AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
Market cap $7.44B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.26: the stock has moved about 26% more than the S&P 500.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerAeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) trades at $147.06 with MoonshotScore 46/100 (Grade C). AeroVironment, Inc. designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems (TMS), and related services. Market cap: $7.44B, Sector: Industrials.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026AVAV stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $216.73 for AeroVironment, Inc., suggesting 47.4% upside from the current price of $147.06. The AI MoonshotScore is 46/100, in the Fair band (45-64) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
AVAV: the 3 scored disciplines are evenly split. Dominant signal: Ray Dalio bullish.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Financial Safety (7/10, Moderate). Weakest side: Momentum (2/10, Weak).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Industrial Operations Profile
AeroVironment, Inc. is a leading provider of robotic systems and services, specializing in unmanned aircraft and tactical missile systems for defense and commercial applications. The company differentiates itself through its comprehensive portfolio of UAS solutions and established relationships with government and military clients.
What Is the Investment Thesis for AVAV?
The company's established relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and international allies provide a stable revenue stream. Growth catalysts include expanding applications of UAS in agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and public safety. However, investors may want to evaluate the risks associated with government spending cycles and potential competition. The company's negative profit margin of -13.9% warrants monitoring, but its strong market position and technological expertise offer long-term growth potential. The company's beta of 1.26 suggests higher volatility compared to the overall market.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
AVAV Key Highlights
AeroVironment operates in four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS).
- The company supplies UAS, TMS, unmanned ground vehicle, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense and to international allied governments.
- AeroVironment designs, engineers, tools, and manufactures unmanned aerial and aircraft systems, including airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment.
- AeroVironment offers small UAS products, including spare equipment, alternative payload modules, batteries, chargers, repair services, and customer support.
- The company develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems.
Who Are AVAV's Competitors?
AVAV is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd. | $725.50 | +0.22% | $34.0B | 665-pillar |
| NVT nVent Electric plc | $155.17 | -2.13% | $25.1B | 785-pillar |
| CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation | $562.12 | +0.43% | $20.8B | 735-pillar |
| WWD Woodward, Inc. | $332.76 | -1.45% | $19.8B | 705-pillar |
| CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $152.96 | +0.36% | $18.0B | 469-signal |
| CAE CAE Inc. | $23.98 | +1.27% | $7.71B | 615-pillar |
| SARO StandardAero, Inc. | $23.65 | -2.35% | $7.86B | 615-pillar |
| HXL Hexcel Corporation | $89.82 | -0.66% | $6.79B | 635-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are AVAV's Key Strengths?
Strong relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense.
- Technological leadership in small UAS.
- Diverse product portfolio.
- Established brand reputation.
What Are AVAV's Weaknesses?
High dependence on government contracts.
- Negative profit margin.
- Limited presence in the commercial UAS market.
- Susceptibility to government spending cycles.
What Could Drive AVAV Stock Higher?
Increasing global demand for unmanned systems in defense and commercial sectors.
- Expansion of UAS applications in agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and public safety.
- Potential new government contracts for UAS and TMS solutions.
- Development and deployment of high-altitude pseudo-satellite systems.
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand market reach and technological capabilities.
What Are the Key Risks for AVAV?
Negative return on equity (-6.4%) — the business is not currently generating profit on shareholder capital.
- Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 5 of the last 8 reported quarters.
- Weak fundamentals — a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags soft profitability, leverage or efficiency.
- Dependence on government contracts and potential changes in spending priorities.
- Competition from larger defense contractors.
- Technological obsolescence and the need for continuous innovation.
- Economic downturns and their impact on defense spending.
- Negative profit margin and the need to improve operational efficiency.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for AVAV?
- Expansion in the Commercial UAS Market: AeroVironment can capitalize on the growing demand for UAS in commercial applications such as agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and delivery services. By developing specialized UAS solutions for specific commercial applications, the company can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on government contracts.
- Increased Adoption of Tactical Missile Systems: The demand for tactical missile systems is increasing due to evolving global security threats. AeroVironment's Switchblade loitering munition offers a cost-effective and precise solution for military operations. By expanding its TMS product line and targeting new international markets, the company can drive significant revenue growth in this segment. The tactical missile systems market is expected to grow steadily over the next decade.
- Development of High-Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems: AeroVironment's HAPS program represents a long-term growth opportunity. These systems can provide persistent surveillance and communication capabilities at a fraction of the cost of traditional satellites. By successfully developing and deploying HAPS, the company can tap into a new market with significant growth potential. The HAPS market is still in its early stages, but it is expected to grow rapidly as the technology matures.
