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John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) Stock Analysis

$79.53 +$0.06 (+0.08%) |Strong · 72
Bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (66/100) and AI Score (72/100) broadly agree. Strongest single signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
MCap: $930M| P/E Ratio: 13.4| Vol: 122.2K| Target: $109.00 (+37.1%)|
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) trades at $79.53 with AI Score 72/100 (Grade A). John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. Market cap: $930M, Sector: Consumer defensive.

Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. processes and distributes a variety of nuts and related products in the United States. The company sells its products under brands like Fisher and Orchard Valley Harvest, serving retailers, wholesalers, and commercial customers.

JBSS stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $109.00 for John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., suggesting 37.1% upside from the current price of $79.53. The AI MoonshotScore is 72/100, indicating a bullish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the JBSS film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 66/100 · B+

JBSS: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Growth Potential · 72/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Moderate Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Ray Dalio
Bullish
Ken Griffin
Bullish
Izzy Englander
Bullish
Seth Klarman
Bullish
Moon AI
Bullish
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Neutral
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) Consumer Business Overview

CEOJeffrey T. Sanfilippo
Employees1,800
HeadquartersElgin, IL, US
IPO Year1991

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) is a leading U.S. processor and distributor of tree nuts and peanuts, offering a diverse product portfolio under established brands like Fisher and Orchard Valley Harvest. With a focus on both retail and commercial channels, JBSS maintains a significant presence in the consumer defensive packaged foods sector.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for JBSS?

As of May 10, 2026 — figures reflect the data available on that date.

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. presents a compelling investment case due to its established market position, consistent profitability, and attractive dividend yield of 5.13%. The company's diversified product portfolio and strong brand recognition provide a stable revenue base within the consumer defensive sector. With a P/E ratio of 13.4 and a profit margin of 5.8%, JBSS demonstrates financial stability. Growth catalysts include expanding its product lines and increasing its presence in the snacking market. However, potential risks include fluctuations in raw material costs and increasing competition within the packaged foods industry. The company's low beta of 0.36 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

JBSS Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $930M, reflecting a substantial presence in the packaged foods industry.
  • P/E ratio of 13.4, indicating a potentially undervalued stock compared to its earnings.
  • Gross margin of 18.5%, showcasing efficient cost management in processing and distribution.
  • Dividend yield of 5.13%, offering an attractive income stream for investors.
  • Low beta of 0.36, suggesting lower volatility compared to the overall market, making it a potentially stable investment.

Who Are JBSS's Competitors?

JBSS is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
HSY The Hershey Company $171.70 +0.16% $34.8B 63
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. $61.00 -0.68% $78.3B 57
K Kellanova $83.44 -0.01% $29.0B 44
SENEA Seneca Foods Corporation $161.48 -5.06% $1.10B 96
SENEB Seneca Foods Corporation $161.33 -5.78% $1.10B 88
MAMA Mama's Creations, Inc. $16.83 -2.15% $689M 82
HLF Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. $12.26 +2.25% $1.27B 91
BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. $12.15 +0.25% $1.41B 67

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are JBSS's Key Strengths?

  • Strong brand portfolio (Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest).
  • Extensive distribution network across the U.S.
  • Diversified product range in the nut and snack category.
  • Long-standing relationships with retailers and suppliers.

What Are JBSS's Weaknesses?

  • Reliance on raw material prices (nuts, peanuts).
  • Limited international presence.
  • Vulnerability to changing consumer preferences.
  • Dependence on a few key suppliers.

What Could Drive JBSS Stock Higher?

  • Launch of new product lines targeting health-conscious consumers by Q4 2026.
  • Expansion of e-commerce platform to increase direct-to-consumer sales.
  • Strategic partnerships with major retailers to expand private label business.
  • Potential acquisitions of smaller competitors to consolidate market share by early 2027.

What Are the Key Risks for JBSS?

  • Fluctuations in raw material costs (nuts, peanuts) impacting profitability.
  • Increased competition from other snack food companies eroding market share.
  • Changing consumer preferences and health trends affecting demand for traditional nut products.
  • Supply chain disruptions impacting production and distribution.
  • Economic downturn reducing consumer spending on discretionary food items.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for JBSS?

