Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target
Vistra Corp. (VST) — MoonshotScore 42/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $140.02 (+0.19%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $47.2B. Expected results Nov 6, 2026.
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market value / cash and short-term investments: 108.51× (market value Oct 2, 2026; cash Jun 30, 2026) · expected results Nov 6, 2026
Vistra Corp. · VST · NYSE · Utilities · Independent Power Producers
Research dated 2026-09-12: Vistra combines a large retail electricity franchise with a diverse power-generation fleet, so its economics span customer margins, plant performance, wholesale transactions, fuel logistics and commodity-risk management. The case hinges on whether that integrated model can turn volatile revenue and earnings into durable cash after heavy capital spending without making an already leveraged balance sheet more demanding.
Price as of Oct 2, 2026
Key Statistics
MoonshotScore v2 · Vistra (VST)
WeakWhy this rating? Method, drivers & history
Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.
- Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
- Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
- Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
- Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
- Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
A fragile balance sheet, stalling growth and a full valuation, though quality is only middling, and the price trend has turned against it. Business Quality: Average; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Rich; Growth Durability: Fading; Momentum: Slipping.
- quarterly revenue $4.02B (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 2026)
- EPS beat 3 of 8
- expected results Nov 6, 2026
Holding back: balance-sheet strain, a rich price, soft growth, weak price trend
What has the MoonshotScore done over time?
| Recorded | Score | Band |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Weak | |
| 41 | Weak | |
| 42 | Weak | |
| 42 | Weak | |
| 42 | Weak | |
| 42 | Weak |
The score was 42 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 42 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0); the largest pillar moves were Growth Durability +1; the pillar moves offset under the sector-relative weighting, so the headline score is unchanged. This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.
Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →
Price & valuation
| Measure | Value | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Latest provided price | $140.02 | |
| Change on the day | +0.19% | |
| 52-week range | $132.66 – $217.10 | |
| Market capitalisation | $47.2B | |
| Price / earnings (trailing) | 23.38 | |
| Shares traded on the day | 12.44M | |
| Beta (volatility vs the S&P 500) | 1.41 | |
| Dividends per share (last 12 months) | $0.91 | |
| Dividend yield (last 12 months) | 0.65% |
Price & events
Triangles mark reported quarters on the line: pointing up is above the recorded estimate, down is below, a diamond means no estimate on file. Numbers key to the dated list. Point at or tab to any week for its close.
Events behind the price
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · above the recorded estimate
- · Earnings results · below the recorded estimate
Results dates follow the earnings feed; call dates follow the transcript provider. Nearby dates do not establish that an event caused a price move.
Upcoming events
The provider's estimated date can change.
What to watch nextOther perspectives
Council score for Vistra (VST): perspectives
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
5-Factor Breakdown
Legends Council
6 lenses, 0 current
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Read on: Sep 24, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
Munger's Mindset
Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical
Read on: Sep 24, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading
How to read these bars and different assessments
Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.
Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.
On Sep 24, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.
Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.
Watch the VST film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story
~2 min · open the film
What is Vistra (VST), and what does it report?
Short answer · as of
Vistra supplies electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers while also generating power from natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery assets.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Vistra supplies electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial and industrial customers while also generating power from natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery assets. It participates in wholesale energy transactions and manages commodity exposure and fuel logistics, making it more than a conventional regulated utility or a generation fleet standing alone.
Reported revenue therefore blends the Retail segment with geographic generation segments and wholesale contracts. Retail contributes the largest named share, while Texas and East remain substantial, so consolidated sales measure activity across different commercial channels rather than customer bills alone.
What do the latest results show for Vistra (VST)?
Short answer · as of
The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $4.02B.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
The latest quarter brought lower revenue than the preceding period and the comparable period, yet gross profit held roughly steady against the comparable period and operating profit improved. Net income and diluted earnings moved the other way, showing that better operating conversion did not carry through to bottom-line results.
