May 6, 2026) EPS $0.79 vs $0.72 estimate: beat (+9.7%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -2.5%[FMP D+1].

Three scenarios: what could happen?

EPS < $0.78 (no guidance)

Q1 FY26 EPS $0.79 vs $0.72 estimate: beat (+9.7%)[FMP]. Stock move on D+1: -2.5%[FMP].

Backlog concentration

No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.

CapEx shock

Q1 CapEx $6.1M[FMP cashflow]. Q1 op margin 15.6%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.

Framework - Position discipline

After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows

Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.

Scenario A - Beat
Q2 EPS > $0.80 + CapEx discipline
Threshold: EPS > $0.80[FMP est].
Target: Break above median target $97[FMP target]; high target $101[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $0.80 + CapEx < $6.1M
Threshold: EPS approx $0.80[FMP est], Q1 CapEx < $6.1M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $61[FMP] and median $97[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $0.78 or CapEx >= $6.1M
Threshold: EPS < $0.78[FMP estx0.97].
Current price $61 — below SMA200 $75 [FMP].

Market Outlook

What do analysts say? 2 price targets · 13 ratings

Wall Street Consensus
$97
12-month median target price (+58.7% gap to the analyst consensus median)
13
BUY
0
HOLD
0
SELL
Risk Management
$64
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$67 - 50-day MA (below, -8.8%)
$75 - 200-day MA (below, -19.3%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - TRMB Q2 FY26
B

You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Wednesday evening - you know what you're looking at.

Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.

Data arrives on Wednesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q2 EPS threshold $0.80[FMP], CapEx threshold "below $6.1M". Two anchors, three scenarios.

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Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Calendar

Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look

Aug 5, 2026EARNINGSQ2 FY26 results (after market close) + earnings call
Aug 6, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Aug 12, 2026 – Aug 17, 2026FILING10-Q due within 40–45 days of quarter end (by Aug 12, 2026 – Aug 17, 2026); the exact deadline depends on filer status
~Nov 5, 2026EARNINGSQ3 FY26 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)

DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the TRMB Q2 FY26 earnings preview cover?

This Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Q2 FY26 earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.

What should investors watch for in TRMB Q2 FY26 earnings?

Trimble Inc. (TRMB): Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.

Where do the numbers on this page come from?

Trimble Inc. (TRMB): Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.

Is this a buy or sell recommendation?

Trimble Inc. (TRMB): No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.

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