  • Expansion of Product Lines: John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. can capitalize on the growing demand for healthy snacks by introducing new nut-based products and snack mixes. The global healthy snacks market is projected to reach $32.88 billion by 2031. By focusing on innovative flavors, organic options, and convenient packaging, the company can attract new customers and increase sales. This expansion can be achieved within the next 2-3 years through targeted product development and marketing initiatives.
  • Increased E-commerce Presence: Enhancing its online presence and direct-to-consumer sales channels represents a significant growth opportunity for John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. The e-commerce market for food and beverages is rapidly expanding, with a projected value of $290 billion by 2025. By investing in its online platform, improving its digital marketing efforts, and offering exclusive online products, the company can tap into this growing market segment and increase its revenue. This initiative can be implemented within the next year.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. can pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller nut processing companies or complementary snack food businesses to expand its market share and product offerings. The mergers and acquisitions market in the food industry remains active, with numerous opportunities for consolidation. By acquiring companies with unique product lines or strong regional presence, JBSS can enhance its competitive position and achieve synergies. These acquisitions can be pursued over the next 3-5 years.
  • Penetration of International Markets: While primarily focused on the U.S. market, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. can explore opportunities to expand its presence in international markets. The global market for nuts and snack products is vast, with significant growth potential in Asia and Europe. By establishing partnerships with international distributors or opening overseas sales offices, the company can tap into these markets and diversify its revenue streams. This expansion can be phased in over the next 5-7 years.
  • Private Label Expansion: John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. can further expand its private label business by partnering with more retailers to supply nuts and snack products under their store brands. The private label market is growing as consumers increasingly seek value and quality from store brands. By offering competitive pricing, reliable supply, and high-quality products, JBSS can strengthen its relationships with retailers and increase its private label sales. This expansion can be pursued within the next 1-2 years.

What Opportunities Does JBSS Have?

  • Expansion into new product categories (e.g., plant-based snacks).
  • Increased focus on e-commerce and direct-to-consumer sales.
  • Strategic acquisitions of smaller competitors.
  • Penetration of international markets.

What Threats Does JBSS Face?

  • Fluctuations in raw material costs.
  • Intense competition from other snack food companies.
  • Changing consumer preferences and health trends.
  • Supply chain disruptions.

What Are JBSS's Competitive Advantages?

  • Established Brands: Strong brand recognition with Fisher and Orchard Valley Harvest.
  • Extensive Distribution Network: Wide reach through retailers, wholesalers, and distributors.
  • Long-Standing Relationships: Decades-long partnerships with suppliers and customers.
  • Product Diversification: Wide array of nut and snack products catering to different consumer preferences.

What Does JBSS Do?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc., founded in 1922 and headquartered in Elgin, Illinois, has grown into a prominent player in the U.S. nut processing and distribution industry. The company's journey began with a focus on providing high-quality nuts to local markets and has evolved into a national operation with a diverse product range. Through its subsidiary, JBSS Ventures, LLC, the company processes and distributes a wide array of tree nuts and peanuts, including almonds, pecans, peanuts, walnuts, cashews, macadamia nuts, and pistachios. These nuts are offered in various forms, from raw to seasoned, catering to different consumer preferences and culinary applications. In addition to nuts, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. offers peanut butter, snack mixes, salad toppings, dried fruit, and chocolate-covered products. The company markets its products under well-known brands such as Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, and Southern Style Nuts, as well as through private label partnerships. The company serves a broad customer base, including retailers, wholesalers, commercial ingredient users, and contract packaging clients, leveraging a network of independent brokers, distributors, and suppliers to reach its markets.

What Products and Services Does JBSS Offer?

  • Processes and distributes tree nuts and peanuts.
  • Offers raw and processed nuts, including almonds, pecans, walnuts, and cashews.
  • Produces peanut butter in various sizes and varieties.
  • Manufactures snack and trail mixes, salad toppings, and dried fruit products.
  • Provides baking ingredients and bulk food products.
  • Sells products under the Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest, Squirrel Brand, and Southern Style Nuts brands.
  • Offers private label products for retailers.
  • Serves retailers, wholesalers, and commercial ingredient customers.

How Does JBSS Make Money?

  • Processes and packages nuts and related products.
  • Sells products through its own brands and private label agreements.
  • Distributes products through a network of brokers, distributors, and suppliers.
  • Generates revenue from sales to retailers, wholesalers, and commercial customers.