That divergence matters because Vistra’s earnings record has swung between sizable beats and misses, while annual revenue and profit also retreated from the prior year. Operating cash flow remained positive, but capital spending absorbed most of it in the latest period; the results support a story of operating resilience accompanied by considerable earnings and cash-conversion variability.
Where is operating spending going?
Revenue alongside research and development, selling, general and administrative expenses, and the FMP standardized operating result.
- Latest quarter · revenue
- $4.02B Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · SG&A
- $403.00M Jun 30, 2026
- Latest quarter · FMP standardized operating result
- $553.00M Jun 30, 2026
| Period end | Revenue | R&D | SG&A | FMP standardized operating result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $4.02B | Not available | $403.00M | $553.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $4.65B | Not available | $416.00M | $527.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $2.34B | Not available | $447.00M | −$1.75B |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $4.97B | Not available | $444.00M | $1.04B |
USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow.
Did results meet expectations?
Reported earnings and revenue alongside the estimates recorded by the provider.
- Latest report · revenue
- $4.02B Aug 7, 2026
- Latest report · revenue estimate
- $5.46B Aug 7, 2026
- Latest report · revenue vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 7, 2026
- Latest report · EPS vs estimate
- Below estimate Aug 7, 2026
| Report date | Revenue · reported | Revenue · estimate | EPS · reported | EPS · estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | $4.02B | $5.46B | $0.7600 | $1.6100 |
| May 7, 2026 | $5.64B | $5.22B | $2.8700 | $1.3200 |
| Feb 26, 2026 | $4.58B | $5.79B | $0.5430 | $2.3100 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | $4.97B | $6.11B | $1.7500 | $2.0800 |
Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined.
Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
| Period | Revenue | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $4.02B | $305M | $0.76 (diluted) |
| Q1 FY2026 | $4.65B | $1.03B | $2.88 (diluted) |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.34B | $233M | $0.55 (diluted) |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.97B | $652M | $1.75 (diluted) |
What are the financial strengths and risks for Vistra (VST)?
Short answer
Cash and short-term investments were $435.00M at the Jun 30, 2026 balance-sheet date. Operating cash flow was $1.02B for the quarter ended Jun 30, 2026, meaning operations generated cash. These figures do not establish a cash runway.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Operating cash flow has remained positive throughout the reported quarterly series, which gives Vistra an internal funding source for its asset base. Capital expenditure has nevertheless consumed most operating cash in recent periods and exceeded it at times, leaving free-cash conversion uneven.
Debt stands far above cash and short-term investments, and that liquid balance has declined across the reported window. Long-term investments dominate the broader cash-and-investment total but carry an unclassified designation, so they should not be treated as equivalent to readily deployable cash; tight short-term coverage and elevated leverage reinforce the financing risk. High equity returns also need to be read alongside that leverage rather than in isolation.
Data-derived red flags
- Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of 1.46 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
- Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Rich valuation — a P/E of 23.38 runs well above the Utilities sector’s ~18.50x, leaving little room for a miss.
How much cash does the business generate or use?
Quarterly operating cash flow shows cash generated or used by operations.
- Latest quarter · operating cash flow
- $1.02B Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · operating cash flow
- $1.20B Mar 31, 2026
| Period end | Operating cash flow | Capital expenditure (reported) |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $1.02B | −$890.00M |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $1.20B | −$883.00M |
| Dec 31, 2025 | $1.43B | −$1.51B |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $1.47B | −$458.00M |
Operating cash-flow bars share one scale and show magnitude; negative values mean cash used.
USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway.
What should you watch next at Vistra (VST)?
Short answer · as of
The next earnings report is expected on Nov 6, 2026.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
The next earnings release needs to be read across revenue, operating profit and net income together. A revenue recovery would carry more weight if operating gains reach diluted earnings, especially after a reporting history marked by sharp swings relative to expectations and a wide range of longer-term revenue estimates.
