Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 16.45 means the share price is 16.45 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $73.7B is the value of all shares combined.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerNorthrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) trades at $518.95 with MoonshotScore 66/100 (Grade B+). Northrop Grumman Corporation is a leading global aerospace and defense technology company. Market cap: $73.7B, Sector: Industrials.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026NOC stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $622.78 for Northrop Grumman Corporation, suggesting 20.0% upside from the current price of $518.95. The AI MoonshotScore is 66/100, in the Strong band (65-79) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
NOC: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Ken Griffin bullish.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Financial Safety (7/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Momentum (4/10, Neutral).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Industrial Operations Profile
Northrop Grumman Corporation, a prominent player in the aerospace and defense sector, delivers advanced solutions in aeronautics, defense, mission, and space systems. With a strong focus on innovation and technological superiority, the company serves government and commercial clients worldwide, maintaining a significant presence in key defense programs.
What Is the Investment Thesis for NOC?
The company's focus on advanced technologies and its alignment with long-term defense spending trends support sustained growth. With a P/E ratio of 16.45 and a profit margin of 10.8%, Northrop Grumman demonstrates financial stability. Key catalysts include ongoing government contracts and expansion in the space systems segment. However, potential risks include geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain disruptions. The company's commitment to innovation and shareholder value enhances its long-term investment appeal.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
NOC Key Highlights
Market Cap of $73.7B reflects Northrop Grumman's significant presence in the aerospace and defense industry.
- P/E Ratio of 16.45 indicates a reasonable valuation compared to its earnings.
- Profit Margin of 10.8% demonstrates efficient operations and profitability.
- Gross Margin of 20.5% highlights the company's ability to manage production costs effectively.
- Dividend Yield of 1.68% provides a steady income stream for investors.
Who Are NOC's Competitors?
NOC is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation | $528.30 | +0.73% | $122B | 735-pillar |
| HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. | $230.59 | -0.87% | $92.3B | 785-pillar |
| GD General Dynamics Corporation | $352.67 | -1.10% | $95.4B | 775-pillar |
| UPS United Parcel Service, Inc. | $99.90 | +0.69% | $84.9B | 585-pillar |
| EMR Emerson Electric Co. | $148.38 | -1.30% | $83.1B | 675-pillar |
| BAESY BAE Systems plc | $103.68 | +1.13% | $76.0B | 499-signal |
| FINMY Leonardo S.p.A. | $28.85 | +2.30% | $66.6B | 499-signal |
| TDG TransDigm Group Incorporated | $1125.68 | -1.70% | $63.0B | 665-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are NOC's Key Strengths?
Strong market position in the aerospace and defense industry
- Diverse portfolio of products and services
- Long-term contracts with government agencies
- Technological expertise and innovation
What Are NOC's Weaknesses?
Dependence on government spending
- Exposure to geopolitical risks
- Potential for cost overruns on large projects
- Competition from other major defense contractors
What Could Drive NOC Stock Higher?
Continued government contracts for defense and space systems.
- Potential new contracts for hypersonic weapons development.
- Expansion in cybersecurity solutions and services.
- Increasing demand for unmanned autonomous systems.
What Are the Key Risks for NOC?
Changes in government spending priorities.
- Increased competition from emerging players.
- Supply chain disruptions affecting production.
- Geopolitical instability impacting international contracts.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for NOC?
- Expansion in Space Systems: Northrop Grumman's Space Systems segment offers significant growth potential, driven by increasing demand for satellites, ground systems, and missile defense systems. Ongoing investments in space technologies and strategic partnerships will be crucial for capitalizing on this growth.
- Cybersecurity Solutions: The increasing prevalence of cyber threats drives demand for Northrop Grumman's cybersecurity solutions. The company's expertise in cyber, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems positions it to capture a larger share of the cybersecurity market. As governments and businesses prioritize cybersecurity, Northrop Grumman's advanced solutions will be in high demand, fostering revenue growth and market leadership.
- Unmanned Autonomous Systems: Northrop Grumman's Aeronautics Systems segment, particularly its unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, offers substantial growth opportunities. The demand for high-altitude long-endurance strategic ISR systems and vertical take-off and landing tactical ISR systems is increasing. With ongoing advancements in autonomous technologies and strategic partnerships, Northrop Grumman can expand its market presence and secure long-term contracts.
- Hypersonic Weapons Development: The development and production of hypersonic weapons represent a significant growth area for Northrop Grumman. As nations prioritize hypersonic capabilities, Northrop Grumman's expertise in propulsion and weapons systems positions it to secure lucrative contracts. Investments in research and development and strategic collaborations will be essential for maintaining a competitive edge in this rapidly evolving market.
