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Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB)

$93.67 $-6.79 (-6.76%) |Weak · 26
Bottom line: SELL — our Council read (23/100) and AI Score (26/100) broadly agree. Strongest single signal: Seth Klarman bearish.
MCap: $54.22B| P/E Ratio: -15934.3| Vol: 13.82M| Target: $66.50 (-29.0%)| 52-wk range: $25.71 – $151.00
Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) trades at $93.67 with AI Score 26/100 (Grade F). Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is a prominent aerospace company specializing in launch services and space systems solutions. Market cap: $54.22B, Sector: Industrials.

Price live · AI analysis from May 10, 2026
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is a prominent aerospace company specializing in launch services and space systems solutions. Founded in 2006, the company is headquartered in Long Beach, California, and serves a diverse range of commercial and government clients.

RKLB stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $66.50 for Rocket Lab Corporation, suggesting 29.0% downside from the current price of $93.67. The AI MoonshotScore is 26/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
SELL 23/100 · F

RKLB: 3/4 perspectives are bearish. Dominant signal: Seth Klarman bearish.

How is this calculated? →
Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI
Izzy Englander
Bearish
Seth Klarman
Bearish
Moon AI
Neutral
Council Score · 8 perspectives · See tabs for details →

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) Industrial Operations Profile

CEOPeter Beck
Employees2100
HeadquartersLong Beach, CA, US
IPO Year2020

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. stands out in the aerospace sector by providing innovative launch services and advanced space systems solutions, catering to both commercial and government clients with a focus on small and medium-class rockets.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NASDAQ Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for RKLB?

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. presents a compelling investment thesis driven by its innovative launch capabilities and expanding market presence. The company has a market capitalization of $54.22B and is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for small satellite launches, which is projected to increase significantly over the next five years. Key value drivers include the successful deployment of its Electron rocket, which has achieved a high launch cadence, and the anticipated launch of the Neutron vehicle, expected to enhance payload capacity and market reach. Additionally, Rocket Lab's strategic partnerships with government and commercial clients are likely to bolster revenue growth. However, investors should remain cautious of the company's current profit margin of -26.9%, which highlights ongoing operational challenges that need to be addressed for sustainable profitability.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

RKLB Key Highlights

  • Market capitalization of $54.22B, reflecting strong investor interest in space technology.
  • Gross margin of 36.6%, indicating effective cost management in manufacturing and operations.
  • Employee count of 2,100, showcasing the company's growth and operational scale.
  • Negative profit margin of -26.9%, highlighting the need for improved operational efficiency.
  • Beta of 2.21, suggesting higher volatility compared to the broader market.

Who Are RKLB's Competitors?

RKLB is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap AI Score
FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc. $1778.61 +2.14% $62.61B 98
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation $261.82 -0.14% $44.42B 67
EME EMCOR Group, Inc. $790.07 +1.99% $35.18B 88
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd. $811.01 +0.96% $37.99B 62
HEI HEICO Corporation $368.74 +1.84% $51.37B 81
FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc. $27.88 -3.53% $4.58B 68
PL Planet Labs PBC $31.04 -1.10% $10.33B 66
MDALF MDA Ltd. $33.66 +5.58% $4.26B 65

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance

What Are RKLB's Key Strengths?

  • Innovative technology in small satellite launch services.
  • Established reputation with successful launch history.
  • Diverse client base including government and commercial sectors.
  • Strong engineering capabilities in spacecraft design and manufacturing.

What Are RKLB's Weaknesses?

  • Negative profit margin indicating operational challenges.
  • High dependency on a limited number of launch contracts.
  • Significant competition in the growing aerospace sector.
  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger aerospace firms.

What Could Drive RKLB Stock Higher?

  • Launch of the Neutron vehicle expected in 2025, enhancing payload capacity.
  • Continued demand for small satellite launches driving revenue growth.
  • Expansion into international markets to capture new customer segments.
  • Strategic partnerships with government agencies providing stable revenue streams.
  • Development of new spacecraft technologies to enhance service offerings.

What Are the Key Risks for RKLB?

  • Negative return on equity (-12.3%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
  • Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $33.1M recently.
  • High operational costs impacting profit margins.
  • Intense competition from established aerospace companies.
  • Regulatory changes affecting launch operations and timelines.
  • Economic fluctuations impacting government and commercial spending on aerospace.
  • Technological advancements from competitors may outpace Rocket Lab's innovations.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for RKLB?