Cash conversion is the other checkpoint: compare operating cash flow with capital expenditure and watch whether cash and short-term investments stabilize. Segment mix also matters because Retail, Texas, East and wholesale contracts expose Vistra to different profit mechanisms, while recent financing-related filings make further balance-sheet commitments relevant.
How does Vistra compare with its peers?
Short answer
Vistra's score ranks 6th of 6 in the bounded comparison shown, against 5 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.
Research dated 2026-09-12.
Vistra cannot be evaluated as a generation-only business. Its retail customer base sits beside a large, fuel-diverse fleet and wholesale activity, so performance reflects customer supply economics as well as power production, market transactions and commodity-risk management.
That structure differs from a regulated utility centered on network returns and from a merchant producer centered on plant output. Retail is Vistra’s largest named revenue contributor, but leverage, capital intensity and volatile reported margins keep the generation side central to any comparison.
| Company | Price | Market value | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| $119.57 Oct 2, 2026 | $65.1B | 64 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $76.12 Oct 2, 2026 | $76.5B | 60 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $114.13 Oct 2, 2026 | $89.0B | 51 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $78.38 Oct 2, 2026 | $51.2B | 45 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| $61.31 Oct 2, 2026 | $53.9B | 43 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026 | |
| Vistra (VST) — this page | $140.02 | $47.2B | 42 |
| $95.23 Date unavailable | $20.1B | — Model unavailable | |
| $320.77 Date unavailable | $14.6B | — Model unavailable | |
| $76.39 Date unavailable | $4.16B | — Model unavailable | |
| $12.35 Date unavailable | $3.69B | — Model unavailable | |
| $60.49 Date unavailable | $3.15B | — Model unavailable | |
| $10.39 Date unavailable | $979M | — Model unavailable |
Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.
The records behind this page
Analyst targets & estimates
What analysts have on file
- Price target, low to high
- $169.00 – $298.00
- Consensus target
- $215.67
- Median target
- $209.00
Consensus record · Captured .
Measured against a quoted price of $140.02 (as of Oct 2, 2026).
Insider activity
Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 10 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 8, 2026
- Transactions
- 10
- Identified insiders
- 5
- Purchases
- 3
- Sales
- 7
- Other transactions
- 0
Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.
Who holds the shares?
Institutional ownership reported through 13F filings.
- Institutional ownership
- 84.5% Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · ownership
- 81.7% Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
- Reporting holders
- 1,517 Period end Jun 30, 2026
- Previous quarter · holders
- 1,414 Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026
| Holders in provider snapshot | Shares |
|---|---|
| Blackrock, INC. | 29,064,465 |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 21,393,858 |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 16,939,291 |
| State Street Corp | 16,850,452 |
| Fmr LLC | 14,160,202 |
Quarterly filings lag the period end. Holder rows are names in the provider snapshot, not a verified ranking; individual filing dates are not supplied. Related managers may appear separately, so these positions are not summed. Holder snapshot as of Jun 30, 2026.
What has been published about Vistra (VST)?
- BMO Capital Adjusts Price Target on Vistra to $210 From $231, Maintains Outperform Rating
- Social Buzz: Wallstreetbets Stocks Mixed Pre-Bell Monday; Vistra, Nike to Open Higher
- Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Slip as Iran Keeps Conditions To Reopen Hormuz Strait — SPCX, QCOM, VST in Focus
Vistra Utilities Stock: Key Questions Answered
Research dated 2026-09-12; the answers below are from that research, and the full attribution is under Sources. The last 3 questions are answered from this page's own dated data, not from the research.
Is Vistra mainly a Texas electricity retailer?
Its reach extends across many jurisdictions and customer classes, while Texas is reported alongside Retail, East and other activities. The company also owns generation assets, trades wholesale energy and manages fuel and commodity exposure.
Why is Vistra’s Retail segment central to the business mix?
