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TH International Limited (THCH) Stock Price & Analysis

TH International Limited (THCH) — MoonshotScore 20/100 (Weak band), calculated Oct 4, 2026. Price $1.16 (-12.12%), as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session; market cap $37.2M.

Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this

$1.16 −$0.16 (-12.12%) Market Cap $37.2M

TH International Limited · THCH · NASDAQ

TH International Limited operates Tim Hortons coffee shops in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau.

Price as of Oct 2, 2026

Key Statistics

20 of 100

MoonshotScore v2 · TH International (THCH)

Weak
Business Quality Poor (7)
Financial Safety Fragile (5)
Valuation Bubble (1)
Growth Durability Flat (45)
Momentum Falling (17)
Why this rating? Method, drivers & history

Bands for the MoonshotScore: Exceptional 80-100 · Strong 65-79 · Fair 45-64 · Weak below 45.

  • Business Quality — Is this a genuinely good business?
  • Financial Safety — Could this blow up on me?
  • Valuation — Am I paying a fair price?
  • Growth Durability — Is the growth real and likely to last?
  • Momentum — Is the market already moving on this?
The ten-second read ·

Bottom-tier quality, a fragile balance sheet and an expensive valuation, though growth is only middling, and the price trend has turned against it. Business Quality: Poor; Financial Safety: Fragile; Valuation: Bubble; Growth Durability: Flat; Momentum: Falling.

  • quarterly revenue $41M (Q2 FY2026, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026)
  • EPS beat 0 of 8
  • Altman Z -5.62 · Piotroski F 4

Holding back: weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, weak price trend

What has the MoonshotScore done over time?

MoonshotScore snapshots recorded for THCH (29 recorded, newest six shown)
RecordedScoreBand
21Weak
20Weak
21Weak
21Weak
20Weak
20Weak

The score was 20 in the stored Oct 3, 2026 snapshot and remains 20 in the current publication computed Oct 4, 2026 (0).

Calculation uses the most recent completed US trading session. Live price changes do not update the score immediately.

Computed · Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How the MoonshotScore is computed →

Price & valuation

Dates shown where recorded
MeasureValueAs of
Latest provided price$1.16
Change on the day-12.12%
52-week range$1.09 – $3.25
Market capitalisation$37.2M
Price / earnings (trailing)-0.37
Shares traded on the day53.6K

Price & events

Other perspectives

Council score for TH International (THCH): perspectives

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

9-Factor Breakdown

Revenue Growth Neutral
Gross Margin Moderate
Operating Leverage Neutral
Cash Runway Neutral
R&D Intensity Neutral
Insider Activity Moderate
Trading Liquidity Neutral
Price Momentum Negative
News Sentiment Neutral

Legends Council

4 lenses, 0 current

AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built

Dalio-style lens (simulated) Ray Dalio Favorable read
Englander-style lens (simulated) Izzy Englander Neutral read
Klarman-style lens (simulated) Seth Klarman Unfavorable read
Moon AI lens (model) Neutral read

Read on: Sep 9, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

Munger's Mindset

Balance Sheet & Valuation · historical

Financial Health Weak
Margin of Safety Fairly Valued
Profit Margin Weak
Revenue Growth Negative
Debt/Equity Strong
ROE Strong
Gross Margin Weak

Read on: Apr 30, 2026 · older than the 27 hours refresh window; not a current reading

How to read these bars and different assessments

Council is a separate blend of available disciplines; MoonshotScore above remains the five-pillar research rating.

Bars show each model's ordered assessment on its own scale, not a probability or a comparable investment return. The adjacent words give the assessment; more filled segments indicate a stronger model reading.

On Apr 30, 2026, the Munger lens read the price at that time as fairly valued against its own estimate of value.

Readings on this page are from Oct 5, 2026, except a card that shows its own read date.

Watch the THCH film — every key number, told as a short cinematic story

~2 min · open the film

1 · What is it?

What is TH International (THCH), and what does it report?

Short answer · as of

A current FMP business description is unavailable; the listing and provider classification below are the available identity facts. TH International Limited (THCH) is listed on NASDAQ. It employs 1,544 people and is led by Kwok Wah Cheung. In Q2 FY2026 it reported revenue of $41M and net income of -$14M. The market values it at $37.2M.

2 · Latest results

What do the latest results show for TH International (THCH)?

Short answer · as of

The most recent reported quarter, Q2 FY2026, carried revenue of $41M. Against analyst estimates the company has EPS beat 0 of 8 reports.

