Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) Stock Analysis
Educational signal · not a buy or sell recommendation · How to read this
P/E 18.78 means the share price is 18.78 times one year of earnings per share; the S&P 500 usually sits near 20-25. Market cap $2.18B is the value of all shares combined. Beta 1.34: the stock has moved about 34% more than the S&P 500.
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Machine-generated analysis by Stock Expert AI — model gemini-2.0-flash, generated May 9, 2026. Editorial oversight is systemic, not page-by-page. Editorially accountable: Sedat ANAK, Founder and Editor-in-Chief. Data sources: Financial Modeling Prep, Yahoo Finance, SEC EDGAR
Quick AnswerMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) trades at $121.55 with MoonshotScore 93/100 (Grade A+). Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. owns and operates casino resort properties. Market cap: $2.18B, Sector: Consumer cyclical.
Price as of Sep 11, 2026 · Last analyzed: May 9, 2026MCRI stock analysis for 2026: Analysts have set a consensus price target of $122.00 for Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., suggesting 0.4% upside from the current price of $121.55. The AI MoonshotScore is 93/100, in the Exceptional band (80-100) — a research signal, not a recommendation. Key factors: analyst coverage, AI-driven quantitative scoring.
These figures come from statements filed 12 months ago — the most recent this company has published.
MCRI: 3/3 scored disciplines lean bullish. Dominant signal: Financial Safety strong.
How is this calculated? →Strongest side: Financial Safety (10/10, Strong). Weakest side: Valuation (5/10, Neutral).
AI simulations built from the named investors' published principles. Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or the opinion of these individuals. How these lenses are built
Why this analysis is different
- A sector-relative MoonshotScore — five pillars (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum) re-ranked nightly against the full universe of US-listed common stocks.
- An AI Council read across up to eight perspectives — value, macro, quantitative, and momentum lenses — that shows where they disagree instead of averaging the tension away.
- Figures come straight from FMP and Yahoo Finance filings data. The AI writes the narrative around the numbers — it never edits the numbers.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) Consumer Business Overview
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. operates in the regional casino and resort market, distinguishing itself through its Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno and Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk. The company focuses on delivering comprehensive gaming, dining, and lodging experiences, capitalizing on regional tourism and gaming demand.
What Is the Investment Thesis for MCRI?
With a P/E ratio of 18.78 and a profit margin of 19.6%, the company showcases solid profitability. The expansion and upgrade of the Black Hawk property should continue to drive revenue growth. A dividend yield of 1.01% provides a modest income stream. However, investors should monitor the competitive landscape and economic conditions, which could impact consumer spending and gaming revenue. The company's beta of 1.34 indicates higher volatility compared to the market.
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
MCRI Key Highlights
Market Cap of $2.18B reflects its established presence in the regional casino market.
- P/E Ratio of 18.78 indicates a reasonable valuation relative to earnings.
- Profit Margin of 19.6% demonstrates efficient operations and profitability.
- Gross Margin of 51.6% highlights strong pricing power and cost management.
- Dividend Yield of 1.01% provides a modest return to shareholders.
Who Are MCRI's Competitors?
MCRI is benchmarked below against 8 industry peers on price, market cap, and our AI MoonshotScore.
| Company | Price | Change | Market Cap | MoonshotScore |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation | $76.45 | +1.38% | $5.55B | 715-pillar |
| VICI VICI Properties | $24.73 | -1.90% | $27.2B | 865-pillar |
| PENN PENN Entertainment, Inc. | $17.64 | +3.10% | $2.36B | — |
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery PLC | $10.66 | -4.15% | $1.96B | — |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited | $5.01 | -0.99% | $1.95B | 375-pillar |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | $39.82 | +1.58% | $3.13B | 725-pillar |
| PYTCF Playtech plc | $5.45 | 0.00% | $1.51B | 579-signal |
| RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | $54.97 | +0.51% | $3.21B | 635-pillar |
AI Score by Stock Expert AI · Price data: FMP / Yahoo Finance This table mixes two scoring engines — compare a number only with others carrying the same tag.
What Are MCRI's Key Strengths?
Prime locations in Reno and Black Hawk.
- High-quality facilities and amenities.
- Strong brand recognition.
- Loyal customer base.
What Are MCRI's Weaknesses?
Geographic concentration in two markets.
- Dependence on regional tourism.
- Exposure to economic cycles.
- Limited online gaming presence.
What Could Drive MCRI Stock Higher?
Continued revenue growth from the expanded Black Hawk property.
- Increased tourism in Reno and Black Hawk boosting visitation.
- Potential new marketing campaigns targeting specific customer segments.
- Continued operational efficiencies improving profit margins.
What Are the Key Risks for MCRI?