Retail is the largest named revenue contributor and connects Vistra directly with residential, commercial and industrial energy demand. Consolidated performance still depends on generation and wholesale activities, so retail sales do not describe the whole earnings engine.
Does Vistra’s generation fleet produce ample cash after capital spending?
Operating cash flow has stayed positive, but capital expenditure has absorbed most of it recently and has exceeded it in parts of the reported series. The useful test is cash remaining after asset spending, not operating cash flow viewed alone.
Why have Vistra’s reported earnings been difficult to read from revenue alone?
Revenue, operating profit and net income have not moved together consistently, and reported results have alternated between large beats and misses. The latest period again showed stronger operating profit against the comparable period but weaker bottom-line earnings.
What is the VST stock price today?
The last price recorded on this page for Vistra Corp. (VST) is $140.02, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.
What is the VST price target?
The analyst consensus price target for Vistra Corp. (VST) is $215.67 (range $169.00 to $298.00, median $209.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.
When are VST's next earnings?
The next earnings date listed on this page for Vistra Corp. (VST) is Nov 6, 2026. Companies sometimes move report dates, so the company's own announcement is the final word on timing.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Research written by Codex (gpt-5.6-sol) on 2026-09-12. AI-authored analysis; source dates are shown with each answer. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.
Sources — records for every figure on this page (80 figures)
The 80 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.
"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.
OFFICIAL — 1 fact from SEC filings and earnings calls
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
id.hq | SEC filing business address | Irving, TX | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer business address — The SEC filer business address. Our market-data provider separately lists "6555 Sierra Drive, Irving, TX, 75039, US". |
FMP — 68 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
px.last | Latest provided price | $140.02 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T20:54:29.799Z. | |
px.change | Change on the day | +0.19% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.mcap | Market capitalisation | $47.2B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:03.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T20:54:28.219Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares. | |
px.change_abs | Change on the day, in dollars | +$0.27 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
fin.q_revenue | Revenue, Q2 FY2026 | $4.02B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly) | |
px.pe | Price / earnings (trailing) | 23.38 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.volume | Shares traded on the day | 12.44M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote | |
px.beta | Beta | 1.41 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile | |
id.ceo | Chief executive | James A. Burke | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key executives (proxy-derived) — Titles and pay come from the company's proxy statement as our provider parsed it. | |
id.employees | Employees | 6,390 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) employee count, from the company's filing | |
fin.annual | Revenue and net result by fiscal year | 5 fiscal years, FY2021 through FY2025: FY2021 revenue $13.33B, net result −$1.27B; FY2022 revenue $17.84B, net result −$1.23B; FY2023 revenue $15.54B, net result $1.49B; FY2024 revenue $19.38B, net result $2.66B; FY2025 revenue $16.97B, net result $944.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements | |
fin.rev_mix | Reported revenue segments | East Segment $4.06B · Texas Segment $3.19B · Retail Segment $8.97B · Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts $1.37B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K | |
fin.gross_margin | Gross margin (trailing twelve months) | 13.0% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-06-30 | $4.02B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-06-30 | $403.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-06-30 | $553.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2026-03-31 | $4.65B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2026-03-31 | $416.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2026-03-31 | $527.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-12-31 | $2.34B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-12-31 | $447.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-12-31 | −$1.75B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k | Revenue — period end 2025-09-30 | $4.97B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k | SG&A — period end 2025-09-30 | $444.