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Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Stock Analysis

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$362.70 +$3.10 (+0.86%) |Exceptional · 86
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) bottom line: Bullish Lean — our Council read (74/100) and AI Score (86/100) broadly agree. Strongest signal: Business Quality strong · Biggest watch-out: Ken Griffin bearish.Educational signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. Compare sector peers → · Read the method →
MCap: $8.26B| P/E Ratio: 14.65| Vol: 143.0K| Target: $447.80 (+23.5%) (Aug 25, 2026) (estimate, not advice)| 52-wk range: $287.20 – $485.00

P/E 14.65 means the share price is 14.65 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $8.26B is the value of all shares combined.

Data from FMP · Methodology

For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 10, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR

Quick Answer

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) trades at $362.70 with MoonshotScore 86/100 (Grade A+). Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company focused on the excess and surplus lines market. Market cap: $8.26B, Sector: Financial services.

Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 10, 2026
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company focused on the excess and surplus lines market. They operate through a network of independent brokers across the United States.

KNSL stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $447.80 for Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., suggesting 23.5% upside from the current price of $362.70. The AI MoonshotScore is 86/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.

Watch the KNSL film Every key number, told as a short cinematic story — just press play. ~2 min

These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.

Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines
Bullish Lean 74/100 · A

KNSL: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Business Quality strong.

How is this calculated? →
MoonshotScore · Five-pillar engine · 86/100
Business Quality
Strong Is this a genuinely good business?
Financial Safety
Weak Could this blow up on me?
Valuation
Neutral Am I paying a fair price?
Growth Durability
Strong Is the growth real and likely to last?
Momentum
Weak Is the market already moving on this?

Strongest side: Business Quality (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Financial Safety (4/10, Weak).

Legends Council · 5 Legends + Moon AI

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated)Ray Dalio
Favorable read
Griffin-style lens (simulated)Ken Griffin
Unfavorable read
Simons-style lens (simulated)Jim Simons
Neutral read
Englander-style lens (simulated)Izzy Englander
Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated)Seth Klarman
Favorable read
Moon AI lens (model)
Favorable read
Munger's Mindset · Balance Sheet & Valuation
Financial Health
Moderate
Margin of Safety
Undervalued
Council Score · Weighted Average of 3 Disciplines · See tabs for details →
The lenses are modelled on the published principles of the investors named. We are not affiliated with them, they have not endorsed this, and it is not their opinion of this stock.

Why this analysis is different

  • A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
  • An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
  • Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Financial Services Profile

CEOMichael Patrick Kehoe
Employees716
HeadquartersRichmond, VA, US
IPO Year2016

Kinsale Capital Group is a specialty insurance provider focusing on the U.S. excess and surplus (E&S) lines market, leveraging independent brokers to distribute property and casualty products. With a strong profit margin and focus on niche markets, KNSL differentiates itself through specialized underwriting and efficient operations.

Data Provenance | Financial Data Quantitative Analysis NYSE Analysis: May 10, 2026

What Is the Investment Thesis for KNSL?

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

The company's high profit margin of 27.5% and gross margin of 46.6% indicate effective cost management and pricing strategies. Growth catalysts include the ongoing expansion into new product lines and geographic areas, as well as the increasing demand for specialized insurance solutions. The company's reliance on independent brokers provides a scalable distribution model. However, potential risks include increased competition in the E&S market and the impact of catastrophic events on underwriting profitability. The company's P/E ratio of 14.65 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings.

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KNSL Key Highlights

AI-written as of May 10, 2026 — figures and tone reflect the data available then, not today's score.

Market capitalization of $8.26B, reflecting investor confidence in Kinsale's growth prospects and market position.

  • Profit margin of 27.5%, significantly higher than the industry average, indicating efficient operations and underwriting discipline.
  • Gross margin of 46.6%, demonstrating strong pricing power and effective cost management.
  • P/E ratio of 14.65, suggesting a potentially undervalued stock compared to its growth potential.
  • Dividend yield of 0.25%, providing a modest income stream for investors.

Who Are KNSL's Competitors?

KNSL is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.