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: AeroVironment can accelerate its growth by forming strategic partnerships and acquiring complementary businesses. By partnering with companies that have expertise in areas such as artificial intelligence, data analytics, and sensor technology, AeroVironment can enhance its UAS solutions and expand its market reach. Acquisitions can also provide access to new technologies and markets.
- International Expansion: AeroVironment has significant opportunities to expand its international presence. By targeting new international markets, the company can diversify its revenue streams and reduce its reliance on the U.S. Department of Defense. The international market for UAS and tactical missile systems is growing rapidly, offering significant growth potential for AeroVironment. The company can leverage its existing relationships with international allies to penetrate new markets.
What Are AVAV's Competitive Advantages?
- Established relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and international allies.
- Technological expertise in unmanned systems.
- Comprehensive portfolio of UAS and TMS solutions.
- Strong brand reputation in the aerospace and defense industry.
What Does AVAV Do?
AeroVironment, Inc., founded in 1971, has evolved into a prominent player in the aerospace and defense industry, focusing on robotic systems and related services. The company operates through four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS). AeroVironment's core business involves designing, developing, producing, and supporting a range of unmanned systems for government agencies and businesses worldwide. Its product portfolio includes small UAS like the Raven, Puma, and Wasp, which are used for reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition. The company also offers tactical missile systems such as the Switchblade, a loitering munition. AeroVironment's solutions are primarily sold to the U.S. Department of Defense and international allied governments. The company's headquarters are located in Arlington, Virginia, and it serves a global market with its advanced technological solutions.
What Products and Services Does AVAV Offer?
- Designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft systems (UAS).
- Develops tactical missile systems (TMS).
- Produces unmanned ground vehicles.
- Provides related services to government agencies and businesses.
- Offers small UAS products, including spare equipment and support.
- Develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems.
- Supplies UAS and TMS to the U.S. Department of Defense and international allies.
How Does AVAV Make Money?
- Sells unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) to government and commercial customers.
- Provides maintenance, repair, and support services for its UAS products.
- Generates revenue from the sale of tactical missile systems (TMS).
- Offers engineering and development services for custom UAS solutions.
What Industry Does AVAV Operate In?
The aerospace and defense industry is experiencing growth driven by increasing global security concerns and technological advancements in unmanned systems. The market for UAS is expanding beyond military applications into commercial sectors such as agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and delivery services. AeroVironment competes with companies like ESLT: Elbit Systems Ltd. and CW: Curtiss-Wright Corporation, but differentiates itself through its focus on small UAS and tactical missile systems. The industry is characterized by high barriers to entry due to stringent regulatory requirements and the need for advanced technological expertise.
Who Are AVAV's Key Customers?
- U.S. Department of Defense
- International allied governments
- Commercial businesses in agriculture, infrastructure inspection, and public safety
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 94% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 74 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 46?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.48 Revenue growth (Growth)
- +0.42 Short-term liquidity (Financial Strength)
- +0.17 3-year revenue per share (Growth)
What is holding it back
- -0.48 Share dilution (Growth)
- -0.34 Operating income growth (Growth)
- -0.32 Net margin (Business Quality)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 29 |
| 2026-08-26 | 29 |
| 2026-08-29 | 29 |
| 2026-09-01 | 33 |
| 2026-09-04 | 33 |
| 2026-09-07 | 33 |
| 2026-09-10 | 45 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 29 to 45 (+16).
What moved it up or down:
- +15 Growth Durability
- +12 Financial Safety
- +8 Business Quality
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -12.1%.
Company Profile
AeroVironment, Inc. operates in the Aerospace & Defense industry within the Industrials sector. It is headquartered in Arlington, US. The company is led by CEO Wahid Nawabi. AVAV has traded publicly since 2007.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for AeroVironment, Inc. stands at -6.4%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is -4.1%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. Its free cash flow yield is -2.3%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 5.51 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is -2.7%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
AVAV Valuation & Market Position
With a $7.44B market cap, AeroVironment, Inc. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $170.00 to $250.00, with a consensus of $216.73. At the current price of $147.06, that implies approximately 47% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, AVAV's quantitative score of 46/100 is below the peer average of 65/100.
Quarterly Financial Performance: AeroVironment, Inc.
