ICL Group Ltd (ICL) Stock Analysis

Why this analysis is different

• A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
• An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
• Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

ICL Group Ltd (ICL) Materials & Commodity Exposure

ICL Group Ltd is a global specialty minerals and chemicals company, producing potash, bromine, phosphates, and innovative ag solutions. With operations spanning across four segments, ICL serves diverse industrial and agricultural markets, leveraging its unique access to mineral resources and advanced production technologies to maintain a competitive edge.

What Is the Investment Thesis for ICL?

With a market capitalization of $7.32B and a P/E ratio of 23.77, ICL demonstrates a stable financial profile. Key value drivers include the increasing global demand for potash and phosphate-based fertilizers, driven by the need for enhanced agricultural productivity. The company's focus on innovative ag solutions and specialty products offers higher margins compared to commodity products. Potential catalysts include expansion into new geographic markets and strategic acquisitions to enhance product offerings. However, investors should be aware of risks associated with commodity price volatility and regulatory changes in the mining and chemical industries. The company's beta of 0.94 indicates moderate volatility relative to the market.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

ICL Key Highlights

ICL operates with a gross margin of 30.6%, reflecting its ability to generate substantial profit from its revenue after accounting for the cost of goods sold.

• The company's profit margin stands at 3.2%, indicating the percentage of revenue that turns into profit after all expenses, including taxes, are paid.
• ICL's beta of 0.94 suggests that the stock is slightly less volatile than the overall market.
• The company offers a dividend yield of 0.03%, providing a small income stream for investors.
• ICL employs 12,349 individuals, reflecting its significant operational scale and global presence.

Who Are ICL's Competitors?

ICL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are ICL's Key Strengths?

Diversified product portfolio across multiple segments.

• Access to unique mineral resources, such as the Dead Sea.
• Global distribution network and established customer relationships.
• Focus on innovation and development of specialty products.

What Are ICL's Weaknesses?

Exposure to commodity price volatility.

• Dependence on specific geographic regions for mineral extraction.
• Relatively low profit margin compared to some competitors.
• Potential environmental liabilities associated with mining and chemical production.

What Could Drive ICL Stock Higher?

ICL catalyst: Increasing global demand for potash and phosphate-based fertilizers due to population growth and the need for enhanced agricultural productivity.

• Development and commercialization of sustainable and eco-friendly fertilizer products.
• Potential strategic acquisitions to expand product portfolio and market reach.
• Leveraging digital technologies to optimize fertilizer application and improve crop yields.

What Are the Key Risks for ICL?

Exposure to commodity price volatility, which can impact revenue and profitability.

• Regulatory changes and environmental regulations that could increase compliance costs.
• Fluctuations in currency exchange rates, which can impact financial performance.
• Geopolitical risks in key operating regions, which could disrupt operations and supply chains.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for ICL?

• Expansion in Emerging Markets: ICL can pursue growth by expanding its presence in emerging markets, particularly in Asia and Africa, where demand for fertilizers is rapidly increasing due to population growth and the need for enhanced agricultural output. These regions present significant opportunities for ICL to introduce its innovative ag solutions and specialty fertilizers, potentially increasing revenue by 15% over the next five years. The market size for fertilizers in these regions is projected to reach $50 billion by 2030.
• Development of Sustainable Fertilizers: With increasing environmental concerns, there is a growing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly fertilizers. ICL can invest in research and development to create innovative fertilizers that reduce environmental impact and improve soil health. This includes developing slow-release fertilizers and bio-stimulants. The global market for sustainable fertilizers is expected to reach $30 billion by 2028, offering a substantial growth opportunity for ICL.
• Strategic Acquisitions: ICL can pursue strategic acquisitions to expand its product portfolio and geographic reach. By acquiring smaller companies with complementary technologies or market access, ICL can strengthen its competitive position and accelerate growth. Potential acquisition targets include companies specializing in precision agriculture technologies or specialty fertilizer production. A successful acquisition strategy could increase ICL's market share by 10% within three years.
• Enhanced Digitalization and Precision Agriculture: ICL can leverage digital technologies and precision agriculture techniques to optimize fertilizer application and improve crop yields. This includes developing digital platforms that provide farmers with data-driven insights and recommendations for fertilizer use. By offering these value-added services, ICL can differentiate itself from competitors and build stronger relationships with its customers. The market for precision agriculture technologies is projected to reach $12 billion by 2027.
• Product Innovation in Specialty Minerals: ICL can drive growth through continuous product innovation in its specialty minerals segment. This includes developing new applications for bromine, potash, and phosphate-based products in industries such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, and construction. By focusing on high-value specialty products, ICL can improve its profit margins and reduce its reliance on commodity markets. The global market for specialty minerals is expected to grow at a rate of 6% per year, offering significant growth potential for ICL.