Company Price Change Market Cap MoonshotScore
CNA CNA Financial Corporation $47.48 +0.19% $12.9B 695-pillar
ORI Old Republic International Corporation $40.84 +0.02% $9.95B 915-pillar
AFG American Financial Group, Inc. $141.96 +0.22% $11.8B 865-pillar
SSB SouthState Corporation $105.29 -0.52% $10.2B 695-pillar
ONB Old National Bancorp $25.60 +0.75% $9.79B 765-pillar
HCXLY Hiscox Ltd $50.46 +5.48% $8.07B 479-signal
THG The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. $226.16 +0.96% $7.87B 975-pillar
MCY Mercury General Corporation $102.65 +1.57% $5.69B 975-pillar

AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.

What Are KNSL's Key Strengths?

Strong underwriting discipline and expertise in the E&S market.

  • Efficient operations and cost management.
  • Established network of independent insurance brokers.
  • Consistent profitability and strong financial performance.

What Are KNSL's Weaknesses?

Reliance on independent brokers for distribution.

  • Exposure to catastrophic events and large losses.
  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
  • Potential impact from economic downturns on premium volume.

What Could Drive KNSL Stock Higher?

KNSL catalyst: Potential for increased premium rates in the E&S market due to rising claims costs and market volatility.

  • Continued expansion into new product lines and geographic markets.
  • Leveraging technology to improve underwriting and operational efficiency.

What Are the Key Risks for KNSL?

Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $6.8M recently.

  • Increased competition in the E&S market could put pressure on premium rates and market share.
  • Catastrophic events, such as hurricanes or earthquakes, could result in significant losses and impact profitability.
  • Changes in regulatory requirements could increase compliance costs and impact business operations.
  • Economic downturns could reduce premium volume and impact investment income.

What Are the Growth Opportunities for KNSL?

  • Expansion into New Product Lines: Kinsale has the opportunity to further diversify its product offerings within the E&S market. By introducing new specialized insurance products tailored to emerging risks, such as cyber liability or renewable energy projects, Kinsale can attract new customers and increase its market share. The market for cyber insurance, for example, is projected to reach $28 billion by 2026, presenting a significant growth opportunity. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Geographic Expansion: While Kinsale already operates in all 50 states, there is potential to deepen its penetration in specific regions or target underserved markets. By focusing on states with favorable regulatory environments or high concentrations of specialized industries, Kinsale can expand its customer base and increase its premium volume. This targeted geographic expansion can contribute to sustained revenue growth. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Leveraging Technology: Investing in advanced technology solutions can enhance Kinsale's underwriting capabilities, improve operational efficiency, and enhance the customer experience. By implementing AI-powered risk assessment tools, automating claims processing, and developing user-friendly digital platforms, Kinsale can gain a competitive edge and reduce costs. The adoption of insurtech solutions is expected to accelerate in the coming years. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: Kinsale could pursue strategic acquisitions of smaller, specialized insurance companies or MGAs (Managing General Agents) to expand its product offerings, geographic reach, or distribution network. These acquisitions can provide access to new markets, talent, and technologies, accelerating Kinsale's growth trajectory. Careful due diligence and integration are crucial for successful acquisitions. Timeline: Ongoing.
  • Capitalizing on Market Disruption: The insurance industry is facing disruption from new technologies, changing customer expectations, and evolving regulatory landscapes. Kinsale can capitalize on these disruptions by adapting its business model, embracing innovation, and developing new solutions that address emerging market needs. This proactive approach can position Kinsale as a leader in the E&S market. Timeline: Ongoing.

What Are KNSL's Competitive Advantages?

  • Specialized Underwriting Expertise: Kinsale's deep understanding of the E&S market and its ability to accurately assess and price complex risks provide a competitive advantage.
  • Independent Broker Network: The company's established relationships with a broad network of independent brokers provide access to a wide range of specialized risks and distribution channels.
  • Efficient Operations: Kinsale's focus on operational efficiency and technology enables it to maintain lower costs and higher profit margins compared to its peers.
  • Strong Financial Performance: The company's consistent profitability and strong balance sheet provide a solid foundation for future growth and investment.

What Does KNSL Do?