  • Expansion of the small satellite launch market: The global small satellite launch market is expected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated $7 billion by 2028. Rocket Lab's focus on small and medium-class rockets positions it to capture a substantial share of this market, particularly as demand for satellite constellations increases.
  • Development of the Neutron launch vehicle: Rocket Lab is currently developing the Neutron 8-ton payload class launch vehicle, which is anticipated to enhance its service offerings and attract larger contracts. The Neutron is expected to be operational by 2025, allowing Rocket Lab to compete more effectively in the heavy-lift launch segment.
  • Partnerships with government agencies: Rocket Lab's collaborations with government clients, including NASA and the U.S. Department of Defense, provide a stable revenue stream and enhance its credibility in the aerospace sector. These partnerships are expected to expand as government interest in commercial space services grows.
  • International market expansion: Rocket Lab is actively exploring opportunities in international markets, particularly in Europe and Asia, where demand for satellite launches is increasing. Establishing a presence in these regions could significantly boost the company's revenue and market share.
  • Innovations in spacecraft technology: The development of advanced spacecraft components and systems, such as the Photon satellite platform, positions Rocket Lab to capitalize on the growing demand for integrated space solutions. This innovation could lead to new revenue streams and strengthen customer relationships.

What Opportunities Does RKLB Have?

  • Growing demand for small satellite launches globally.
  • Potential for new contracts with government agencies.
  • Expansion into international markets with increasing satellite needs.
  • Development of the Neutron vehicle to attract larger payload contracts.

What Threats Does RKLB Face?

  • Intense competition from established aerospace companies.
  • Regulatory changes impacting launch operations.
  • Economic downturns affecting government and commercial spending.
  • Technological advancements from competitors potentially outpacing Rocket Lab.

What Are RKLB's Competitive Advantages?

  • Proprietary technology for small and medium-class rocket designs.
  • Established relationships with government and commercial clients.
  • Strong brand recognition in the aerospace sector due to successful launches.
  • Innovative spacecraft solutions that meet diverse customer needs.

What Does RKLB Do?

Rocket Lab USA, Inc., founded in 2006, has established itself as a key player in the aerospace and defense industry, focusing on launch services and space systems solutions. Headquartered in Long Beach, California, the company has rapidly evolved from its inception, driven by a commitment to innovation and efficiency in space technology. Rocket Lab designs, manufactures, and sells the Electron small orbital launch vehicles and the Photon satellite platforms, while also developing the Neutron 8-ton payload class launch vehicle. The company offers a comprehensive suite of services, including spacecraft engineering and design, manufacturing of spacecraft components, and on-orbit management solutions. Rocket Lab's unique approach integrates remote launch activities and constellation management services, enabling it to serve a diverse clientele that includes commercial enterprises, aerospace prime contractors, and government agencies. With a workforce of approximately 2,100 employees, Rocket Lab continues to push the boundaries of space exploration and satellite deployment, positioning itself as a leader in the growing small satellite launch market.

What Products and Services Does RKLB Offer?

  • Provide launch services for small and medium-class rockets.
  • Design and manufacture spacecraft components and subsystems.
  • Offer spacecraft engineering and design services.
  • Develop and sell the Electron and Photon satellite platforms.
  • Conduct remote launch activities for various clients.
  • Manage constellation services for satellite operations.

How Does RKLB Make Money?

  • Generate revenue through launch service contracts with commercial and government clients.
  • Sell spacecraft components and systems to aerospace prime contractors.
  • Provide engineering and design services for custom spacecraft solutions.
  • Engage in on-orbit management services for satellite operators.

What Industry Does RKLB Operate In?

The aerospace and defense industry is experiencing significant growth, driven by increased demand for satellite launches and advancements in space technology. The global small satellite launch market is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 20% through the next decade, fueled by the proliferation of satellite constellations for communications and Earth observation. Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is well-positioned within this expanding market, leveraging its innovative Electron rocket and upcoming Neutron vehicle to capture a larger share of the launch services segment. The competitive landscape includes established players and emerging companies, with Rocket Lab differentiating itself through its focus on small to medium-class rockets and cost-effective launch solutions.

Who Are RKLB's Key Customers?

  • Commercial satellite operators seeking reliable launch services.
  • Aerospace prime contractors requiring spacecraft components.
  • Government agencies needing satellite deployment and management solutions.
  • Research institutions conducting space exploration and technology development.
AI Confidence: 72% Updated: May 10, 2026

Net sellingInsider Activity

Over the past six months, Rocket Lab Corporation insiders filed 29 SEC Form 4 transactions — 25 sales and 4 purchases. On net that is roughly 14K shares disposed (about $33.1M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

RKLB Valuation & Market Position

With a $54.22B market cap, Rocket Lab Corporation sits in the large-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, RKLB's quantitative score of 26/100 is below the peer average of 79/100.

