Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT - NYSE - $263.05 ▲ +%8.89
-
Earnings
Wed 28 Oct
Vertiv opens the
books on Wednesday evening.
18 analysts' median target is $355[FMP target], stock is $263, +35.0% upside potential. After Q1 +6.3% EPS beat[FMP earnings], the stock moved +2.0%.
↓
summary below
Quick Take - in 40 seconds
B
BUY
Council 4/6
-
Moonshot 60
B = MoonshotScore 60[multi-pillar formula] + Council 4/6[6-lens rule]. Americas guidance reduction from 23% -> 27-27%[Craig Chamberlin Q-prev transcript] and the current Form 4 signal (0 transactions)[FMP Form 4] prevented an A- grade.
Q1 consensus: revenue $3.8B[FMP est], EPS $1.81[FMP est]. Craig Chamberlin lowered Americas guidance to 27-27% (previous 23%) in the Q1 earnings call[Craig Chamberlin Q-prev transcript]. 8 consecutive quarters of beat[FMP earnings].
$1.81
EPS Estimate
Last year $1.52 - +46% YoY YoY
27%
Americas Guidance
Previous quarter was 23%
8
Beat Streak
Expectations beaten consecutively for the last 8 quarters
Q1 EPS +6.3% beat[FMP] but the stock +2.0% D+1[FMP D+1]. Craig Chamberlin promised $174.5M CapEx + a sequential decline in Q1 during the Q1 earnings call[Craig Chamberlin capex transcript].
$6.35
Expectation / Guide
Fy26 Guidance Raise
fy26_guidance_raise
Vertiv raised its full-year 2026 guidance for adjusted diluted EPS, net sales, and adjusted operating profit following strong Q1 results.
"We are raising our full year guidance, and we now expect adjusted diluted EPS of $6.35, up 51% from 2025. This is supported by raising our adjusted operating profit guidance to $3.2 billion, up 53% from 2025. Adjusted operating margin is now expected to be 23.3% to 190 basis points higher than 2025."
- Giordano Albertazzi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
Regional Growth Dynamics
regional_growth_dynamics
Americas led with 44% organic growth, while EMEA experienced a 29% organic decline but is expected to return to sales growth in the second half of 2026.
"From a regional perspective, America was the primary engine with 44% organic growth. APAC was up 12% organically, while EMEA was down 29% organically. We feel good about EMEA returning to year-over-year sales growth in the second half, which you see embedded in our guidance."
- Giordano Albertazzi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
Operating Margin Expansion
operating_margin_expansion
The company achieved a significant 430 basis point year-over-year expansion in adjusted operating margin in Q1, driven by operational leverage, productivity gains, and favorable price-cost execution.
"Adjusted operating margin came in at 20.8%, up 430 basis points year-on-year, and 180 basis points above our guidance. Our adjusted operating margin of 20.8% expanded by 430 basis points versus last year, showing a great operating performance from the team."
- Giordano Albertazzi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
Capacity Capex Supply Chain
capacity_capex_supply_chain
Vertiv is accelerating global manufacturing and service capacity investments and implementing multi-sourcing strategies to meet accelerating demand and bolster operational resilience.
"We are accelerating our strategic capacity investments to meet the demand we are seeing. We're expanding our global manufacturing service footprint while unlocking latent capacity with VOS driven productivity gains. Our CapEx in Q1, sustainably higher than in the same quarter last year is a testament to that commitment. With respect to our supply chain, we have prioritized multi-sourcing strategies to mitigate supplier risk."
- Giordano Albertazzi, CEO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
Ai Infrastructure Demand
ai_infrastructure_demand
Increased demand for AI infrastructure is leading the company to see greater urgency and larger scale deployments in customer conversations.
"What we're seeing in customer conversations is different than 6 months ago. The urgency has increased. The scale deployment is larger, and the technical complexity is creating opportunities for companies that can solve [indiscernible], which is exactly where we excel. We're still in the early stage of the infrastructure build out for AI."