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. was founded in 2009 and has quickly established itself as a prominent player in the specialty insurance market. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, the company focuses on providing property and casualty insurance products within the excess and surplus (E&S) lines segment. This market caters to risks that are either too complex or too specialized for standard insurance carriers. Kinsale's commercial lines offerings are diverse, including coverage for construction, small businesses, excess and general casualty, commercial property, allied health, life sciences, energy, environmental risks, healthcare, inland marine, public entities, and various liability lines such as product, professional, and management liability. The company operates across all 50 states, the District of Columbia, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, distributing its products exclusively through a network of independent insurance brokers. This broker-centric model allows Kinsale to access a wide range of specialized risks and maintain a flexible underwriting approach. Kinsale's strategy involves a focus on underwriting discipline, efficient claims management, and leveraging technology to streamline operations. This approach has enabled Kinsale to achieve strong profitability metrics compared to its peers, reflected in its robust profit margin of 27.5%.

What Products and Services Does KNSL Offer?

  • Provides property and casualty insurance products.
  • Focuses on the excess and surplus (E&S) lines market.
  • Offers commercial lines coverage for various industries.
  • Distributes products through a network of independent insurance brokers.
  • Operates in all 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
  • Underwrites specialized and complex risks.
  • Manages claims and provides risk management services.

How Does KNSL Make Money?

  • Underwrites and sells specialty insurance policies.
  • Generates revenue from premiums collected on these policies.
  • Manages risk through underwriting discipline and claims management.
  • Utilizes a network of independent brokers for distribution.

What Industry Does KNSL Operate In?

The property and casualty insurance industry is a large and competitive market, with the E&S segment representing a specialized niche. The E&S market caters to risks that standard insurance carriers are unwilling or unable to underwrite, such as unique or high-risk exposures. Kinsale Capital Group operates within this segment, benefiting from the increasing demand for specialized insurance solutions driven by evolving business risks and regulatory complexities. Competitors include larger, more diversified insurance companies like CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) and American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG), as well as other specialty insurers. The industry is influenced by factors such as interest rates, regulatory changes, and catastrophic events.

Who Are KNSL's Key Customers?

  • Businesses requiring specialized property and casualty insurance.
  • Industries with unique or high-risk exposures.
  • Clients who cannot obtain coverage from standard insurance carriers.
  • Small businesses, construction companies, healthcare providers, and other commercial entities.
Model self-rating on this text: 83% (not a measure of the evidence) Updated: May 10, 2026

Research confidence

High 100/100

Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.

  • Scored on 100% of our measures
  • Price is current
  • Latest filing 50 days ago
  • Covered by analysts

Why 86?

Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.

What is helping

  • +0.78 Return on invested capital (Business Quality)
  • +0.78 Return on assets (Business Quality)
  • +0.67 Return on equity (Business Quality)

What is holding it back

  • -0.30 Price to book (Valuation)
  • -0.25 Distance from the 52-week high (Momentum)
  • -0.17 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)

Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →

MoonshotScore History

Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots

2026-08-23 85
2026-08-26 85
2026-08-29 81
2026-09-01 86
2026-09-04 87
2026-09-07 86
2026-09-10 85

What changed?

The score has stayed at 85.

What moved it up or down:

  • +8 Financial Safety
  • -5 Momentum
  • +3 Valuation

Over the same 18 days the stock moved -6.2%.

Company Profile

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. operates in the Insurance - Property & Casualty industry within the Financial Services sector. It is headquartered in Richmond, US. The company is led by CEO Michael Kehoe. KNSL has traded publicly since 2016.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Financial Trajectory

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) reported $548.5M in revenue for Q2 FY2026, reflecting 17.5% growth compared to the prior quarter. The company recorded net income of $175.9M, with diluted EPS of $7.72. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Financial Services. Across the four most recent quarters, KNSL averaged $6.17 in diluted EPS.

How Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Is Valued

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. carries a market capitalization of $8.26B, placing it in the mid-cap category. Analyst price targets span from $339.00 to $514.00, with a consensus of $447.80. At the current price of $362.70, that implies approximately 23% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, KNSL's quantitative score of 86/100 is roughly in line with the peer average of 79/100.

ROE 28%

Key Financial Metrics

Return on equity for Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. stands at 28.0%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 8.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. KNSL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 14.65, below the Financial Services sector average of ~17.50x. Its free cash flow yield is 12.9%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 0.85 means current liabilities exceed short-term assets, a liquidity point worth watching. Its earnings yield is 6.8%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.