Insider selling — insiders were net sellers of roughly $14.5M recently.
- Economic downturns reducing consumer discretionary spending.
- Increased competition from new casino developments.
- Changes in gaming regulations impacting operations.
- Natural disasters disrupting operations.
- Dependence on regional tourism trends.
What Are the Growth Opportunities for MCRI?
- Expansion and Enhancement of Black Hawk Property: The completed expansion of the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk, including the addition of hotel rooms, restaurants, and casino space, is expected to drive revenue growth. The enhanced amenities attract a broader customer base and increase per-customer spending. The market size for casino resorts in Colorado is estimated to grow as tourism increases, providing a favorable environment for Monarch. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Strategic Investments in Reno's Atlantis Casino Resort Spa: Continuous upgrades and expansions at the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno can attract more visitors and increase revenue. By enhancing the gaming floor, adding new dining options, and improving the hotel experience, Monarch can maintain its competitive edge in the Reno market. The Reno-Sparks Convention and Visitors Authority projects increased tourism, benefiting Monarch. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Leveraging Loyalty Programs and Customer Data: Implementing and refining loyalty programs to better understand and cater to customer preferences can drive repeat business and increase customer lifetime value. By analyzing customer data, Monarch can personalize offers and promotions, enhancing the overall customer experience. The market for loyalty programs in the casino industry is growing, with companies investing in data analytics to improve customer engagement. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Capitalizing on Regional Tourism Trends: By aligning marketing efforts with regional tourism trends and events, Monarch can attract a larger audience to its properties. This includes promoting the resorts as destinations for both leisure and business travelers. The growth in regional tourism, particularly in the Reno and Black Hawk areas, presents a significant opportunity for Monarch to increase occupancy rates and gaming revenue. Timeline: Ongoing.
- Exploring Online Gaming Opportunities: While Monarch's primary focus is on physical properties, exploring opportunities in online gaming and sports betting could provide an additional revenue stream. As regulations evolve, Monarch can consider partnerships or develop its own online platforms to reach a broader audience. The online gaming market is experiencing rapid growth, offering a potential avenue for expansion. Timeline: Future.
What Opportunities Does MCRI Have?
- Expansion of online gaming offerings.
- Further development of existing properties.
- Strategic acquisitions of complementary businesses.
- Increased marketing efforts to attract new customers.
What Are MCRI's Competitive Advantages?
- Strategic locations in Reno and Black Hawk.
- High-quality amenities and customer service.
- Established brand reputation.
- Loyalty programs that drive repeat business.
What Does MCRI Do?
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada. The company owns and operates two major casino resort properties: the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The Atlantis Casino Resort Spa features approximately 61,000 square feet of casino space, 818 guest rooms and suites, eight food outlets, two gourmet coffee and pastry bars, a 30,000 square-foot health spa and salon, two retail outlets, an 8,000 square-foot family entertainment center, and approximately 52,000 square feet of banquet, convention, and meeting room space. The casino includes approximately 1,400 slot and video poker machines, 37 table games, a race and sports book, a 24-hour live keno lounge, and a poker room. The Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk features approximately 60,000 square feet of casino space, 1,100 slot machines, 40 table games, 10 bars and lounges, four dining options, 516 guest rooms and suites, banquet and meeting room space, a retail store, a concierge lounge, an upscale spa and pool facility, and a nine-story parking structure. Monarch focuses on providing a high-quality experience to its customers through its diverse amenities and strategic locations.
What Products and Services Does MCRI Offer?
- Owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada.
- Owns and operates the Monarch Casino Resort Spa in Black Hawk, Colorado.
- Provides casino gaming with slot machines and table games.
- Offers hotel accommodations with guest rooms and suites.
- Operates food and beverage outlets, including restaurants and bars.
- Provides spa and salon services.
- Offers banquet, convention, and meeting room space.
- Provides retail outlets for clothing and gift shop merchandise.
How Does MCRI Make Money?
- Generates revenue through casino gaming operations.
- Earns revenue from hotel room rentals.
- Generates revenue from food and beverage sales.
- Earns revenue from spa and retail services.
What Industry Does MCRI Operate In?
Monarch Casino & Resort operates within the gambling and casino industry, which is characterized by regional competition and sensitivity to economic cycles. The industry is seeing growth in online gaming, but Monarch's focus remains on its physical properties. The competitive landscape includes large national casino chains as well as smaller regional operators. Monarch differentiates itself through its focus on high-quality amenities and strategic locations in Reno and Black Hawk. The industry is subject to regulatory oversight and changing consumer preferences.
Who Are MCRI's Key Customers?
- Leisure travelers seeking entertainment and relaxation.
- Business travelers attending conventions and meetings.