- Modernization of Defense Systems: The ongoing modernization of defense systems worldwide presents opportunities for Northrop Grumman's Defense Systems segment. The company's integrated battle management systems, weapons systems, and life cycle service and support are in high demand as governments upgrade their military capabilities. By offering advanced solutions and comprehensive support services, Northrop Grumman can secure long-term contracts and drive revenue growth.
What Are NOC's Competitive Advantages?
- Technological expertise and innovation
- Long-term contracts with government agencies
- High barriers to entry in the aerospace and defense industry
- Strong relationships with key customers
What Does NOC Do?
Founded in 1939 and headquartered in Falls Church, Virginia, Northrop Grumman Corporation has evolved into a global aerospace and defense technology leader. The company operates through four primary segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. The Aeronautics Systems segment focuses on designing, developing, manufacturing, and sustaining aircraft systems, including unmanned autonomous aircraft systems and strategic long-range strike aircraft. The Defense Systems segment produces weapons and mission systems, offering integrated battle management systems, precision strike weapons, and life cycle service and support. The Mission Systems segment provides cyber, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems, along with radar and electronic warfare systems. The Space Systems segment delivers satellites, ground systems, missile defense systems, and launch vehicles. Northrop Grumman's diverse portfolio and technological expertise have solidified its position as a key partner for government and commercial clients worldwide, contributing to national security and technological advancement.
What Products and Services Does NOC Offer?
- Designs, develops, and manufactures aircraft systems.
- Produces weapons and mission systems.
- Offers integrated battle management systems.
- Provides cyber, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems.
- Delivers satellites and payloads.
- Develops missile defense systems and interceptors.
- Creates launch vehicles and related propulsion systems.
How Does NOC Make Money?
- Generates revenue through long-term contracts with government agencies.
- Sells advanced technology products and services to commercial clients.
- Provides life cycle service and support for software, weapons systems, and aircraft.
- Offers sustainment, operation, and modernization services for air, sea, and ground systems.
What Industry Does NOC Operate In?
Northrop Grumman operates in the aerospace and defense industry, characterized by high barriers to entry, long-term contracts, and significant government spending. The industry is driven by geopolitical factors, technological advancements, and the need for national security. Northrop Grumman competes with companies like Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Dynamics Corporation, focusing on innovation and technological superiority to maintain its competitive edge. The global defense market is expected to grow, driven by increasing security threats and modernization efforts, benefiting companies like Northrop Grumman.
Who Are NOC's Key Customers?
- U.S. Department of Defense
- International government agencies
- Commercial aerospace companies
- Intelligence community
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 73% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 52 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 66?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.35 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)
- +0.23 Return on equity (Business Quality)
- +0.20 Financial-health checklist (Financial Strength)
What is holding it back
- -0.12 Debt to equity (Financial Strength)
- -0.11 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
- -0.11 Gross margin (Business Quality)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 67 |
| 2026-08-26 | 65 |
| 2026-08-29 | 65 |
| 2026-09-01 | 65 |
| 2026-09-04 | 64 |
| 2026-09-07 | 65 |
| 2026-09-10 | 64 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 67 to 64 (-3).
What moved it up or down:
- -16 Growth
- -5 Valuation
Held back by:
- +2 Momentum
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -6.4%.
Company Profile
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Falls Church, US. The company is led by CEO Kathy J. Warden. NOC has traded publicly since 1981.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Northrop Grumman Corporation stands at 28.1%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 9.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. NOC trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 16.45, below the Industrials sector average of ~28.30x. Its free cash flow yield is 4.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.14 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 6.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
NOC Valuation & Market Position
With a $73.7B market cap, Northrop Grumman Corporation sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $500.00 to $745.00, with a consensus of $622.78. At the current price of $518.95, that implies approximately 20% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, NOC's quantitative score of 66/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 65/100.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Northrop Grumman Corporation
Revenue for Northrop Grumman Corporation came in at $10.88B during Q2 FY2026, a 10.1% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $1.09B, with diluted EPS of $7.68. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, NOC averaged $7.87 in diluted EPS.