- David Cote, Executive Chairman - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
Stock Expert AI - Methodology
Do our scoring pillars, 7 perspectives, and Munger lens point in the same direction?
MoonshotScore
60 / 100
multi-pillar methodology. Revenue Growth and Cash Runway strong. Operating Leverage weak.
How is it calculated? ->
Revenue Growth10.0
Q2 vs Q3: fast growth (+22.4%)
Gross Margin4.0
Q2: average margin (37.7%)
Operating Leverage2.0
op margin healthy (19.5%)
Cash Runway10.0
FCF very strong ($0.9B, 5.3x CapEx)
R&D Intensity3.0
low R&D investment (1.8%, weak innovation)
Price Momentum4.0
RSI 42.7 weak momentum, 50d below
News Sentiment9.0
strong buy consensus (86%)
Council Score
4 / 6 Bullish
6 investor frameworks. 4 bullish (Ray Dalio, Klarman, Buffett, Munger), 1 bearish (Ken Griffin), 1 neutral (Jim Simons).
How is it calculated? ->
Ray Dalio macro - target upside +35.0%
Ken Griffin flow - 50d MA below
Jim Simons quant - RSI 43
Klarman value - target upside +35.0%
Buffett quality - ROE score 5/5
Munger valuation - target upside +35.0%
Munger's Mindset character & balance sheet lens
Undervalued
Quality business, discounted price.
How is it calculated? ->
Interest CoverageAdequate
Technical Levels - Pre-earnings positioning
What levels is the stock being tested at?
RSI(14)
42.7
RSI 42.7 weak momentum, 50d below
MACD
-13.70
price below 50d - resistance dominant
50d MA
$305
stock 13.7% below - short-term resistance
200d MA
$247
stock 6.6% above - long-term support
Volume (10d)
+14%
increase - pre-earnings positioning
Resistance
$355
Analyst median target - upgrade trigger if broken
Current
$263
Pre-earnings position
Support
$210
Invalidation - close below this is a technical breakdown
Pattern
Range
$210-$355 band - earnings breakout/breakdown trigger
Past Performance
Vertiv beat expectations in the last 8 quarters.
BEAT
Q3 FY25
$1.24 vs $0.98 est - +6.8%
BEAT
Q4 FY25
$1.36 vs $1.29 est - -4.8%
BEAT
Q1 FY26
$1.52 vs $1.42 est - +5.4%
BEAT
Q2 FY26
$1.52 vs $1.43 est - +2.0%
Q1 (April 22, 2026): EPS $1.52 vs $1.43 est[FMP], +6.3% beat. D+1 movement: +2.0%[FMP D+1]. Decline despite beat - market reacted to guidance, not numbers.
Three scenarios: what could happen?
Americas below 35%
Q1: EPS $1.52 vs $1.43 beat[FMP], stock +2.0% D+1[FMP]. Craig Chamberlin Q1 transcript: "Q1 was very strong with organic sales up 23% year-on-year."[Craig Chamberlin].
"Q1 was very strong with organic sales up 23% year-on-year."
- Craig Chamberlin, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
Backlog concentration
No RPO/backlog concentration disclosed in Q1 earnings call.
Insider trading signal
Form 4 data is marked in the table - this page does not generate assumptions for this stock.
Our FMP plan does not provide Form 4 insider feed for this stock. This page does not generate assumptions - SEC EDGAR Form 4 can be monitored directly.
CapEx shock
Q1 CapEx $174.5M[FMP cashflow]. Craig Chamberlin Q1 transcript: "Our CapEx in Q1, sustainably higher than in the same quarter last year is a testament to that commitment."[Craig Chamberlin transcript]. Q1 op margin 19.5%[FMP op margin] - this level in Q1 is sensitive to CapEx revision risk.
"Our CapEx in Q1, sustainably higher than in the same quarter last year is a testament to that commitment."
- Craig Chamberlin, CFO - Q1 FY26 Earnings Call - April 22, 2026
Framework - Position discipline
After the data arrives: 3 scenarios, 3 windows
Not advice - a structural framework for earnings night. Decision discipline is yours.