- Local residents seeking gaming and dining experiences.
- Tourists visiting Reno and Black Hawk.
Research confidence
Broad, current evidence sits behind this analysis.
- ● Scored on 97% of our measures
- ● Price is current
- ● Latest filing 45 days ago
- ● Covered by analysts
Why 93?
Measured against companies in the same sector. The figures below are the factor contributions the scoring engine itself produced.
What is helping
- +0.60 Bankruptcy-risk score (Financial Strength)
- +0.51 Net margin (Business Quality)
- +0.44 Operating margin (Business Quality)
What is holding it back
- -0.13 Enterprise value vs sales (Valuation)
- -0.10 Price to book (Valuation)
- -0.08 Volatility vs the market (Financial Strength)
Contribution = how far the company sits from its sector on that measure, weighted by how much the pillar counts. Not investment advice. How the score is built →
MoonshotScore History
Recorded daily since 2026-08-23 · 19 snapshots
| 2026-08-23 | 93 |
| 2026-08-26 | 93 |
| 2026-08-29 | 93 |
| 2026-09-01 | 92 |
| 2026-09-04 | 92 |
| 2026-09-07 | 92 |
| 2026-09-10 | 92 |
What changed?
The grade moved from 93 to 92 (-1).
What moved it up or down:
- -7 Valuation
- -3 Growth Durability
- -1 Business Quality
Held back by:
- +3 Financial Safety
- +1 Momentum
Over the same 18 days the stock moved -4.6%.
Insider Activity
Over the past six months, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. insiders filed 17 SEC Form 4 transactions — 9 sales and 8 purchases. On net that is roughly 150K shares disposed (about $14.5M), a signal worth weighing alongside the fundamentals.
Quarterly Financial Performance: Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.
Revenue for Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. came in at $142.6M during Q2 FY2026, a 4.4% improvement versus the preceding quarter. The company recorded net income of $32.5M, with diluted EPS of $1.78. Quarter-over-quarter revenue has been mixed, typical for a mid-cap company operating in Consumer Cyclical. Across the four most recent quarters, MCRI averaged $1.55 in diluted EPS.
MCRI Valuation & Market Position
With a $2.18B market cap, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. sits in the mid-cap segment of the market. Analyst price targets span from $114.00 to $128.00, with a consensus of $122.00. At the current price of $121.55, that implies approximately 0% upside potential. Relative to its peer group, MCRI's quantitative score of 93/100 is above the peer average of 64/100.
Key Financial Metrics
Return on equity for Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. stands at 20.6%, a gauge of how efficiently it converts shareholder capital into profit. Return on assets is 15.5%, showing how much profit it generates from its asset base. MCRI trades at a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 18.78, below the Consumer Cyclical sector average of ~32.70x. Its free cash flow yield is 7.0%, a gauge of the cash the business throws off relative to its market value. A current ratio of 1.21 indicates the company holds enough short-term assets to cover its near-term obligations. Its earnings yield is 5.2%, the inverse of the P/E and a quick read on earnings relative to price.
Financial Health
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.'s Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, a 9-point checklist of profitability, leverage and efficiency — signaling solid underlying fundamentals. Its Altman Z-Score of 10.50 places it in the safe zone, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
Earnings Track Record
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. has beaten Wall Street's EPS estimate in 6 of its last 8 reported quarters — a consistent record of delivering on expectations. Reported results have landed about 10.0% above estimates on average.
Company Profile
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. operates in the Gambling, Resorts & Casinos industry within the Consumer Cyclical sector. It is headquartered in Reno, US. The company is led by CEO John Farahi. MCRI has traded publicly since 1993.
MCRI Financials
Fundamental Snapshot
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis · FY 2025
Bull Case vs Bear Case
Bull Case
- Prime locations in Reno and Black Hawk.
- High-quality facilities and amenities.
- Strong brand recognition.
- Loyal customer base.
Bear Case
- Geographic concentration in two markets.
- Dependence on regional tourism.
- Exposure to economic cycles.
- Limited online gaming presence.
AI-generated arguments based on insider flow, news sentiment and technicals — not financial advice · September 2026
Recent Quarterly Results
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $143M | $33M | $1.78 |
| Q1 FY2026 | $137M | $28M | $1.52 |
| Q4 FY2025 | $140M | $23M | $1.22 |
| Q3 FY2025 | $143M | $32M | $1.69 |
Q2 FY2026 · filed 28 Jul 2026 · SEC EDGAR →
Based on FMP financials and quantitative analysis
MCRI Latest News
-
Spa Monarch Named No. 1 Best Hotel Spa in the Nation by USA TODAY 10Best Voters
globenewswire.com · Aug 19, 2026
-
Macquarie Raises Price Target on Monarch Casino & Resort to $128 From $125, Keeps Neutral Rating
MT Newswires · Aug 18, 2026
-
Macquarie Maintains Neutral on Monarch Casino & Resort, Raises Price Target to $128
benzinga · Aug 17, 2026
-
Q2 Earnings Roundup: Monarch (NASDAQ:MCRI) And The Rest Of The Consumer Discretionary - Casino Operator Segment
StockStory · Aug 17, 2026
MCRI Analyst Consensus
Consensus Rating
Aggregated Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations collected by Financial Modeling Prep for MCRI.
