AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Stock Analysis
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Analysis by Sedat ANAK, Founder & Editor-in-Chief | AI-powered analysis. Data sourced from SEC filings and institutional-grade financial providers. Editorially reviewed. Not financial advice.
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) trades at $142.60 with AI Score 29/100 (Grade F). AeroVironment, Inc. designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems (TMS), and related services. Market cap: $7.22B, Sector: Industrials.
Price as of Jul 20, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026AVAV stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $301.00 for AeroVironment, Inc., suggesting 111.1% upside from the current price of $142.60. The AI MoonshotScore is 29/100, indicating a bearish outlook. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
AVAV: 2/3 scored disciplines lean bearish. Dominant signal: Momentum weak.
How is this calculated? →Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Industrial Operations Profile
AeroVironment, Inc. is a leading provider of robotic systems and services, specializing in unmanned aircraft and tactical missile systems for defense and commercial applications. The company differentiates itself through its comprehensive portfolio of UAS solutions and established relationships with government and military clients.
What Is the Investment Thesis for AVAV?
AeroVironment presents a compelling investment case driven by the increasing demand for unmanned systems in defense and commercial sectors. The company's established relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and international allies provide a stable revenue stream. Growth catalysts include expanding applications of UAS in agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and public safety. However, investors may want to evaluate the risks associated with government spending cycles and potential competition. The company's negative profit margin of -13.9% warrants monitoring, but its strong market position and technological expertise offer long-term growth potential. The company's beta of 1.26 suggests higher volatility compared to the overall market.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
AVAV Key Highlights
- AeroVironment operates in four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS).
- The company supplies UAS, TMS, unmanned ground vehicle, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense and to international allied governments.
- AeroVironment designs, engineers, tools, and manufactures unmanned aerial and aircraft systems, including airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment.
- AeroVironment offers small UAS products, including spare equipment, alternative payload modules, batteries, chargers, repair services, and customer support.
- The company develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems.
Who Are AVAV's Competitors?
AVAV is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | AI Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd. | $754.85 | +1.79% | $35.4B | 62 |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | $154.78 | -0.09% | $25.0B | 59 |
| CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | $709.02 | +0.17% | $26.2B | 80 |
| WWD Woodward, Inc. | $390.75 | -0.54% | $23.3B | 78 |
| CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $205.80 | -1.29% | $24.3B | 46 |
| LOAR Loar Holdings, Inc. | $69.93 | -0.09% | $6.55B | 72 |
| HXL Hexcel Corporation | $105.73 | +1.85% | $7.97B | 63 |
| ACLLY Accelleron Industries AG | $92.57 | -2.17% | $8.69B | 60 |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance
What Are AVAV's Key Strengths?
- Strong relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense.
- Technological leadership in small UAS.
- Diverse product portfolio.
- Established brand reputation.
What Are AVAV's Weaknesses?
- High dependence on government contracts.
- Negative profit margin.
- Limited presence in the commercial UAS market.
- Susceptibility to government spending cycles.
What Could Drive AVAV Stock Higher?
- Increasing global demand for unmanned systems in defense and commercial sectors.
- Expansion of UAS applications in agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and public safety.
- Potential new government contracts for UAS and TMS solutions.
- Development and deployment of high-altitude pseudo-satellite systems.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand market reach and technological capabilities.
What Are the Key Risks for AVAV?
- Negative return on equity (-6.4%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
- Dependence on government contracts and potential changes in spending priorities.
- Competition from larger defense contractors.
- Technological obsolescence and the need for continuous innovation.
- Economic downturns and their impact on defense spending.
- Negative profit margin and the need to improve operational efficiency.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for AVAV?
- Expansion in the Commercial UAS Market: AeroVironment can capitalize on the growing demand for UAS in commercial applications such as agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and delivery services. By developing specialized UAS solutions for specific commercial applications, the company can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on government contracts.
- Increased Adoption of Tactical Missile Systems: The demand for tactical missile systems is increasing due to evolving global security threats. AeroVironment's Switchblade loitering munition offers a cost-effective and precise solution for military operations. By expanding its TMS product line and targeting new international markets, the company can drive significant revenue growth in this segment. The tactical missile systems market is expected to grow steadily over the next decade.