F-Score 6/9

Financial Health

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — a middling fundamental profile. Its Altman Z-Score of 2.14 places it in the grey zone, a middle ground that warrants monitoring.

8/8 beats

Earnings Track Record

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 8 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 11.1% above estimates on average.

Net selling

Insider Activity

Over the past six months, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. insiders filed 18 SEC Form 4 transactions — 12 sales and 6 purchases. On net that is roughly 22K shares disposed (about $6.8M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.

KNSL Financials

Fundamental Snapshot

Revenue Growth (FY)
+18.0%
Net Income Growth (FY)
+21.4%
EPS Growth (FY)
+21.4%
Free Cash Flow Growth (FY)
+4.0%
P/E (TTM)
14.65
Return on Equity (TTM)
+28.0%
Current Ratio
0.8
EV/EBITDA (TTM)
11.5

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025

Bull Case vs Bear Case

Bull Case

  • Strong underwriting discipline and expertise in the E&S market.
  • Efficient operations and cost management.
  • Established network of independent insurance brokers.
  • Consistent profitability and strong financial performance.

Bear Case

  • Reliance on independent brokers for distribution.
  • Exposure to catastrophic events and large losses.
  • Limited brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
  • Potential impact from economic downturns on premium volume.

AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026

Recent Quarterly Results

Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 FY2026 $549M $176M $7.72
Q1 FY2026 $467M $113M $4.88
Q4 FY2025 $483M $139M $5.99
Q3 FY2025 $498M $142M $6.09

Q2 FY2026 · filed 23 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →

Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis

KNSL Latest News

KNSL Analyst Consensus

Consensus Rating

Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for KNSL.

Price Targets

Low
$339.00
Consensus
$447.80
High
$514.00

Median: $453.00 (+23.5% from current price)

Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice

KNSL MoonshotScore

86/100

What does this score mean?

MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. KNSL scores 86/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Latest Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Analysis

Leadership: Michael Patrick Kehoe

CEO

Michael Patrick Kehoe serves as the CEO of Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. He has extensive experience in the property and casualty insurance industry. His career spans various leadership roles, focusing on specialty insurance markets. Kehoe's background includes a strong emphasis on underwriting, risk management, and business development. He has a proven track record of building and scaling insurance businesses. His leadership is pivotal in guiding Kinsale's strategic direction and maintaining its focus on underwriting discipline and operational efficiency.

Track Record: Under Kehoe's leadership, Kinsale Capital Group has achieved significant growth and profitability in the E&S market. He has overseen the expansion of the company's product offerings and geographic reach. Kehoe has also been instrumental in fostering a culture of innovation and efficiency within the organization. His strategic decisions have contributed to Kinsale's strong financial performance and market position.

Common Questions About KNSL (Financial Services)

What does the AI Score mean for KNSL?

KNSL holds an AI Score of 86/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company focused on the excess and surplus lines market.

Is KNSL a good stock?

Stock Expert AI does not rate KNSL buy, sell or hold. Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 86/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.

What do analysts say about KNSL stock?

Analyst consensus on Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) generally reflects a positive outlook, driven by the company's strong performance in the E&S market.

What are the main risks for KNSL?

The main risks for Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. include increased competition in the E&S market, which could put pressure on premium rates and market share.

What are the key factors to evaluate for KNSL?

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) holds a MoonshotScore of 86/100 (high). P/E: 14.65x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $447.80 (+23%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does KNSL data refresh on this page?

KNSL's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.

What has driven KNSL's recent stock price performance?

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong underwriting discipline and expertise in the E&S market. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider KNSL overvalued or undervalued right now?

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) trades at 14.65x earnings. Analysts target $447.80 (+23%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of KNSL?

Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Official Resources

Price as of Analysis updated MoonshotScore as of
Data Sources & Methodology
Market data powered by Financial Modeling Prep & Yahoo Finance. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.

Analysis Notes
  • Information is based on available data and may be subject to change.
  • Financial metrics are as of the latest reporting period.
Data Sources
Financial Modeling Prep (FMP)Stock Expert AI proprietary analysis

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