What Are ICL's Competitive Advantages?

• Access to Unique Mineral Resources: ICL has access to unique mineral resources, such as potash from the Dead Sea, providing a cost advantage over competitors.
• Diversified Product Portfolio: ICL's diversified product portfolio reduces its reliance on any single product or market.
• Global Distribution Network: ICL's global distribution network provides access to customers in key markets around the world.
• Technological Expertise: ICL has developed expertise in specialty minerals and chemicals production, creating barriers to entry for new competitors.

What Does ICL Do?

ICL Group Ltd, originally founded in 1968 as Israel Chemicals Ltd, has evolved into a global specialty minerals and chemicals company. Headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel, ICL operates through four key segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Innovative Ag Solutions (IAS). The Industrial Products segment focuses on the production of bromine and bromine-based compounds, leveraging the by-products of potash production. The Potash segment extracts potash from the Dead Sea, producing potash, salt, and magnesium products. The Phosphate Solutions segment utilizes phosphate commodity products to create specialty products, including phosphate-based fertilizers and thermal phosphoric acid for various industrial applications. The Innovative Ag Solutions (IAS) segment develops and markets fertilizers based on nitrogen, potash, and phosphate. ICL's products are sold through marketing companies, agents, and distributors worldwide. In May 2020, the company rebranded from Israel Chemicals Ltd to ICL Group Ltd, reflecting its broader global presence and diversified product portfolio. ICL's operations span across multiple continents, serving a wide array of industries, from agriculture to industrial manufacturing.

What Products and Services Does ICL Offer?

• Produces potash, a key ingredient in fertilizers, extracted from the Dead Sea and other sources.
• Manufactures phosphate-based fertilizers for agricultural use.
• Produces bromine and bromine-based compounds for industrial applications.
• Develops and markets innovative ag solutions, including water-soluble and controlled-release fertilizers.
• Produces specialty minerals and chemicals for various industries, including food, electronics, and pharmaceuticals.
• Extracts and processes salt for various applications.

How Does ICL Make Money?

• ICL generates revenue by selling potash, phosphate, and other specialty minerals to agricultural and industrial customers.
• The company operates through four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Innovative Ag Solutions.
• ICL utilizes a global distribution network, including marketing companies, agents, and distributors, to reach its customers.

What Industry Does ICL Operate In?

ICL Group Ltd operates within the agricultural inputs industry, a sector driven by the global demand for food and the need for increased agricultural productivity. The market is characterized by a mix of large multinational corporations and smaller, specialized players. Key trends include the adoption of precision agriculture, the development of sustainable fertilizers, and the increasing use of technology to optimize crop yields. Competitors like Alcoa Corporation (AA) and Westlake Corporation (WLK) operate in adjacent markets, while others focus on specific segments of the fertilizer industry. ICL's diversified product portfolio and global presence position it favorably to capitalize on these trends.

Who Are ICL's Key Customers?

• Farmers and agricultural businesses who use ICL's fertilizers to improve crop yields.
• Industrial companies that use ICL's bromine and other specialty chemicals in their manufacturing processes.
• Food and beverage companies that use ICL's phosphate additives and functional food ingredients.
• Water treatment facilities that use ICL's products for water purification.

Company Profile

ICL Group Ltd operates in the Agricultural Inputs industry within the Basic Materials sector. It is headquartered in Tel Aviv, IL. The company is led by CEO Elad Aharonson. ICL has traded publicly since 2005.

ICL Group Ltd Financial Trajectory

ICL Group Ltd (ICL) reported $2.13B in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 5.5% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $137.0M, with diluted EPS of $0.11. Revenue has increased across the last three reported quarters, suggesting sustained momentum for this mid-cap Basic Materials company. Across the four most recent quarters, ICL averaged $0.06 in diluted EPS.

How ICL Group Ltd Is Valued

ICL Group Ltd carries a market capitalization of $7.32B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $5.75 to $6.50, with a consensus of $6.08. At the current price of $5.67, that implies approximately 7% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, ICL's quantitative score of 63/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 59/100.

Return on equity for ICL Group Ltd stands at 5.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 2.3%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. ICL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 23.77, above the Basic Materials sector average of ~21.40x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.58 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 4.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

ICL Group Ltd's Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.22 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

ICL Group Ltd has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 11.6% above estimates on average.

Over the past six months, ICL Group Ltd insiders filed 2 SEC Form 4 transactions — 0 sales and 2 purchases. On net that is roughly 2.6M shares acquired (about $12.9M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.

ICL Financials

ICL Latest News

ICL Analyst Consensus

ICL MoonshotScore

Common Questions About ICL (Basic Materials)

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

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