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PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$116.41 -$2.52 (-2.12%) |Exceptional · 80
PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (72/100) and AI Score (80/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Financial Safety · Biggest watch-out: Growth Durability.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $22.5B| P/E Ratio: 11.84| Vol: 2.2M| Target: $145.14 (+24.7%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $108.49 – $144.50

P/E 11.84 means the share price is 11.84 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $22.5B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.34: the stock has moved about 34% more than the S&P 500.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) trades at $116.41 with MoonshotScore 80/100 (Grade A+). PulteGroup, Inc. is a leading homebuilder in the United States, constructing and selling a variety of home designs. Market cap: $22.5B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
PulteGroup, Inc. is a leading homebuilder in the United States, constructing and selling a variety of home designs. The company also provides mortgage financing and title insurance services to homebuyers.

PHM stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $145.14 for PulteGroup, Inc., suggesting 24.7% upside from the current price of $116.41. The AI MoonshotScore is 80/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the PHM film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 72/100 · A

PHM: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Financial Safety strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 80/100
Business Quality
Moderate Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Strong Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Moderate Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Neutral Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Moderate Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Financial Safety (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Growth Durability (6/10, Neutral).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Neutral read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Consumer Business Overview

CEORyan R. Marshall
Employees6,506
HeadquartersAtlanta, GA, US
IPO Year1980

PulteGroup, Inc. is a national homebuilder offering diverse designs under multiple brands like Centex and Del Webb, targeting various buyer segments. With a significant land position and integrated mortgage services, PulteGroup navigates the cyclical housing market while focusing on operational efficiency and shareholder returns.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for PHM?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

With a P/E ratio of 11.84 and a profit margin of 12.1%, the company demonstrates solid profitability. The company's dividend yield of 0.82% provides a modest income stream. Key growth catalysts include the increasing demand for new homes driven by demographic trends and the company's focus on higher-margin products. However, potential risks include fluctuations in interest rates and economic downturns that could impact housing demand. The company's significant land holdings and option agreements provide a competitive advantage, allowing for flexible development strategies. Investors should monitor housing market indicators, interest rate trends, and PulteGroup's ability to maintain its operational efficiency and market share.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PHM Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market Cap of $22.5B, reflecting PulteGroup's significant presence in the homebuilding industry.

  • P/E Ratio of 11.84, suggesting a potentially undervalued stock compared to its earnings.
  • Profit Margin of 12.1%, indicating efficient operations and profitability in a competitive market.
  • Gross Margin of 26.1%, demonstrating the company's ability to manage costs effectively.
  • Beta of 1.34, indicating higher volatility compared to the overall market, influenced by housing market cycles.

Who Are PHM's Competitors?

PHM is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
LEN Lennar Corporation $79.70 +2.31% $19.8B 565-pillar
GELHY Geely Automobile Holdings Limited $41.16 +0.51% $22.3B 459-signal
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. $76.23 -0.33% $26.5B 675-pillar
ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. $535.63 -1.15% $23.0B 855-pillar
DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. $207.65 -0.85% $23.8B 795-pillar
NVR NVR, Inc. $6171.55 +1.37% $16.7B 865-pillar
SKHSY Sekisui House, Ltd. $22.03 +1.94% $14.3B 499-signal
DHI D.R. Horton, Inc. $135.57 -2.42% $37.9B 775-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are PHM's Key Strengths?

Strong brand portfolio (Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb).

  • Significant land holdings and option agreements.
  • Integrated mortgage financing and title services.
  • Experienced management team.

What Are PHM's Weaknesses?

Exposure to cyclical housing market fluctuations.

  • Dependence on macroeconomic factors (interest rates, employment).
  • Potential for rising construction costs and supply chain disruptions.
  • Sensitivity to consumer confidence and spending.

What Could Drive PHM Stock Higher?

Demographic trends driving demand for new homes, particularly among millennials and active adults.

  • Strategic land acquisitions and development in high-growth markets.
  • Potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could stimulate housing demand (2026-2027).
  • Focus on higher-margin products and luxury homes, improving profitability.
  • Leveraging technology and innovation to enhance efficiency and customer experience.

What Are the Key Risks for PHM?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $2.3M recently.

  • Rising interest rates impacting affordability and reducing housing demand.
  • Economic downturns leading to job losses and decreased consumer confidence.
  • Supply chain disruptions and rising construction costs.
  • Government regulations and zoning restrictions limiting development opportunities.
  • Increased competition from other homebuilders.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for PHM?