Revenue for AeroVironment, Inc. came in at $329.1M during Aug 2026, a 48.7% contraction versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded a net loss of $5.1M, with diluted EPS of $-0.10. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Industrials. Across the four most recent quarters, AVAV averaged $-1.04 in diluted EPS.
Financial Health
AeroVironment, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — flagging fundamental weakness worth scrutiny. Its Altman Z-Score of 4.05 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Earnings Track Record
AeroVironment, Inc. has missed Wall Street's EPS estimate in 5 of its last 8 reported quarters — a mixed record worth weighing. Reported results have landed about 8.1% below estimates on average.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, AeroVironment, Inc. insiders filed 58 SEC Form 4 transactions — 21 sales and 37 purchases. On net that is roughly 101K shares acquired (about $6.0M) — insiders putting money in tends to read as conviction.
AVAV Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2026
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Strong relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense.
- Technological leadership in small UAS.
- Diverse product portfolio.
- Established brand reputation.
Bear Case
- High dependence on government contracts.
- Negative profit margin.
- Limited presence in the commercial UAS market.
- Susceptibility to government spending cycles.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $329M | -$5M | -$0.10 |
| Q4 FY2026 | $642M | -$24M | -$0.49 |
| Q3 FY2026 | $408M | -$157M | -$3.21 |
| Q2 FY2026 | $473M | -$17M | -$0.34 |
Q4 FY2026 · filed 29 Jun 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
AVAV Latest News
-
S&P 500 Snaps 4-Day Decline as Oil Cools, Dell Jumps 11%: Stock Market Today
benzinga · Sep 11, 2026
-
Oracle, SpaceX, Cooper Cos., Macy’s, Apple, Navan, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
Barrons.com · Sep 10, 2026
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Stock Market Today: Nasdaq 100 Tumbles as Oil Spikes 6%, Yields Hit 19-Year High
benzinga · Sep 10, 2026
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Drone Stocks Take Flight After AeroVironment Earnings: 4 ETFs to Watch
benzinga · Sep 10, 2026
AVAV Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for AVAV.
Price Targets
Median: $220.00 (+47.4% from current price)
Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Sep 11, 2026 · an estimate, not advice
AVAV MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. AVAV scores 46/100 (Grade C): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
S&P 500 Snaps 4-Day Decline as Oil Cools, Dell Jumps 11%: Stock Market Today
Oracle, SpaceX, Cooper Cos., Macy’s, Apple, Navan, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
Stock Market Today: Nasdaq 100 Tumbles as Oil Spikes 6%, Yields Hit 19-Year High
Drone Stocks Take Flight After AeroVironment Earnings: 4 ETFs to Watch
Latest AeroVironment, Inc. Analysis
Leadership: Wahid Nawabi
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Wahid Nawabi serves as the Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer of AeroVironment, Inc. He has been with the company for several years, holding various leadership positions. His background includes extensive experience in engineering, program management, and business development within the aerospace and defense industry. He holds advanced degrees in engineering and business administration.
Track Record: Under Wahid Nawabi's leadership, AeroVironment has expanded its product portfolio, strengthened its relationships with key customers, and achieved significant revenue growth. He has overseen the development and introduction of innovative UAS and TMS solutions. He has focused on strategic acquisitions to expand the company's technological capabilities and market reach.
AVAV Industrials Stock FAQ
What does the AI Score mean for AVAV?
AVAV holds an AI Score of 46/100 (Grade: C). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. AeroVironment, Inc. designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), tactical missile systems (TMS), and related services.
Is AVAV a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate AVAV buy, sell or hold. AeroVironment, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 46/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What are the key financial metrics investors watch for AVAV?
Investors closely monitor several key financial metrics for AeroVironment (AVAV). Revenue growth is a critical indicator of the company's ability to expand its market share and secure new contracts. Gross margin, currently at 21.8%, reflects the company's profitability on its core products and services. The negative profit margin of -13.9% is a concern that investors will be watching closely.
What are the key factors to evaluate for AVAV?
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) holds a MoonshotScore of 46/100 (low). Analysts target $216.73 (+47%). The company's established relationships with the U.S. Department of Defense and international allies provide a stable revenue stream. Not financial advice.
How frequently does AVAV data refresh on this page?
AVAV's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven AVAV's recent stock price performance?
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong relationships with the U. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider AVAV overvalued or undervalued right now?
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) has no trailing P/E available here, so lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Analysts target $216.73 (+47%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of AVAV?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track AVAV's earnings and financial reports?
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for AVAV earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
- Financial metrics are based on the most recent filings.
- Analyst opinions may vary.