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Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) Stock: Price, Forecast & Analyst Target

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) — MoonshotScore 59/100 (Fair band), calculated Oct 26, 2026. Price $63.99 (-4.31%), as of the Oct 23, 2026 trading session; market cap $1.28B.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$63.99 −$2.88 (-4.31%) Market Cap $1.28B

Turning Point Brands, Inc. · TPB · NYSE

Turning Point Brands, Inc. manufactures and distributes branded consumer products, including rolling papers, moist snuff, and vapor products. The company operates through three segments: Zig-Zag Products, Stoker's Products, and NewGen Products.

Price as of Oct 23, 2026

Key Statistics

59 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · Turning Point Brands (TPB)

Fair
Business Quality Solid (73)
Financial Safety Sound (78)
Valuation Rich (30)
Growth Durability Compounding (85)
Momentum Slipping (27)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

High quality, a strong balance sheet and durable growth, but a full valuation, and the price trend has turned against it. The score also carries a risk penalty for reported profit not backed by cash flow. Business Quality: Solid; Financial Safety: Sound; Valuation: Rich; Growth Durability: Compounding; Momentum: Slipping.

Enterprise value relative to free cash flow is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers.

  • quarterly revenue $143M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
  • EPS beat 6 of 8
  • Altman Z 3.80 · Piotroski F 5

Holding back: a rich price, weak price trend

Helping: business quality, balance-sheet strength, durable growth

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for TPB (42 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
57Fair
59Fair
58Fair
60Fair
60Fair
59Fair

The score was 59 in the stored Oct 24, 2026 snapshot and remains 59 in the current publication computed Oct 26, 2026 (0).

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$63.99
Change on the day-4.31%
52-week range$54.17 – $146.90
Market capitalisation$1.28B
Price / earnings (trailing)26.89
Shares traded on the day238.0K

Price & events

Council Score · weighted blend of 2 available disciplines

Council score for Turning Point Brands (TPB): Bullish Lean

61/100 · B+

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

5-Factor Breakdown

Growth Durability Strong
Momentum Weak
Business Quality Moderate
Financial Safety Moderate
Valuation Weak

Legends Council

3 lenses, 3 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Griffin-style lens (simulated) Ken Griffin Favorable read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Favorable read

Read on: Oct 26, 2026

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Moderate
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Neutral
Revenue Growth Strong
Debt/Equity Weak
ROE Moderate
Gross Margin Moderate

Read on: Sep 10, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Sep 10, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 27, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the TPB film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is Turning Point Brands (TPB), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) is listed on NYSE. It employs 484 people and is led by David Glazek. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $143M and net income of $4M. The market values it at $1.28B.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for Turning Point Brands (TPB)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $143M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 6 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$143M$4M$0.18 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$124M$12M$0.60 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$121M$8M$0.42 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$119M$21M$1.13 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for Turning Point Brands (TPB)?

Short answer

The MoonshotScore pillars rate business quality, balance-sheet strength, durable growth as strengths. What is holding it back is a rich price, weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z 3.80 · Piotroski F 5. Trailing ratios: ROE 11.9% · ROA 5.2% · current ratio 5.67 · earnings yield 3.3% · free-cash-flow yield 1.5%.

4 · What to check next?

What should you watch next at Turning Point Brands (TPB)?

Short answer · as of

Current published price targets run low $90.00 · high $125.00 · consensus $111.50 · median $115.50 against a quoted price of $63.99 (as of Oct 23, 2026).

What the records here don't tell us

  • No forward revenue or earnings estimate is on file.
  • The next earnings date is not yet scheduled in the calendar we read.

Checked against the records this page reads, on the dates shown above.

5 · Peer comparison

How does Turning Point Brands compare with its peers?