Financial Health
Northrop Grumman Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.12 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Earnings Track Record
Northrop Grumman Corporation has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 1.1% above estimates on average.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Northrop Grumman Corporation insiders filed 36 SEC Form 4 transactions — 21 sales and 15 purchases. On net that is roughly 39K shares acquired (about $2.0M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
NOC Financials
NOC earnings history & estimates →
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Strong market position in the aerospace and defense industry
- Diverse portfolio of products and services
- Long-term contracts with government agencies
- Technological expertise and innovation
Bear Case
- Dependence on government spending
- Exposure to geopolitical risks
- Potential for cost overruns on large projects
- Competition from other major defense contractors
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
From the Earnings Call
“Based on our strong Q2 results and accelerating momentum, we are increasing our financial guidance for 2026. Robust bookings are continuing, and we now expect a full year book-to-bill ratio of at least 1.25 times. Sales are now projected at $44 billion at the midpoint, which is over 5% organic growth. We are maintaining our expectations for segment margin performance, and we raised EPS estimates by $1.20.”
— Kathy Warden, Chair, CEO, and President
“We continue to expect $1.85 billion of CapEx in 2026. As we previously shared, we expect CapEx investments of around 4.5% of sales in 2027 and 2028 as we invest in infrastructure to support the B-21 production ramp.”
— John Greene, CFO
NOC Q2 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-07-21
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $10.88B | $1.09B | $7.68 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $9.88B | $875M | $6.14 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $11.71B | $1.43B | $9.99 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $10.42B | $1.10B | $7.67 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 21 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
NOC Latest News
-
Northrop Grumman to Participate in the 14th Annual Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference
GlobeNewswire · Sep 10, 2026
-
AeroVironment Quarterly Earnings, Revenue Unexpectedly Increase; Maintains Full-Year Outlook
MT Newswires · Sep 10, 2026
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Northrop Grumman to Participate in the 14th Annual Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference
globenewswire.com · Sep 10, 2026
-
Northrop Grumman (NOC) Just Won Another Missile-Defense Contract. Why Does the Stock Still Trade at a Discount?
Yahoo! Finance: NOC News · Sep 9, 2026
NOC Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for NOC.
Price Targets
Median: $620.00 (+20.0% from current price)
Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Sep 9, 2026 · an estimate, not advice
NOC MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. NOC scores 66/100 (Grade B+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
Northrop Grumman to Participate in the 14th Annual Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference
AeroVironment Quarterly Earnings, Revenue Unexpectedly Increase; Maintains Full-Year Outlook
Northrop Grumman to Participate in the 14th Annual Morgan Stanley Laguna Conference
Northrop Grumman (NOC) Just Won Another Missile-Defense Contract. Why Does the Stock Still Trade at a Discount?
Latest Northrop Grumman Corporation Analysis
Related Investment Themes
Leadership: Kathy J. Warden
Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President
Kathy J. Warden serves as the Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and President of Northrop Grumman Corporation. She joined Northrop Grumman in 2008 and has held various leadership positions, including Chief Operating Officer and President of the Mission Systems sector. Warden holds a bachelor's degree in computer systems management from James Madison University and an MBA from the University of Maryland Robert H. Smith School of Business. Her extensive experience in the aerospace and defense industry has been instrumental in driving Northrop Grumman's growth and innovation.
Track Record: Under Kathy Warden's leadership, Northrop Grumman has focused on strategic acquisitions and technological advancements, particularly in space systems and cybersecurity. She has overseen the successful integration of Orbital ATK, enhancing Northrop Grumman's capabilities in space-based solutions. Warden has also emphasized innovation and efficiency, driving operational improvements and shareholder value. Her strategic vision has positioned Northrop Grumman for long-term success in the evolving aerospace and defense landscape.
Common Questions About NOC (Industrials)
What does the AI Score mean for NOC?
NOC holds an AI Score of 66/100 (Grade: B+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Northrop Grumman Corporation is a leading global aerospace and defense technology company.
Is NOC a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate NOC buy, sell or hold. Northrop Grumman Corporation carries a MoonshotScore of 66/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What are the key financial metrics investors watch for NOC?
Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC). Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its market presence and secure new contracts. The P/E ratio provides insights into valuation relative to earnings. The dividend yield offers a measure of income for investors.
What are the key factors to evaluate for NOC?
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) holds an AI score of 66/100 (moderate). P/E: 16.45x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $622.78 (+20%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does NOC data refresh on this page?
NOC's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven NOC's recent stock price performance?
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong market position in the aerospace and defense industry. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider NOC overvalued or undervalued right now?
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) trades at 16.45x earnings. Analysts target $622.78 (+20%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of NOC?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track NOC's earnings and financial reports?
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for NOC earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- The information provided is based on available data and should not be considered investment advice.
- Market conditions and company performance can change over time.