Scenario A - Beat
Q1 EPS > $1.81 + Americas >= 27%
Threshold: EPS > $1.81[FMP est] and Americas >= 27%[Craig Chamberlin transcript].
Target: Break above median target $355[FMP target]; high target $500[FMP] upper bound.
Scenario B - In-Line
EPS approx $1.81 + Americas 27-27% + CapEx promise kept
Threshold: EPS approx $1.81[FMP est], Americas 27-27%, Q1 CapEx < $174.5M[FMP].
Target: Consolidation in the band between current $263[FMP] and median $355[FMP].
Scenario C - Miss
EPS < $1.76 or Americas < 35% or CapEx >= $174.5M
Threshold: EPS < $1.76[FMP estx0.97] or Americas < 35%[Craig Chamberlin guidance lower minus 2].
Target: Current $263 below SMA200 $247[FMP], if rejection continues, $210[derived] support activates.
Sizing
Earnings volatility -> max portfolio 1-2%. Waiting for earnings is not a gamble, it's a position entrustment.
Timing
IV crush within 24 hours post-earnings. Waiting for premium decay makes options preferable to spot.
Staging
Don't go all-in at once, divide into 3: initial reaction, 24 hours later, after Friday's close.
Market Outlook
What do 18 analysts say?
Wall Street Consensus
$355
12-month median target price (+35.0% upside potential)
Risk Management
$210
Invalidation level - critical support threshold
$305 - 50-day MA (below, -13.7%)
$247 - 200-day MA (above, +6.6%)
IV Crush risk (sudden drop in inflated option premiums before earnings): Option premiums are inflated before earnings.
Verdict - VRT Q1 FY27
B
You read it in 5 minutes. When the numbers come out on Wednesday evening - you know what you're looking at.
Data arrives at night. The framework is ready now.
Data arrives on Wednesday evening. The framework is ready on this page: Q1 EPS threshold $1.81[FMP], Americas guidance 27-27%[Craig Chamberlin], CapEx threshold "below $174.5M"[Craig Chamberlin]. Three anchors, three scenarios.
Comparison
Stock Expert AI Pro $24/month ($240/year), 77% cheaper than the total of three earnings-tracking tools ($1,059/year -> $240/year).
3 subscriptions. 1 platform.
Seeking Alpha $299/yr - analyst opinions + earnings coverage
TipRanks $360/yr - Smart Score (1-10) + analyst consensus + insider trades
Trendspider $400/yr - AI pattern detection + automated TA + multi-timeframe alerts
Prices as of April 2026. Sources: seekingalpha.com/subscriptions - tipranks.com/pricing - trendspider.com/pricing
Stock Expert AI Pro: $24/month ($240/year). Council 7-lens analysis + MoonshotScore multi-pillar + Insider tracker + Technical levels - all in one platform, for every stock.
Educational tool, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Calendar
Catalyst Calendar - 90-day forward look
Oct 28, 2026EARNINGSQ1 FY27 results (after market close) + earnings call
Oct 29, 2026PRICEFirst trading day after earnings - 200dMA test + IV crush
Dec 12, 2026FILING10-Q deadline - segment breakdown + RPO detail (SEC rule: quarter-end + 45 days)
~Jan 28, 2027EARNINGSQ2 FY27 (next quarter, date not yet scheduled in FMP)
DATA GAP: Events not in the FMP /stable/calendar feed - Investor day, analyst day, product launches, regulatory dates. These require company IR page scraping or manual calendar entry.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the VRT earnings preview cover?
This Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) earnings preview covers the analyst consensus, key catalysts, and what to watch on the earnings call.
What should investors watch for in VRT earnings?
Consensus EPS, revenue guidance, segment growth rates, and the tone of management commentary — the full breakdown with sources is on this page.
Where do the numbers on this page come from?
Figures are sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) fundamentals and consensus data plus official earnings-call transcripts; derived metrics are labeled with their source next to each figure.
Is this a buy or sell recommendation?
No. This page is educational research, not investment advice. It summarizes analyst consensus and company data; consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.