  • Expansion in Active Adult Communities: PulteGroup's Del Webb brand is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing active adult (55+) demographic. The active adult community market is projected to grow significantly over the next decade, driven by the aging population and increasing demand for age-restricted housing. By expanding its Del Webb footprint and offering innovative community designs, PulteGroup can capture a larger share of this market, increasing revenue and profitability. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Land Acquisition and Development: PulteGroup's ability to acquire and develop land efficiently is crucial for its long-term growth. The company's land option agreements provide flexibility and reduce risk compared to outright land ownership. By focusing on strategic land acquisitions in high-growth markets, PulteGroup can ensure a steady supply of buildable lots and capitalize on increasing demand for new homes. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Focus on Higher-Margin Products: PulteGroup's strategy of focusing on higher-margin products, such as luxury homes and move-up buyer segments, can drive revenue growth and improve profitability. By offering innovative designs, premium features, and desirable locations, PulteGroup can attract affluent buyers willing to pay a premium for quality and lifestyle. This strategy can help the company differentiate itself from competitors and increase its market share. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Technology and Innovation: PulteGroup can leverage technology and innovation to improve its operational efficiency, enhance the customer experience, and reduce costs. By investing in digital marketing, online sales platforms, and smart home technologies, PulteGroup can attract tech-savvy buyers and streamline the homebuying process. This can lead to increased sales, improved customer satisfaction, and reduced operating expenses. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets: PulteGroup has the potential to expand its operations into new geographic markets with strong growth potential. By carefully evaluating market demographics, economic conditions, and competitive landscapes, PulteGroup can identify attractive expansion opportunities. Entering new markets can diversify the company's revenue streams and reduce its reliance on existing markets, mitigating risk and enhancing long-term growth prospects. Timeline: 2027-2030.

What Are PHM's Competitive Advantages?

  • Brand recognition and reputation (Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb).
  • Significant land holdings and option agreements.
  • Integrated mortgage financing and title services.
  • Established relationships with suppliers and subcontractors.

What Does PHM Do?

Founded in 1950, PulteGroup, Inc. has evolved into one of the largest homebuilding companies in the United States. The company acquires and develops land for residential purposes, constructing single-family detached homes, townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes. PulteGroup operates under several distinct brands, including Centex, which focuses on first-time homebuyers; Pulte Homes, catering to move-up buyers; Del Webb, targeting active adult communities; DiVosta Homes, serving the Florida market; American West, operating in Las Vegas; and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods, offering luxury homes in the Southeast. As of December 31, 2021, PulteGroup controlled 228,296 lots, with 109,078 owned and 119,218 under land option agreements. Beyond home construction, PulteGroup provides mortgage financing through its mortgage operations, selling servicing rights for originated loans. The company also offers title insurance policies and examination and closing services, creating a comprehensive suite of services for homebuyers. PulteGroup's strategic focus on land acquisition, diverse product offerings, and integrated financial services has solidified its position in the competitive residential construction market.

What Products and Services Does PHM Offer?

  • Acquires and develops land for residential construction.
  • Constructs and sells single-family detached homes.
  • Builds townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes.
  • Offers various home designs under multiple brands (Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, etc.).
  • Arranges mortgage financing for homebuyers.
  • Sells servicing rights for originated mortgage loans.
  • Provides title insurance policies and closing services.

How Does PHM Make Money?

  • Generates revenue from the sale of new homes.
  • Earns fees from mortgage origination and title insurance services.
  • Manages land inventory and development to control costs.
  • Utilizes a multi-brand strategy to target different customer segments.

What Industry Does PHM Operate In?

PulteGroup operates within the residential construction industry, which is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, employment levels, and consumer confidence. The industry is cyclical, experiencing periods of high demand and construction activity followed by downturns. PulteGroup competes with other national and regional homebuilders, including LEN: Lennar Corporation, in a fragmented market. The industry is currently benefiting from demographic trends, including a growing population and increasing household formation, but faces challenges related to rising construction costs and supply chain disruptions.

Who Are PHM's Key Customers?

  • First-time homebuyers (Centex brand).
  • Move-up buyers seeking larger or more luxurious homes (Pulte Homes brand).
  • Active adults aged 55+ (Del Webb brand).
  • Luxury homebuyers (John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods brand).
Model self-rating on this text: 73% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 51 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 80?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.60 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
  • +0.31 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
  • +0.27 Net margin (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.12 Gross margin (Business Quality)
  • -0.10 Gross profit per dollar of assets (Business Quality)
  • -0.10 Revenue growth (Growth)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 79
2026-08-26 79
2026-08-29 79
2026-09-01 80
2026-09-04 80
2026-09-07 80
2026-09-10 80

What changed?

The grade moved from 79 to 80 (+1).

What moved it up or down:

  • +6 Momentum
  • +2 Financial Safety

Held back by:

  • -4 Valuation
  • -2 Growth Durability

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -10.5%.

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) Valuation Context

Valued at $22.5B, PHM is classified as a large-cap stock. Analyst price targets span from $116.00 to $166.00, with a consensus of $145.14. At the current price of $116.41, that implies approximately 25% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, PHM's quantitative score of 80/100 is above the peer average of 68/100.