What Industry Does JBSS Operate In?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. operates within the competitive packaged foods industry, which is characterized by evolving consumer preferences and intense competition. The market for nuts and snack products is experiencing steady growth, driven by health and wellness trends and the increasing popularity of snacking. The company competes with other major players in the packaged foods sector, as well as private label brands. Success in this industry requires continuous product innovation, effective marketing strategies, and efficient supply chain management to maintain profitability and market share.

Who Are JBSS's Key Customers?

  • Retailers (grocery stores, supermarkets)
  • Wholesalers (food distributors)
  • Commercial ingredient customers (food manufacturers)
  • Contract packaging customers
  • Consumers (through retail channels)
AI Confidence: 83% Updated: May 10, 2026

How John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. Is Valued

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $930M, placing it in the small-cap category. Relative to its peer group, JBSS's quantitative score of 72/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 70/100.

ROE 18%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. stands at 18.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 10.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. JBSS trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 13.40, below the Consumer Defensive sector average of ~30x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.8%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 2.30 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 6.5%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9Financial Health

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.28 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. revenue of about $1.19B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $6.05.

JBSS Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+3.8%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-2.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
-2.5%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-127.5%
P/E (TTM)
15.3
Return on Equity (TTM)
+18.1%
Current Ratio
2.3
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
8.9

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand portfolio (Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest).
  • Extensive distribution network across the U.S.
  • Diversified product range in the nut and snack category.
  • Long-standing relationships with retailers and suppliers.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on raw material prices (nuts, peanuts).
  • Limited international presence.
  • Vulnerability to changing consumer preferences.
  • Dependence on a few key suppliers.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · July 2026

JBSS Latest News

JBSS Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for JBSS.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $109.00

JBSS MoonshotScore

72/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates JBSS 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.

Leadership: Jeffrey T. Sanfilippo

Chief Executive Officer

Jeffrey T. Sanfilippo serves as the Chief Executive Officer of John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. He has been with the company for several years, holding various leadership positions. His experience within the company provides him with a deep understanding of the nut processing and distribution industry. He is responsible for overseeing the company's strategic direction, operational performance, and financial results. His leadership is focused on driving growth, enhancing profitability, and creating value for shareholders.

Track Record: Under Jeffrey T. Sanfilippo's leadership, John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. has maintained its position as a leading player in the nut processing industry. He has overseen the expansion of the company's product portfolio, the strengthening of its brand presence, and the improvement of its operational efficiency. His strategic decisions have contributed to the company's consistent financial performance and its ability to adapt to changing market conditions.

JBSS Consumer Defensive Stock FAQ

What does the AI Score mean for JBSS?

JBSS holds an AI Score of 72/100 (Grade: A). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. processes and distributes a variety of nuts and related products in the United States. The company sells its products under brands like Fisher and Orchard Valley …

What does John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. do?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. is a leading processor and distributor of tree nuts and peanuts in the United States. The company offers a wide range of products, including raw and processed nuts, peanut butter, snack mixes, and dried fruit, under brands like Fisher and Orchard Valley Harvest.

What do analysts say about JBSS stock?

Analyst coverage of John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. typically focuses on its market position within the consumer defensive sector, its consistent profitability, and its attractive dividend yield. Key valuation metrics often considered include the company's P/E ratio, profit margin, and revenue growth.

What are the main risks for JBSS?

The primary risks for John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. include fluctuations in raw material costs, particularly for nuts and peanuts, which can significantly impact profitability. Increased competition from other snack food companies poses a threat to market share. Changing consumer preferences and health trends could reduce demand for traditional nut products.

How does John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. adapt to changing consumer preferences?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. adapts to evolving consumer preferences through continuous product innovation, market research, and strategic partnerships. The company invests in developing new flavors, organic options, and convenient packaging to cater to changing tastes and health trends. It also monitors consumer feedback and market data to identify emerging trends and adjust its product offerings accordingly.

How does John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. manage its supply chain to mitigate disruptions?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. manages its supply chain through diversification of suppliers, strategic inventory management, and robust risk assessment. The company works with multiple suppliers across different geographic regions to reduce its reliance on any single source. It maintains adequate inventory levels to buffer against potential disruptions and uses advanced forecasting techniques to anticipate demand fluctuations.

What are the key factors to evaluate for JBSS?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) holds an AI score of 72/100 (high). P/E: 13.4x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $109.00 (+37%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does JBSS data refresh on this page?

JBSS's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven JBSS's recent stock price performance?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio (Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest). See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to change.
  • Financial data is as of the latest available reporting period.
Data Sources

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