Price Targets
Median: $124.00 (+0.4% from current price)
Source: FMP analyst consensus · as of Aug 25, 2026 · an estimate, not advice
MCRI MoonshotScore
What does this score mean?
MoonshotScore is Stock Expert AI's proprietary 0-100 research rating, not a buy or sell recommendation. MCRI scores 93/100 (Grade A+): the number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers.
Latest News
Spa Monarch Named No. 1 Best Hotel Spa in the Nation by USA TODAY 10Best Voters
Macquarie Raises Price Target on Monarch Casino & Resort to $128 From $125, Keeps Neutral Rating
Macquarie Maintains Neutral on Monarch Casino & Resort, Raises Price Target to $128
Q2 Earnings Roundup: Monarch (NASDAQ:MCRI) And The Rest Of The Consumer Discretionary - Casino Operator Segment
Leadership: John Farahi
Chief Executive Officer
John Farahi has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. He has extensive experience in the gaming and hospitality industry. His background includes managing and developing casino resort properties. He has been instrumental in the strategic growth and operational success of the company. His leadership has focused on enhancing customer experience and driving financial performance.
Track Record: Under John Farahi's leadership, Monarch Casino & Resort has expanded its operations and improved its financial performance. Key achievements include the successful expansion of the Black Hawk property and the continued growth of the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno. He has overseen significant capital investments and strategic initiatives that have strengthened the company's market position.
What Investors Ask About Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) — Consumer Cyclical
What does the AI Score mean for MCRI?
MCRI holds an AI Score of 93/100 (Grade: A+). This is an educational research signal, not a buy or sell recommendation. The number comes from the five-pillar engine (business quality, financial safety, valuation, growth durability, momentum), re-ranked daily against sector peers. Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. owns and operates casino resort properties.
Is MCRI a good stock?
Stock Expert AI does not rate MCRI buy, sell or hold. Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. carries a MoonshotScore of 93/100 on the five-pillar engine, a research rating against its peers. Whether it fits is your call: check what it sells, whether it earns, what the price assumes, and what would prove you wrong.
What is MCRI's dividend and shareholder return track record?
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. has a history of providing returns to shareholders through dividends. The company's dividend yield is currently 1.01%. While not a high-yield stock, Monarch's dividend payout reflects a commitment to returning value to investors. The company's dividend growth history shows a steady increase in payouts over time.
What are the key factors to evaluate for MCRI?
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) holds a MoonshotScore of 93/100 (high). P/E: 18.78x vs the S&P 500's ~20-25x. Analysts target $122.00 (+0%). Not financial advice.
How frequently does MCRI data refresh on this page?
MCRI's price was last updated on Sep 11, 2026 and refreshes on page view during U.S. market hours; the quote is a provider snapshot, not an exchange feed. Fundamentals update after quarterly filings; the MoonshotScore recalculates nightly; news aggregates continuously.
What has driven MCRI's recent stock price performance?
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) moves on earnings results, analyst revisions, sector rotation, and market sentiment. Notable catalyst: Prime locations in Reno and Black Hawk. See the News tab for the latest drivers. Past performance does not predict future results.
Should investors consider MCRI overvalued or undervalued right now?
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) trades at 18.78x earnings. Analysts target $122.00 (+0%) — near fair value. Compare P/E, P/S, and EV/EBITDA against sector peers for a full view.
Can I buy fractional shares of MCRI?
Yes, most major brokerages offer fractional shares of Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) with no minimum purchase requirement. This means you can invest any dollar amount regardless of the share price. Check your brokerage platform for specific terms, fees, and fractional share availability.
How can I track MCRI's earnings and financial reports?
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) reports quarterly earnings approximately 4-6 weeks after each fiscal quarter ends. You can track earnings dates, revenue and EPS estimates, and actual results on this page's Financials tab. Earnings surprises (beats or misses) often cause significant short-term price moves. Your brokerage can send alerts for MCRI earnings announcements.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor.
Official Resources
Data provided for informational purposes only.
- Information is based on available data as of 2021 and 2026-05-09.
- Future performance is subject to market conditions and company-specific factors.