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k | FMP standardized operating result — period end 2025-09-30 | $1.04B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements — Quarterly statement note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-08-07 | $4.02B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-08-07 | $5.46B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-08-07 | $0.7600 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-08-07 | $1.6100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-05-07 | $5.64B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-05-07 | $5.22B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-05-07 | $2.8700 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-05-07 | $1.3200 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2026-02-26 | $4.58B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2026-02-26 | $5.79B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2026-02-26 | $0.5430 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2026-02-26 | $2.3100 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.revenue_actual | Revenue · reported — report date 2025-11-06 | $4.97B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.revenue_estimated | Revenue · estimate — report date 2025-11-06 | $6.11B | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.eps_actual | EPS · reported — report date 2025-11-06 | $1.7500 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.eps_estimated | EPS · estimate — report date 2025-11-06 | $2.0800 | Report date · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note |
fin.q_table | Quarterly income statement | 4 quarters through Q2 FY2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed | |
fin.cash_investments | Cash and short-term investments | $435.00M | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. | |
fin.opcf_latest | Latest-quarter operating cash flow | $1.02B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Period end: 2026-06-30. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. This figure is not a cash-runway estimate. | |
fin.long_term_investments | Long-term investments (classification unverified) | $5.33B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.total_debt | Total debt | $19.89B | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet — Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | |
fin.price_to_book | Price to book value | 8.68× | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm — A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-06-30 | $1.02B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2026-03-31 | $1.20B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-06-30 | −$890.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2026-03-31 | −$883.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-12-31 | $1.43B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-12-31 | −$1.51B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m | Operating cash flow — period end 2025-09-30 | $1.47B | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m | Capital expenditure (reported) — period end 2025-09-30 | −$458.00M | Period end · | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements — Cash-flow note |
earn.pt_range | Analyst price target, low to high | $169.00 – $298.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_consensus | Consensus analyst price target | $215.67 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
earn.pt_median | Median analyst price target | $209.00 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied | |
own.insiders | Insider transactions via FMP | 10 transactions · 3 purchases, 7 sales, 0 other transactions · 5 identified insiders · of the newest 10 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 8, 2026 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent. | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct | Institutional ownership | 84.5% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.ownership_pct_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · ownership | 81.7% | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders | Reporting holders | 1,517 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.institutions.depth.holders_previous_quarter | Previous quarter · holders | 1,414 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional ownership summary, from 13F filings — 13F filings are quarterly and lag the quarter end by up to 45 days. Prior to period end Jun 30, 2026 | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_0.shares | Blackrock, INC. — shares in provider snapshot | 29,064,465 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_1.shares | Vanguard Capital Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 21,393,858 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_2.shares | Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 16,939,291 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_3.shares | State Street Corp — shares in provider snapshot | 16,850,452 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. | |
own.top_holders.depth.holder_4.shares | Fmr LLC — shares in provider snapshot | 14,160,202 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) institutional holders, from 13F filings — Provider snapshot as of 2026-06-30; individual filing date not supplied. |
UNRECORDED — 4 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
earn.next | Next earnings date | Nov 6, 2026 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-calendar observation — Captured 2026-09-30 | |
earn.history | Reported versus estimated, recent quarters | EPS beat 3 of 8 | UNRECORDED | Stored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-05 | |
px.range52 | 52-week range | $132.66 – $217.10 | UNRECORDED | Stored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-05 | |
fin.scores | Distress and quality screens | Altman Z 1.46 · Piotroski F 6 | UNRECORDED | Stored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-03 · Expired observation |
COMPUTED — 5 facts from our arithmetic, formula restated
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
fin.mcap_to_cash | Market value per dollar of cash and short-term investments | 108.51× | — | COMPUTED | Computed on this page from the figures above — The market capitalisation printed on this page divided by cash and short-term investments of $435.00M at Jun 30, 2026. Long-term investments are excluded and remain unclassified. Restrictions on cash and short-term investments require separate review. Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. Balance-sheet reference date: 2026-06-30. The inputs do not establish a single common source date for this ratio. |