- Development of High-Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems: AeroVironment's HAPS program represents a long-term growth opportunity. These systems can provide persistent surveillance and communication capabilities at a fraction of the cost of traditional satellites. By successfully developing and deploying HAPS, the company can tap into a new market with significant growth potential. The HAPS market is still in its early stages, but it is expected to grow rapidly as the technology matures.
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: AeroVironment can accelerate its growth by forming strategic partnerships and acquiring complementary businesses. By partnering with companies that have expertise in areas such as artificial intelligence, data analytics, and sensor technology, AeroVironment can enhance its UAS solutions and expand its market reach. Acquisitions can also provide access to new technologies and markets.
- International Expansion: AeroVironment has significant opportunities to expand its international presence. By targeting new international markets, the company can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on the U.S. Department of Defense. The international market for UAS and tactical missile systems is growing rapidly, offering significant growth potential for AeroVironment. The company can leverage its existing relationships with international allies to penetrate new markets.
What Opportunities Does AVAV Have?
- Expansion in the commercial UAS market.
- Increased adoption of tactical missile systems.
- Development of high-altitude pseudo-satellite systems.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
What Threats Does AVAV Face?
- Competition from larger defense contractors.
- Technological obsolescence.
- Changes in government spending priorities.
- Economic downturns.
What Are AVAV's Competitive Advantages?
- Established relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and international allies.
- Technological expertise in unmanned systems.
- Comprehensive portfolio of UAS and TMS solutions.
- Strong brand reputation in the aerospace and defense industry.
What Does AVAV Do?
AeroVironment, Inc., founded in 1971, has evolved into a prominent player in the aerospace and defense industry, focusing on robotic systems and related services. The company operates through four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS). AeroVironment's core business involves designing, developing, producing, and supporting a range of unmanned systems for government agencies and businesses worldwide. Its product portfolio includes small UAS like the Raven, Puma, and Wasp, which are used for reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition. The company also offers tactical missile systems such as the Switchblade, a loitering munition. AeroVironment's solutions are primarily sold to the U.S. Department of Defense and international allied governments. The company's headquarters are located in Arlington, Virginia, and it serves a global market with its advanced technological solutions.
What Products and Services Does AVAV Offer?
- Designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft systems (UAS).
- Develops tactical missile systems (TMS).
- Produces unmanned ground vehicles.
- Provides related services to government agencies and businesses.
- Offers small UAS products, including spare equipment and support.
- Develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems.
- Supplies UAS and TMS to the U.S. Department of Defense and international allies.
How Does AVAV Make Money?
- Sells unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) to government and commercial customers.
- Provides maintenance, repair, and support services for its UAS products.
- Generates revenue from the sale of tactical missile systems (TMS).
- Offers engineering and development services for custom UAS solutions.
What Industry Does AVAV Operate In?
The aerospace and defense industry is experiencing growth driven by increasing global security concerns and technological advancements in unmanned systems. The market for UAS is expanding beyond military applications into commercial sectors such as agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and delivery services. AeroVironment competes with companies like ESLT: Elbit Systems Ltd. and CW: Curtiss-Wright Corporation, but differentiates itself through its focus on small UAS and tactical missile systems. The industry is characterized by high barriers to entry due to stringent regulatory requirements and the need for advanced technological expertise.
Who Are AVAV's Key Customers?
- U.S. Department of Defense
- International allied governments
- Commercial businesses in agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and public safety
Company Profile
AeroVironment, Inc. operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Arlington, US. The company is led by CEO Wahid Nawabi. AVAV has traded publicly since 2007.
ROE -6%Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for AeroVironment, Inc. stands at -6.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -4.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -2.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 5.51 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -2.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
AVAV Valuation & Market Position
With a $7.22B market cap, AeroVironment, Inc. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Relative to its peer group, AVAV's quantitative score of 29/100 is below the peer average of 65/100.
Quarterly Financial Performance: AeroVironment, Inc.
Revenue for AeroVironment, Inc. came in at $641.6M during Q2 2026, a 57.2% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $24.1M, with diluted EPS of $1.25. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, AVAV averaged $-1.16 in diluted EPS.
F-Score 3/9Financial Health
AeroVironment, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.83 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
FY2026 estForward Outlook
Wall Street analysts project AeroVironment, Inc. revenue of about $1.89B for fiscal 2026, with EPS near $2.87. The estimate reflects 13 contributing analysts.
Net buyingInsider Activity
Over the past six months, AeroVironment, Inc. insiders filed 30 SEC Form 4 transactions — 2 sales and 28 purchases. On net that is roughly 43K shares acquired (about $329K) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
AVAV Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Insider buying has been noted recently, indicating confidence from leadership in the company’s future.