PHM Revenue & Earnings Trend

In Q2 FY2026, PHM generated $3.98B in top-line revenue, marking a sequential increase of 16.9%. The company recorded net income of $472.0M, with diluted EPS of $2.43. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a large-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, PHM averaged $2.44 in diluted EPS.

Company Profile

PulteGroup, Inc. operates in the Residential Construction industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Atlanta, US. The company is led by CEO Ryan R. Marshall. PHM has traded publicly since 1980.

ROE 16%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for PulteGroup, Inc. stands at 15.9%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 11.2%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. PHM trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 11.84, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 6.4%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 5.48 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 7.9%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 5/9

Financial Health

PulteGroup, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 5.50 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.

6/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

PulteGroup, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 2.6% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, PulteGroup, Inc. insiders filed 14 SEC Form 4 transactions — 4 sales and 10 purchases. On net that is roughly 5K shares disposed (about $2.3M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

PHM Financials

PHM earnings history & estimates →

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
-3.5%
Net Income Growth (FY)
-28.0%
EPS Growth (FY)
-24.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+11.9%
P/E (TTM)
11.84
Return on Equity (TTM)
+15.9%
Current Ratio
5.5
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
9.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong brand portfolio (Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb).
  • Significant land holdings and option agreements.
  • Integrated mortgage financing and title services.
  • Experienced management team.

Bear Case

  • Exposure to cyclical housing market fluctuations.
  • Dependence on macroeconomic factors (interest rates, employment).
  • Potential for rising construction costs and supply chain disruptions.
  • Sensitivity to consumer confidence and spending.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

From the Earnings Call

“Consistent with the guide we provided on our last earnings call, given land investments made in prior years, we expect year-over-year community count growth of 3% to 5% in each of the remaining months of 2026.”

— James Ossowski, Executive Vice President and CFO

“Given current market dynamics, and our expected 3% to 5% growth in community count, we are projecting land acquisition and development spend of $5.4 billion in 2026.”

— James Ossowski, Executive Vice President and CFO

PHM Q1 FY2026 earnings call transcript · 2026-04-23

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $3.98B $472M $2.43
Q1 FY2026 $3.41B $347M $1.79
Q4 FY2025 $4.61B $502M $2.56
Q3 FY2025 $4.40B $586M $2.96

Q2 FY2026 · filed 22 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

PHM Latest News

PHM Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for PHM.

Price Targets

Low
$116.00
Consensus
$145.14
High
$166.00

Median: $150.00 (+24.7% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

PHM MoonshotScore

80/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. PHM scores 80/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest PulteGroup, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Ryan R. Marshall

President and Chief Executive Officer

Ryan R. Marshall serves as the President and Chief Executive Officer of PulteGroup, Inc. His career with PulteGroup spans over two decades, during which he has held various leadership positions across multiple functional areas. Prior to his appointment as CEO, Marshall served as the company's President, overseeing all aspects of the homebuilding operations. He has a strong background in finance and operations, contributing to PulteGroup's strategic growth and operational efficiency. Marshall's experience and leadership have been instrumental in navigating the cyclical housing market and driving shareholder value.

Track Record: Under Ryan Marshall's leadership, PulteGroup has focused on improving operational efficiency, increasing profitability, and enhancing shareholder returns. He has overseen strategic land acquisitions, product innovation, and the expansion of the company's active adult communities. Marshall has also emphasized the importance of technology and innovation in driving growth and improving the customer experience. His tenure has been marked by consistent financial performance and a commitment to sustainable homebuilding practices.

PulteGroup, Inc. Consumer Cyclical Stock: Key Questions Answered

What does the AI Score mean for PHM?

PHM holds an AI Score of 80/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. PulteGroup, Inc. is a leading homebuilder in the United States, constructing and selling a variety of home designs.

Is PHM a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate PHM buy, sell or hold. PulteGroup, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 80/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about PHM stock?

Analyst consensus on PulteGroup (PHM) is mixed, reflecting the inherent cyclicality of the homebuilding industry. Key valuation metrics, such as the P/E ratio of 11.84, suggest that the stock may be undervalued compared to its earnings.

What are the key factors to evaluate for PHM?

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) holds a MoonshotScore of 80/100 (high). P/E: 11.84x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $145.14 (+25%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does PHM data refresh on this page?

PHM's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven PHM's recent stock price performance?

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand portfolio (Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb). See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider PHM overvalued or undervalued right now?

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) trades at 11.84x earnings. Analysts target $145.14 (+25%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of PHM?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

How can I track PHM's earnings and financial reports?

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for PHM earnings announcements.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data as of 2026-05-10.
  • The homebuilding industry is subject to cyclical fluctuations and external economic factors.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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