Short answer

Turning Point Brands's score ranks tied for 5th of 6 in the bounded comparison shown, against 5 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Named competitor$201.87 Oct 26, 2026$315B90 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) Named competitor$73.62 Oct 26, 2026$124B90 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BTI) Same industry, near in market value$60.10 Oct 26, 2026$128B81 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
RLX Technology Inc. (RLX) Same industry, near in market value$1.65 Oct 26, 2026$1.97B67 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026
Turning Point Brands (TPB) — this page$63.99$1.28B59
Universal Corporation (UVV) Named competitor$38.96 Oct 26, 2026$978M59 5-pillar Oct 26, 2026

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

The records behind this page

Analyst targets & estimates

What analysts have on file

Price target, low to high
$90.00 – $125.00
Consensus target
$111.50
Median target
$115.50

Consensus record · Captured .

Measured against a quoted price of $63.99 (as of Oct 23, 2026).

Insider activity

Form 4 records via FMP · Of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated May 12, 2026

Transactions
9
Identified insiders
9
Purchases
0
Sales
1
Other transactions
8

Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

What has been published about Turning Point Brands (TPB)?

Read these with our analysis →

Investor Questions: TPB Stock

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the TPB research dossier (written May 9, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for TPB?

TPB carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Fair band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Turning Point Brands, Inc. manufactures and distributes branded consumer products, including rolling papers, moist snuff, and vapor products.

Is TPB a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate TPB buy, sell or hold. Turning Point Brands, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore, in the Fair band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the TPB stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) is $63.99, as of the Oct 23, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What is the TPB price target?

The analyst consensus price target for Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) is $111.50 (range $90.00 to $125.00, median $115.50), per FMP data captured Oct 26, 2026. Targets are analyst opinions and change often; they are not a Stock Expert AI forecast.

What does Turning Point Brands, Inc. do?

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) is a manufacturer, marketer, and distributor of branded consumer products, primarily focused on the tobacco and alternative smoking industries.

What are the key factors to evaluate for TPB?

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) holds a MoonshotScore in the moderate range. P/E: 26.89x. Analysts target $111.50 (+74%). Not financial advice.

How frequently does TPB data refresh on this page?

TPB's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 23, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven TPB's recent stock price performance?

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Strong brand recognition (Zig-Zag, Stoker's). See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider TPB overvalued or undervalued right now?

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB) trades at 26.89x earnings. Analysts target $111.50 (+74%) — upside seen. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (23 figures)

The 23 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 14 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$63.99FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-26T12:24:38.260Z.
px.changeChange on the day-4.31%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$1.28BFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-23. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-23T20:00:02.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-26T12:24:36.593Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$2.88FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$143MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)26.89FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day238.0KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026$4MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed
earn.ptStored analyst price targetslow $90.00 · high $125.00 · consensus $111.50 · median $115.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_rangeAnalyst price target, low to high$90.00 – $125.00FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_consensusConsensus analyst price target$111.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
earn.pt_medianMedian analyst price target$115.50FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · price-target consensus — Captured Oct 26, 2026 · Coverage not supplied
own.insidersInsider transactions via FMP9 transactions · 0 purchases, 1 sales, 8 other transactions · 9 identified insiders · of the newest 100 records, those within the last 180 days, newest dated May 12, 2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP), carrying Form 4 transaction records — Purchases and sales use the reported transaction category. Other transactions include awards, exercises, gifts, withholding and unclassified activity; an acquisition or disposition alone is not a purchase or sale. These records do not establish intent.

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 6 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-10-19 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z 3.80 · Piotroski F 5UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-24 · Expired observation
px.range5252-week range$54.17 – $146.90UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-19 · Expired observation
id.employeesEmployees484UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-19 · Expired observation
id.ceoChief executiveDavid GlazekUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-10-19 · Expired observation
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 11.9% · ROA 5.2% · current ratio 5.67 · earnings yield 3.3% · free-cash-flow yield 1.5%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 3 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v259 of 100 · Fair · pillars 73 / 78 / 30 / 85 / 27OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.valuation_driverRecorded valuation score driverEnterprise value relative to free cash flow is the main valuation drag relative to sector peers.OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine · stored factor contributions
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement59 (stored snapshot Oct 24, 2026) → 59 (current publication computed Oct 26, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.