- Social media sentiment has turned positive, with discussions highlighting AeroVironment's innovative drone technology.
- Recent contracts with government agencies suggest strong demand for their products, reinforcing market confidence.
- The growing focus on defense and surveillance technologies positions AeroVironment favorably in a competitive landscape.
Bear Case
- Some analysts express concerns over potential supply chain disruptions that could impact production timelines.
- Community sentiment has shown skepticism about the company's ability to scale operations effectively amid increasing competition.
- Recent earnings reports have highlighted challenges in meeting growth expectations, leading to cautious sentiment.
- Market perception remains mixed, with some investors worried about the sustainability of recent contract wins.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · April 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $642M | -$24M | $1.25 |
| Q1 2026 | $408M | -$157M | -$3.15 |
| Q4 2025 | $473M | -$17M | -$0.34 |
| Q3 2025 | $455M | -$67M | -$2.39 |
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
AVAV Latest News
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10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
benzinga · Jul 16, 2026
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10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
benzinga · Jul 15, 2026
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10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
benzinga · Jul 14, 2026
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10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
benzinga · Jul 13, 2026
AVAV Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations from Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, and Finnhub for AVAV.
Price Targets
Consensus target: $301.00
AVAV MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
The MoonshotScore rates AVAV 0-100 on quantitative fundamentals — growth, financial health, valuation, momentum, and risk.
Latest News
10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session
Latest AeroVironment, Inc. Analysis
Leadership: Wahid Nawabi
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Wahid Nawabi serves as the Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of AeroVironment, Inc. He has been with the company for several years, holding various leadership positions. His background includes extensive experience in engineering, program management, and business development within the aerospace and defense industry. He holds advanced degrees in engineering and business administration.
Track Record: Under Wahid Nawabi's leadership, AeroVironment has expanded its product portfolio, strengthened its relationships with key customers, and achieved significant revenue growth. He has overseen the development and introduction of innovative UAS and TMS solutions. He has focused on strategic acquisitions to expand the company's technological capabilities and market reach.
AVAV Industrials Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for AVAV?
AVAV holds an AI Score of 29/100 (Grade: F). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. AeroVironment, Inc. designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems (TMS), and related services. The company primarily serves government agencies and businesses …
What does AeroVironment, Inc. do?
AeroVironment, Inc. is a technology solutions provider specializing in unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems (TMS), and related services. The company designs, develops, produces, and supports these systems for government agencies, businesses, and consumers. Their products are used for reconnaissance, surveillance, target acquisition, and loitering munitions, serving both military and commercial applications.
What do analysts say about AVAV stock?
Analyst coverage of AeroVironment (AVAV) stock reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook. Key valuation metrics include a market capitalization of $7.22B. Growth considerations center on the company's ability to expand its commercial UAS business and secure new government contracts.
What are the main risks for AVAV?
AeroVironment faces several key risks, including its dependence on government contracts, which are subject to changes in spending priorities and political factors. Competition from larger defense contractors and technological obsolescence also pose challenges. The company's negative profit margin of -13.9% indicates financial vulnerability. Economic downturns could reduce defense spending and commercial demand for UAS. Successfully managing these risks is crucial for AeroVironment's long-term growth and profitability.
How does AeroVironment, Inc. compare to competitors in its industry?
AeroVironment distinguishes itself through its specialization in small UAS and tactical missile systems, setting it apart from larger, more diversified defense contractors like ESLT: Elbit Systems Ltd. While competitors may offer a broader range of defense solutions, AeroVironment's focus allows for greater expertise and innovation in its niche. The company's established relationships with the U.S.
What are the key financial metrics investors watch for AVAV?
Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for AeroVironment (AVAV). Revenue growth is a critical indicator of the company's ability to expand its market share and secure new contracts. Gross margin, currently at 21.8%, reflects the company's profitability on its core products and services. The negative profit margin of -13.9% is a concern that investors will be watching closely.
What are the key factors to evaluate for AVAV?
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) holds an AI score of 29/100 (low). Analysts target $301.00 (+111%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does AVAV data refresh on this page?
AVAV's price was last updated on Jul 20, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours — it is not a real-time exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven AVAV's recent stock price performance?
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
- Financial metrics are based on the most recent filings.
- Analyst opinions may vary.