div.ttm_per_share | Dividends per share, last 12 months (split-adjusted) | $0.91 | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history — Sum of 4 split-adjusted declared dividends with an ex-date in the 365 days to 2026-10-05, per current share. Ex-dates are not payment dates; special dividends are included. Not a declared annual rate. | |
div.ttm_yield | Dividend yield, last 12 months | 0.65% | COMPUTED | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) split-adjusted dividend history and quote — Split-adjusted dividends with ex-dates in the trailing 365-day window divided by the packet price, on the same current-share basis. Price date follows the quote, latest price bar or packet-build day when unstamped. Not a forecast or declared annual rate. | |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.revenue_actual.comparison | Latest report · revenue vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported revenue ($4.02B) with the recorded estimate ($5.46B) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.eps_actual.comparison | Latest report · EPS vs estimate | Below estimate | Report date · | COMPUTED | Computed from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings — Earnings-history note — Method: compare reported EPS ($0.7600) with the recorded estimate ($1.6100) at displayed precision. Equal displayed values are in line. This compares reported results with recorded estimates, not investment returns. |
OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank
| Fact ID | Fact | Value as shown | As of | Tier | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ours.moonshot | MoonshotScore v2 | 42 of 100 · Weak · pillars 47 / 16 / 33 / 20 / 23 | OURS | Stock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine | |
ours.moonshot_change | MoonshotScore movement | 42 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 42 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0) | OURS | Stock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive. |
Fact-family notes
- Quarterly statement note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. The operating result is the FMP-standardized value supplied by FMP; it may differ from a filing’s GAAP loss from operations when the provider classifies separately presented items differently. It is not net income or cash flow. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-06-30.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2026-03-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-12-31.operating_result_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.revenue_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.sga_k,fin.q_table.depth.2025-09-30.operating_result_k. - Earnings-history note. Source series as of 2026-08-07. Dates are report dates, not fiscal period ends. Revenue is in USD; EPS is USD per share, rounded to four decimals. The earnings feed does not establish a basic, diluted or adjusted basis. Earnings-feed EPS may differ from statement EPS; the two series are not combined. Applies to Fact IDs:
earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.revenue_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.eps_actual.comparison,earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-08-07.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-05-07.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2026-02-26.eps_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.revenue_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.revenue_estimated,earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.eps_actual,earn.history.depth.2025-11-06.eps_estimated. - Cash-flow note. Source series as of 2026-06-30. USD. Negative operating cash flow means cash used. Capital expenditure keeps the provider’s reported sign; it is not added here to estimate free cash flow or runway. Applies to Fact IDs:
fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-06-30.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2026-03-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-12-31.capex_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.operating_cash_flow_m,fin.opcf.depth.2025-09-30.capex_m.
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- sedat@stockexpertai.com
Sources used for research written 2026-09-12
Historical evidence preserved with this analysis. Current figures are listed separately above.
| Evidence | Captured value | Source date | Source type | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business description | Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation. The company organizes its operations across six distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It directly provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients throughout 20 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Beyond its retail endeavors, Vistra also participates in generating electricity, facilitating wholesale energy transactions, managing commodity-related risks, producing fuel, and overseeing fuel logistics. With approximately 4.3 million customers, Vistra commands an impressive generation capacity of about 38,700 megawatts. This capacity is sustained by a diverse portfolio of facilities, including those powered by natural gas, nuclear energy, coal, solar, and advanced battery energy storage systems. The enterprise, initially known as Vistra Energy Corp., adopted its current name, Vistra Corp., in July 2020. Tracing its origins back to 1882, Vistra Corp. maintains its corporate headquarters in Irving, Texas. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Revenue by segment | East Segment: $4.06B; Texas Segment: $3.19B; Retail Segment: $8.97B; Revenue From Other Wholesale Contracts: $1.37B | 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) revenue segmentation, from the company's 10-K |