ROE -12%Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Rocket Lab Corporation stands at -12.3%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -6.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -0.5%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 4.47 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -0.3%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 4/9Financial Health

Rocket Lab Corporation's Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 62.88 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

FY2026 estForward Outlook

Wall Street analysts project Rocket Lab Corporation revenue of about $915.7M for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $-0.21. The estimate reflects 14 contributing analysts.

Company Profile

Rocket Lab Corporation operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Long Beach, US. The company is led by CEO Sir Peter Beck. RKLB has traded publicly since 2020.

RKLB Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+38.0%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-4.2%
EPS Growth (FY)
+2.6%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
-177.5%
Return on Equity (TTM)
-12.3%
Current Ratio
4.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Recent insider buying suggests confidence in Rocket Lab's future, indicating that key stakeholders believe in the company's growth potential.
  • Community sentiment has shifted positively, with discussions highlighting successful launches and innovative technologies that could enhance market position.
  • The company's partnerships with major aerospace players have been gaining traction, suggesting a strong pipeline for future contracts and revenue.
  • Recent advancements in their Electron rocket technology have sparked excitement, positioning Rocket Lab as a competitive player in the growing space industry.

Bear Case

  • Concerns over the overall volatility in the space sector have led to skepticism among some investors, affecting sentiment around Rocket Lab.
  • Community discussions reflect worries about the company's ability to scale operations efficiently in a highly competitive market.
  • Recent delays in project timelines have raised questions about execution capabilities, leading to cautious sentiment among traders.
  • Market perception remains cautious due to broader economic uncertainties, which could impact funding and investment in the aerospace sector.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · March 2026

RKLB Latest News

RKLB Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for RKLB.

Price Targets

Consensus target: $66.50

RKLB MoonshotScore

26/100

What does this score mean?

The MoonshotScore rates RKLB's growth potential on a scale of 0-100 across multiple factors including innovation, market disruption, financial health, and momentum.

Latest Rocket Lab Corporation Analysis

Related Investment Themes

Leadership: Sir Peter Beck

CEO

Sir Peter Beck is the founder and CEO of Rocket Lab USA, Inc. He has a background in engineering and has been instrumental in the company's growth since its inception in 2006. Beck has a strong passion for space exploration and has led Rocket Lab through numerous successful launches, establishing its reputation in the aerospace industry.

Track Record: Under Sir Peter Beck's leadership, Rocket Lab has achieved a significant number of successful launches, developed innovative rocket technology, and expanded its service offerings. His strategic vision has positioned the company as a leader in the small satellite launch market.

What Investors Ask About Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) — Industrials

What does Rocket Lab USA, Inc. do?

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. specializes in providing launch services and space systems solutions for the aerospace and defense industries. The company designs, manufactures, and sells small and medium-class rockets, including the Electron launch vehicle and Photon satellite platforms. Additionally, Rocket Lab offers spacecraft engineering and design services, spacecraft components, and on-orbit management solutions, catering to a diverse clientele that includes commercial satellite operators and government agencies.

How does Rocket Lab USA, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. distinguishes itself in the aerospace sector through its focus on small and medium-class rockets, particularly the Electron launch vehicle, which has achieved a high launch cadence. Compared to competitors like SpaceX, which targets larger payloads, Rocket Lab's niche in smaller satellites allows it to capture a growing segment of the launch market. Additionally, its innovative approach to spacecraft design and manufacturing sets it apart from traditional aerospace firms.

What are the key financial metrics investors watch for RKLB?

Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for Rocket Lab USA, Inc., including its gross margin of 36.6%, which reflects operational efficiency in manufacturing. The company's profit margin of -26.9% is also critical, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving profitability. Additionally, market capitalization of $54.22B is a significant indicator of investor confidence in the company's growth potential, particularly as it expands its launch services and develops new technologies.

What are the key factors to evaluate for RKLB?

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) holds an AI score of 26/100 (low). Analysts target $66.50 (-29%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does RKLB data refresh on this page?

RKLB prices update in real time during U.S. market hours. Fundamentals refresh after quarterly filings; analyst ratings and AI insights update daily; news is aggregated continuously.

What has driven RKLB's recent stock price performance?

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Innovative technology in small satellite launch services. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider RKLB overvalued or undervalued right now?

Valuing Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) requires multiple metrics. Analysts target $66.50 (-29%) — downside risk seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

What research should beginners do before buying RKLB?

Before investing in Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB), research these four areas: (1) the company's revenue model and competitive position (see Company Overview), (2) financial health through revenue growth, margins, and cash flow (see MoonshotScore), (3) what Wall Street analysts recommend and their price targets (see Analyst tab), and (4) specific risk factors that could impact the stock (see Risk Factors section).

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated AI Score refreshed daily
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • The information provided is based on current data and may be subject to change as new information becomes available.
Data Sources

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