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National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) — MoonshotScore 63/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 5, 2026. Price $16.40 (0.00%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $1.31B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$16.40 $0.00 (0.00%) Market Cap $1.31B

National Vision Holdings, Inc. · EYE · NASDAQ

National Vision Holdings, Inc. is a leading optical retailer in the United States, operating through various store brands and e-commerce platforms. The company provides eyeglasses, contact lenses, eye exams, and related services.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

63 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · National Vision Holdings (EYE)

Fair
Business Quality Solid (60)
Financial Safety Sound (63)
Valuation Full (48)
Growth Durability Compounding (91)
Momentum Slipping (28)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Elite growth, though quality and the balance sheet are only decent, and the price trend has turned against it. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Sound; Valuation: Full; Growth Durability: Compounding; Momentum: Slipping.

  • quarterly revenue $499M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jul 2026)
  • EPS beat 8 of 8
  • Altman Z 2.01 · Piotroski F 8

Holding back: weak price trend

Helping: durable growth

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for EYE (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
59Fair
63Fair
63Fair
63Fair
64Fair
64Fair

The score was 63 in the stored Oct 4, 2026 snapshot and remains 63 in the current publication computed Oct 5, 2026 (0). This current publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$16.40
Change on the day0.00%
52-week range$14.75 – $30.02
Market capitalisation$1.31B
Price / earnings (trailing)25.85
Shares traded on the day2.11M

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for National Vision Holdings (EYE): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

9-Factor Breakdown

Revenue Growth Neutral
Gross Margin Neutral
Operating Leverage Neutral
Cash Runway Neutral
R&D Intensity Neutral
Insider Activity Moderate
Trading Liquidity Neutral
Price Momentum Negative
News Sentiment Neutral

Legends Council

4 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Neutral read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Neutral
Margin of Safety Undervalued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Neutral
Debt/Equity Weak
ROE Neutral
Gross Margin Moderate

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as undervalued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the EYE film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is National Vision Holdings (EYE), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 13,138 people and is led by Alexander N. Wilkes. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $499M and net income of $12M. The market values it at $1.31B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for National Vision Holdings (EYE)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $499M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 8 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$499M$12M$0.15 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$544M$31M$0.38 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$503M$3M$0.04 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$487M$3M$0.04 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for National Vision Holdings (EYE)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate durable growth as strengths. What is holding it back is weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 2.01 · Piotroski F 8. Trailing ratios: ROE 5.4% · ROA 2.3% · current ratio 0.62 · earnings yield 3.3% · free-cash-flow yield 7.5%.

4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at National Vision Holdings (EYE)?

Short answer · as of

Analyst estimates on file carry FY2027 revenue $2.06B · EPS 1.01 · 8 analysts. Current published price targets run low $21.00 · high $34.00 · consensus $27.20 · median $27.00 against a quoted price of $16.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does National Vision Holdings compare with its peers?

Short answer

National Vision Holdings's score ranks 1st of 2 in the bounded comparison shown, against 1 same-model peer. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
National Vision Holdings (EYE) — this page$16.40$1.31B63
The Cooper Companies, Inc. (COO) Named competitor$56.91 Oct 2, 2026$11.1B39 5-pillar Oct 5, 2026
ATRenew Inc. (RERE) Same industry, near in market value$3.70 Date unavailable$1.34B— Model unavailable
Liquidity Services, Inc. (LQDT) Same industry, near in market value$43.23 Date unavailable$1.35B— Model unavailable
Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) Same industry, near in market value$9.25 Date unavailable$1.42B— Model unavailable
Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV) Same industry, near in market value$20.75 Date unavailable$1.48B— Model unavailable
MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) Same industry, near in market value$52.33 Date unavailable$1.15B— Model unavailable
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) Same industry, near in market value$16.24 Date unavailable$1.55B— Model unavailable
Bob's Discount Furniture, Inc. (BOBS) Same industry, near in market value$14.19 Date unavailable$1.85B— Model unavailable
D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret A.S. (HEPS) Same industry, near in market value$2.44 Date unavailable$774M— Model unavailable
Rh (RH) Same industry, near in market value$120.46 Date unavailable$2.28B— Model unavailable
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Same industry, near in market value$38.68 Date unavailable$2.33B— Model unavailable
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) Same industry, near in market value$8.79 Date unavailable$2.68B— Model unavailable

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$21.00 – $34.00
Consensus target
$27.20
Median target
$27.00
Revenue estimate
$2.06B
EPS estimate
$1.01

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $16.40 (as of Oct 2, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Available records within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 8, 2026 (coverage not recorded)

Transactions
27
Identified insiders
13
Purchases
1
Sales
0
Other transactions
26

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about National Vision Holdings (EYE)?

Read these with our analysis →

What Investors Ask About National Vision Holdings (EYE)

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the EYE research dossier (written May 9, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for EYE?

EYE carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Fair band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is EYE a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate EYE buy, sell or hold. National Vision Holdings, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Fair band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the EYE stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) is $16.40, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the EYE price target?

The analyst consensus price target for National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) is $27.20 (range $21.00 to $34.00, median $27.00), per FMP data captured Oct 5, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

How does National Vision Holdings, Inc. manage supply chain and input cost risks?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. manages supply chain and input cost risks through a combination of strategic sourcing, inventory management, and pricing strategies. The company works closely with its suppliers to ensure a reliable supply of raw materials and finished goods.

What are the key factors to evaluate for EYE?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) holds a MoonshotScore in the moderate range. P/E: 25.85x. Analysts target $27.20 (+66%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does EYE data refresh on this page?

EYE's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven EYE's recent stock price performance?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Large network of retail stores. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider EYE overvalued or undervalued right now?

National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) trades at 25.85x earnings. Analysts target $27.20 (+66%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (25 figures)

The 25 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$16.40FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T21:14:27.763Z.
px.changeChange on the day0.00%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$1.31BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:01.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T21:14:26.638Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars$0.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$499MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)25.85FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day2.11MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026$12MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $21.00 · high $34.00 · consensus $27.20 · median $27.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$21.00 – $34.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$27.20FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$27.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 5, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP27 transactions · 1 purchases, 0 sales, 26 other transactions · 13 identified insiders · available records within the last 180 days, newest dated Sep 8, 2026 (coverage not recorded)FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 9 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 8 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-27 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 2.01 · Piotroski F 8UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$14.75 – $30.02UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-05
id.employeesEmployees13,138UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-05
id.ceoChief executiveAlexander N. WilkesUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-05
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 5.4% · ROA 2.3% · current ratio 0.62 · earnings yield 3.3% · free-cash-flow yield 7.5%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown
earn.estimatesAnalyst estimates, next fiscal yearFY2027 revenue $2.06B · EPS 1.01 · 8 analystsUNRECORDEDStored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-09-30 · Expired observation
earn.est_revenueRevenue estimate, FY2027$2.06BUNRECORDEDStored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-09-30 · Expired observation
earn.est_epsEPS estimate, FY2027$1.01UNRECORDEDStored analyst estimates — Captured 2026-09-30 · Expired observation

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v263 of 100 · Fair · pillars 60 / 63 / 48 / 91 / 28OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement63 (stored snapshot Oct 4, 2026) → 63 (current publication computed Oct 5, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots — The current score publication is not yet represented in the immutable snapshot archive.
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.