Quarterly income statement — 4 quarters
Revenue, net income and earnings per share by quarter (converted from CNY)
PeriodRevenueNet incomeEPS
Q2 FY2026$41M-$14M-$0.45 (diluted)
Q1 FY2026$38M-$16M-$0.50 (diluted)
Q4 FY2025$45M-$34M-$1.03 (diluted)
Q3 FY2025$53M-$11M-$0.33 (diluted)
3 · Financial strengths and risks

What are the financial strengths and risks for TH International (THCH)?

Short answer

What is holding it back is weak fundamentals, balance-sheet strain, a rich price, weak price trend. The distress and quality screens read Altman Z -5.62 · Piotroski F 4. Trailing ratios: ROE 40.2% · ROA -49.1% · current ratio 0.28 · earnings yield -175.2% · free-cash-flow yield -23.5%.

Data-derived red flags

  • Financial-distress signal — its Altman Z-Score of -5.62 sits in the distress zone (elevated bankruptcy risk).
  • Inconsistent delivery — missed Wall Street EPS estimates in 8 of the last 8 reported quarters.
5 · Peer comparison

How does TH International compare with its peers?

Short answer

TH International's score ranks 13th of 13 in the bounded comparison shown, against 12 same-model peers. These are company scores, not expected investment returns. The set lists named competitors first, then companies in the same data-provider industry classification closest in market value; that classification is the provider's, not our judgment of business similarity.

Peer set — price, market value and MoonshotScore
CompanyPriceMarket valueScore
Rave Restaurant Group, Inc. (RAVE) Same industry, near in market value$2.31 Oct 2, 2026$32.8M81 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
BDL (BDL) Same industry, near in market value$46.51 Oct 2, 2026$86.5M77 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Good Times Restaurants Inc. (GTIM) Same industry, near in market value$1.50 Oct 2, 2026$15.8M64 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Named competitor$94.71 Oct 2, 2026$108B60 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. (RICK) Same industry, near in market value$26.62 Oct 2, 2026$204M54 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) Same industry, near in market value$12.45 Oct 2, 2026$237M50 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Dine Brands Global, Inc. (DIN) Same industry, near in market value$29.92 Oct 2, 2026$380M44 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) Same industry, near in market value$3.51 Oct 2, 2026$254M39 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) Same industry, near in market value$7.95 Oct 2, 2026$147M36 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) Same industry, near in market value$1.56 Oct 2, 2026$49.2M32 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
Noodles & Company (NDLS) Same industry, near in market value$13.40 Oct 2, 2026$80.0M32 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
MasterBeef Group (MB) Same industry, near in market value$3.91 Oct 2, 2026$67.1M31 5-pillar Oct 4, 2026
TH International (THCH) — this page$1.16$37.2M20

Only 5-pillar scores are ranked together. Other models are not directly comparable. Price and score dates are shown separately; market-value dates are unavailable.

What has been published about TH International (THCH)?

Read these with our analysis →

What Investors Ask About TH International (THCH)

These answers are editorial: 1 of these 9 answers is drawn from the THCH research dossier (written May 7, 2026 by gemini-2.0-flash); the other 8 are question templates that restate figures shown above. Figures in this section are not part of the source register.

What does the MoonshotScore mean for THCH?

THCH carries the MoonshotScore stated above — the Weak band. This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.

Is THCH a good stock to buy?

Stock Expert AI does not rate THCH buy, sell or hold. TH International Limited carries a MoonshotScore, in the Weak band, a research rating against its peers rather than a forecast. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns and what the price assumes. This is educational content, not investment advice.

What is the THCH stock price today?

The last price recorded on this page for TH International Limited (THCH) is $1.16, as of the Oct 2, 2026 trading session (source: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote). It is a provider snapshot, not a live exchange feed, so check a brokerage quote before you trade.

What does TH International Limited do?

TH International Limited operates Tim Hortons coffee shops in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. As a subsidiary of Tim Hortons Inc., the company focuses on bringing the established Canadian coffee and baked goods brand to the Chinese market.

What are the key factors to evaluate for THCH?

TH International Limited (THCH) holds a MoonshotScore in the low range. This includes introducing new coffee flavors, tea options, and food items that appeal to local tastes. Not financial advice.

How frequently does THCH data refresh on this page?

THCH's price is the last quote we recorded, from the Oct 2, 2026 trading session. Pages are served from a cache, so the copy you are reading can lag that quote. The quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals follow quarterly filings. V2 is recalculated from the most recent completed US trading session; the score's own date shows its last successful run.

What has driven THCH's recent stock price performance?

TH International Limited (THCH) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Established brand recognition of Tim Hortons. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.

Should investors consider THCH overvalued or undervalued right now?