| Annual revenue and net result (USD millions) | Captured record · 5 entries
| 2025-12-31 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-K income statements |
| Quarterly income statement (USD thousands) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q and 10-K income statements |
| Operating cash flow by quarter (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's 10-Q cash-flow statements |
| Cash, investments and debt | Total debt: $19.89B; Liquidity basis: cash and short-term investments; Total liabilities: $37.11B; Cash and short-term investments: $435.00M; Cash and investments: $5.77B; Long-term investments: $5.33B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Long-term investments are shown separately; their marketability is not established by the provider field. The cash and short-term investment balance does not establish unrestricted availability. | 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's balance sheet |
| Sector / industry (provider taxonomy) | Utilities / Independent Power Producers The company's SEC filings classify it under SIC 4911 — Electric Services. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) company profile |
| Reported versus estimated, last 8 quarters | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-08-07 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings |
| Most recent periodic reports | 2026-08-10 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer submissions | |
| Cash and investment components | Total basis: cash short and long-term investments; Total: $5.77B; Cash and short-term investments: $435.00M; Long-term investments: $5.33B; Long-term investments classification: unclassified Sums the balance sheet's cash and short-term investments with its long-term investments.; The long-term investment field does not establish marketability; the sum is not a measure of available liquidity.; These provider fields do not establish investment access restrictions or explain differences from third-party cash figures. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet |
| Cash and short-term investments over time (USD millions) | Captured record · 8 entries
| 2026-06-30 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), from the company's quarterly balance sheets |
| Cash decline over the reported window | To: 2026-06-30; From: 2024-09-30; Periods: 7; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Closing balance: $435.00M; Decline: $470.00M; Opening balance: $905.00M; Average change per period: $67.10M Change in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments between the 2024-09-30 and 2026-06-30 balance sheets.; This is a balance change, not operating burn: financing and investing move it too.; Averaged over 7 reporting periods of unequal length. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from reported balances |
| Cash against market value | As of: 2026-06-30; Cash basis: cash and short-term investments; Net cash: -$19.46B; Total debt: $19.89B; Cash and investments: $435.00M Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. Cash is the latest reported cash and short-term investment balance; long-term investments are excluded. Market capitalization is the latest provider value.; The reported balance does not establish unrestricted availability or liquidation value.; The two are measured on different dates — the balance sheet is a quarter-end, the market cap is a recent close.; Debt is total debt as reported, including operating lease liabilities where the filer includes them. | 2026-06-30 | COMPUTED | Computed from the balance sheet and the latest market capitalization |
| Trailing twelve-month ratio set | Quick ratio: 0.97; Current ratio: 0.97; Debt to equity: 3.63; Net margin: 13.9%; Gross margin: 13%; Operating margin: 2.3%; Return on assets: 5.2%; Return on equity: 41.5% Price-based multiples captured at research time are not repeated here; the page shows each once, from current figures with their own dates. A ratio our provider could not compute is absent rather than shown as zero. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) key-metrics-ttm + ratios-ttm |
| Distress and quality screens | Altman Z-score: 1.5; Piotroski F-score: 6 Altman Z below 1.8 is the conventional distress zone. For a company holding large cash against negative retained earnings the score mostly reflects the retained-earnings term. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) financial scores |
| Next earnings report | Date: 2026-11-05; EPS estimate: $2.88 per share; Revenue estimate: $7.15B The date is our provider's estimate until the company confirms it. | 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) earnings calendar |
| Analyst revenue and earnings estimates (average) | Captured record · 4 entries
| 2026-09-12 | FMP | Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) analyst estimates |
| Recent SEC filings |
| 2026-08-10 | OFFICIAL | SEC EDGAR filer submissions |
Data provided for informational purposes only.
ETFs that hold VST
Funds in our ETF coverage that list VST among the top 10 holdings on their fund page, largest weight first. Each weight is the fund's reported holding weight as of the date in its row.
| ETF | Weight | Holdings as of |
|---|---|---|
| NestYield Dynamic Income ETF (EGGY) | 4.80% | |
| American Century Mid Cap Growth Impact ETF (MID) | 4.35% | |
| SOVF ETF | 4.19% | |
| Putnam Sustainable Future ETF (PFUT) | 2.55% | |
| iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth ETF (IWP) | 1.98% |