TH International Limited (THCH) is loss-making, so its trailing P/E is negative (-0.37x) and not usable for valuation — lean on price-to-sales and cash flow in the Financials tab. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.

Can I buy fractional shares of THCH?

Fractional-share availability for TH International Limited (THCH) depends on your brokerage, account and supported securities. Check the broker's current eligibility, minimums and fees before placing an order.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.

Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 7, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief.

Sources — records for every figure on this page (17 figures)

The 17 rows below are exactly the facts the evidence-backed sections of this page printed — the 10-second verdict, the MoonshotScore, price and market value, the five questions with their receipts, and the records behind this page. Known dates and sources are recorded on their own rows; an em dash or UNRECORDED tier preserves a stored observation without inventing either. The quarterly income statement is provider-standardized (FMP) under one row, and scale definitions — a 0-100 rating, the band ladder, the Piotroski 0–9 range — are fixed rather than measured. No number in those sections was generated by a model. The register does not cover quoted third-party headlines, the dated council readings, or the Frequently Asked Questions; each of those says where it came from where it stands.

"As of" is the date the value is true for where the source carries one — a quarter end, a filing date, a price close, the day the score was computed. A cached observation with no source date remains undated; the page publication date is not used as a substitute.

FMP — 9 facts from Financial Modeling Prep endpoint families

FMP facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
px.lastLatest provided price$1.16FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Dated to the US trading session the price belongs to, derived from the quote record's timestamp (weekend and pre-open reads roll back to the previous weekday; exchange holidays are not modelled). The record does not establish an exchange execution time. Retrieved 2026-10-04T10:35:09.088Z.
px.changeChange on the day-12.12%FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.mcapMarket capitalisation$37.2MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote — Date unknown Market cap record date: 2026-10-02. FMP quote timestamp: 2026-10-02T20:00:00.000Z. Captured from FMP at 2026-10-04T10:35:07.750Z. No share-count basis is inferred; this page preserves the reported amount instead of recalculating it from shares.
px.change_absChange on the day, in dollars−$0.16FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_revenueRevenue, Q2 FY2026$41MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
px.pePrice / earnings (trailing)-0.37FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
px.volumeShares traded on the day53.6KFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · quote
fin.q_incomeNet income, Q2 FY2026-$14MFMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly)
fin.q_tableQuarterly income statement4 quarters through Q2 FY2026FMPFinancial Modeling Prep (FMP) · income statement (quarterly), as filed

UNRECORDED — 6 facts from stored observations whose source was not recorded

UNRECORDED facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
earn.historyReported versus estimated, recent quartersEPS beat 0 of 8UNRECORDEDStored earnings-history observation — Captured 2026-09-29 · Expired observation
fin.scoresDistress and quality screensAltman Z -5.62 · Piotroski F 4UNRECORDEDStored financial-scores observation — Captured 2026-10-04
px.range5252-week range$1.09 – $3.25UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
id.employeesEmployees1,544UNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
id.ceoChief executiveKwok Wah CheungUNRECORDEDStored company-profile observation — Captured 2026-09-29
fin.ratiosReturn and yield ratios (trailing twelve months)ROE 40.2% · ROA -49.1% · current ratio 0.28 · earnings yield -175.2% · free-cash-flow yield -23.5%—UNRECORDEDStored key metrics — Date unknown

OURS — 2 facts from Stock Expert AI's own score and rank

OURS facts used on this page
Fact IDFactValue as shownAs ofTierSource
ours.moonshotMoonshotScore v220 of 100 · Weak · pillars 7 / 5 / 1 / 45 / 17OURSStock Expert AI MoonshotScore v2 engine
ours.moonshot_changeMoonshotScore movement20 (stored snapshot Oct 3, 2026) → 20 (current publication computed Oct 4, 2026) (0)OURSStock Expert AI current score publication and immutable score snapshots
Published
Research standards
Methodology · Editorial policy · Corrections
Data Sources & Methodology
Figures come from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP). If FMP has no figure for a ticker, a price or fundamental may come from a Yahoo Finance fallback, or a price from an Alpaca fallback. SEC EDGAR is used only for filing links and company identity details (legal name, address), never for figures. AI analysis by Stock Expert AI proprietary algorithms. Technical indicators via industry-standard calculations. Last updated: .
Data Provenance
Sources: Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) — Primary · Yahoo Finance — Fallback · Alpaca — Tertiary
Last fetched:
Cache TTL: Quote 5min · Profile 7d · Financials 7d · Insider 48h
How we use AI: Numbers are pulled directly from FMP & Yahoo Finance — our AI writes the analysis, it never edits the figures.
Data provided as-is for educational purposes. Not financial advice. Methodology

Data provided for informational purposes only.